NYSE$CARS

Cars.com Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Cars.com reported Q4 2022 earnings, exceeding revenue guidance and realizing revenue growth and ARPD from Dealer Solutions.

Cars.com Inc. reported a revenue of $168.2 million for Q4 2022, a 6% increase year-over-year. Net income was $10.3 million, or $0.15 per diluted share, compared to a net loss in the prior year. The company generated $129 million of operating cash flow.

  • Revenue increased by 6% year-over-year to $168.2 million.
  • Net income was $10.3 million, or $0.15 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $2.9 million, or ($0.04) per diluted share, in the prior year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased to $49.5 million, representing 29% of revenue.
  • Average Monthly Unique Visitors increased by 5% year-over-year to 24.6 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$168M

Previous: $158M+6.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.15

Previous: $0.04+275.0%
Average Monthly Unique Visitors

24.6M

Previous: 24.6M+0.0%
Traffic (Visits)

140.4M

Previous: 140.4M+0.0%
Monthly ARPD

$2.36K

Previous: $2.33K+1.2%
Dealer Customers

19.5K

Previous: 19.2K+1.7%
Capital Expenditures

$5.32M

Previous: $1.31M+304.8%
Free Cash Flow

$31.9M

Previous: $20.5M+55.9%
Net Income

$10.3M

Previous: -$5.96M+272.9%
Operating Income

$19.8M

Previous: $4.06M+387.7%
Gross Profit

$139M

Previous: $129M+7.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$31.7M

Previous: $39.1M-18.8%
Total Assets

$1.02B

Previous: $1.01B+1.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.24M

Previous: $5.28M-0.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Cars.com · Revenue · Quarterly

$168M

Q4 2022+6.3%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Cars.com · $168M total across 3 segments · Q4 2022

  • Dealer
    $149M+6.1%
  • OEM and National
    $14.3M-7.0%
  • Other
    $4.45M+110.5%

Forward guidance

First quarter revenue is expected to be between $166 million and $168 million, a year-over-year revenue growth of 5% to 6%. Adjusted EBITDA margin for the first quarter of 2023 is expected to be between 25% and 27%. Margins are expected to improve over the course of the year, and the Company expects to exit the year with fourth quarter Adjusted EBITDA margins approaching 30%.

Tailwinds

  • Diversified platform strategy provides a solid foundation for growth.
  • First quarter revenue is expected to be between $166 million and $168 million, a year-over-year revenue growth of 5% to 6%.
  • Strong and consistent Adjusted EBITDA margin profile reflects its disciplined approach to capital allocation and incremental investment.
  • Company's ROI driven approach to investing has allowed it to maintain strong margins even as it scales new products, like Accu-Trade and CreditIQ
  • Margins are expected to improve over the course of the year, and the Company expects to exit the year with fourth quarter Adjusted EBITDA margins approaching 30%

Headwinds

  • First quarter revenue outlook assumes a continued pull-back by digital dealers and lower OEM and National Advertising spend relative to fourth quarter of last year.
  • There continue to be mixed signals across the automotive industry driven by supply chain challenges.
  • Full year revenue growth guidance, of 3% to 6%, assumes that lower inventory levels will persist throughout the year.
  • Overall listings remain down 41% compared to 4.3 million as of the first quarter 2020.
  • Company has seasonally higher investments in Marketing and sales in the first quarter due to the timing of in-person industry events.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

22 / 40 earnings

Positive

+23.2%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-42.4%

Q2 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+10.1%-5.8%-18.3%
Q4 2025-15.4%-23.3%-25.9%
Q3 2025+6.9%+9.3%+16.3%
Q1 2025-11.2%+0.3%-8.3%
Q4 2024-21.4%-19.9%-26.1%
Q3 2024+10.1%+15.1%+11.7%
Q2 2024-5.8%-0.8%-2.9%
Q1 2024+3.1%+5.5%+19.3%
Q4 2023-2.9%+2.5%-6.1%
Q3 2023+20.4%+24.8%+22.7%
Q2 2023-7.9%-6.9%-16.5%
Q1 2023-9.0%-6.4%-3.5%
Q4 2022+13.1%+10.4%+4.9%
Q3 2022+15.3%+16.3%+15.0%
Q2 2022+5.6%+10.2%+3.9%
Q1 2022-15.0%-22.2%-11.5%
Q4 2021+12.7%+13.1%+5.0%
Q3 2021+2.9%+2.5%+22.2%
Q2 2021+11.0%+14.8%+7.1%
Q1 2021+6.7%+2.1%+10.7%
Q4 2020-18.4%-1.0%-11.1%
Q3 2020-4.6%-5.5%+26.5%
Q2 2020+17.9%+27.1%+33.1%
Q1 2020+23.2%+28.3%+69.7%
Q4 2019-22.3%-25.2%-65.0%
Q3 2019+7.5%+6.2%+4.9%
Q2 2019-42.4%-49.9%-50.3%
Q1 2019+5.2%+9.3%-1.1%
Q4 2018-2.8%-6.5%-7.7%
Q3 2018-2.3%-2.5%-7.7%
Q2 2018-0.4%-2.8%-6.7%
Q1 2018-5.5%-7.0%-0.5%
Q4 2015+2.3%+5.3%+0.9%
Q3 2016-2.3%-1.1%+16.4%
Q3 2017-2.3%-1.1%+16.4%
Q2 2016+2.0%+2.2%+11.0%
Q2 2017+2.0%+2.2%+11.0%
Q4 2016+0.2%-5.6%-12.2%
Q1 2016+0.2%+4.4%-14.4%
Q1 2017+0.2%+4.4%-14.4%
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014

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