NYSE$CARS

Cars.com Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Achieved first quarter guidance and reaffirmed full-year 2023 guidance with continued growth in revenue and ARPD.

Cars.com Inc. reported a strong first quarter with year-over-year growth in revenue, Adjusted EBITDA, and traffic. Revenue reached $167.1 million, a 6% increase year-over-year, and net income was $11.5 million, or $0.17 per diluted share. The company generated $28.1 million in operating cash flow, repaid its revolving loan, and returned $7.2 million in capital to stockholders through share repurchases.

  • Revenue increased by 6% year-over-year to $167.1 million.
  • Net income rose to $11.5 million, or $0.17 per diluted share, compared to $4.3 million, or $0.06 per diluted share, in the prior year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased to $44.3 million, representing 26.5% of revenue.
  • Average Monthly Unique Visitors increased by 7% year-over-year to 28.5 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$167M

Previous: $158M+5.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.17

Previous: $0.06+183.3%
Average Monthly Unique Visitors

28.5M

Previous: 26.6M+7.1%
Traffic (Visits)

164.8M

Previous: 148.5M+11.0%
Monthly ARPD

$2.39K

Previous: $2.29K+4.1%
Dealer Customers

19.2K

Previous: 19.5K-1.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$199K

Previous: -$4.01M+95.0%
Free Cash Flow

$11.3M

Previous: $332K+3297.6%
Net Income

$11.5M

Previous: $4.34M+164.5%
Operating Income

$12.5M

Previous: $10.9M+14.5%
Gross Profit

$137M

Previous: $130M+5.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$18.8M

Previous: $30.5M-38.1%
Total Assets

$1B

Previous: $1.07B-6.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.98M

Previous: $5.22M+14.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Cars.com · Revenue · Quarterly

$167M

Q1 2023+5.6%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Cars.com · $167M total across 3 segments · Q1 2023

  • Dealer
    $150M+6.7%
  • OEM and National
    $13.5M-10.7%
  • Other
    $3.68M+40.7%

Forward guidance

Second quarter revenue is expected to be between $168.0 million and $170.0 million. Adjusted EBITDA margin for the second quarter is expected to be between 26% and 28%. The company reaffirms its full-year revenue guidance, of 3% to 6% year-over-year growth.

Tailwinds

  • Continued growth in Dealer Revenue.
  • Expected Adjusted EBITDA margin between 26% and 28% for the second quarter.
  • Reaffirmation of full-year revenue guidance of 3% to 6% year-over-year growth.
  • Margins are expected to improve over the course of the year.
  • Company expects to exit the year with fourth quarter Adjusted EBITDA margins approaching 30%.

Headwinds

  • Cautious outlook on OEM and National Revenue.
  • Guidance reflects lower OEM and National advertising revenue relative to the first quarter.
  • Increased second quarter investments in Brand Marketing.
  • Historically low inventory levels will persist throughout the year.
  • Digital dealer pull backs.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

22 / 40 earnings

Positive

+23.2%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-42.4%

Q2 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+10.1%-5.8%-18.3%
Q4 2025-15.4%-23.3%-25.9%
Q3 2025+6.9%+9.3%+16.3%
Q1 2025-11.2%+0.3%-8.3%
Q4 2024-21.4%-19.9%-26.1%
Q3 2024+10.1%+15.1%+11.7%
Q2 2024-5.8%-0.8%-2.9%
Q1 2024+3.1%+5.5%+19.3%
Q4 2023-2.9%+2.5%-6.1%
Q3 2023+20.4%+24.8%+22.7%
Q2 2023-7.9%-6.9%-16.5%
Q1 2023-9.0%-6.4%-3.5%
Q4 2022+13.1%+10.4%+4.9%
Q3 2022+15.3%+16.3%+15.0%
Q2 2022+5.6%+10.2%+3.9%
Q1 2022-15.0%-22.2%-11.5%
Q4 2021+12.7%+13.1%+5.0%
Q3 2021+2.9%+2.5%+22.2%
Q2 2021+11.0%+14.8%+7.1%
Q1 2021+6.7%+2.1%+10.7%
Q4 2020-18.4%-1.0%-11.1%
Q3 2020-4.6%-5.5%+26.5%
Q2 2020+17.9%+27.1%+33.1%
Q1 2020+23.2%+28.3%+69.7%
Q4 2019-22.3%-25.2%-65.0%
Q3 2019+7.5%+6.2%+4.9%
Q2 2019-42.4%-49.9%-50.3%
Q1 2019+5.2%+9.3%-1.1%
Q4 2018-2.8%-6.5%-7.7%
Q3 2018-2.3%-2.5%-7.7%
Q2 2018-0.4%-2.8%-6.7%
Q1 2018-5.5%-7.0%-0.5%
Q4 2015+2.3%+5.3%+0.9%
Q3 2016-2.3%-1.1%+16.4%
Q3 2017-2.3%-1.1%+16.4%
Q2 2016+2.0%+2.2%+11.0%
Q2 2017+2.0%+2.2%+11.0%
Q4 2016+0.2%-5.6%-12.2%
Q1 2016+0.2%+4.4%-14.4%
Q1 2017+0.2%+4.4%-14.4%
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014

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