NYSE$AWI

Armstrong World Industries Inc. · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Armstrong's second quarter demonstrated resilience with double-digit adjusted EBITDA growth and margin expansion, driven by both Mineral Fiber and Architectural Specialties segments.

Armstrong World Industries reported a 1% increase in net sales, a 22% increase in operating income, and a 10% increase in adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter of 2023. The company saw margin expansion in both the Mineral Fiber and Architectural Specialties segments, with positive contributions from both.

  • Net sales increased by 1% compared to the prior-year quarter, driven by strong average unit value (AUV) performance.
  • Operating income rose by 22% with a 440 basis point margin expansion, and diluted net earnings per share increased by 21% compared to the prior-year quarter.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by 10% with a 260 basis point margin expansion, and adjusted diluted net earnings per share increased by 7% compared to the prior-year quarter.
  • The company acquired BOK Modern, a design leader in metal architectural solutions, complementing its existing metal portfolio.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$325M

Previous: $321M+1.4%
EPS (adj)

$1.38

Previous: $1.29+7.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$111M

Previous: $102M+8.8%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

34.2%

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$60.2M

Previous: $52.2M+15.3%
Net Income

$60.2M

Previous: $52.2M+15.3%
Operating Income

$87M

Previous: $71.6M+21.5%
Gross Profit

$124M

Previous: $118M+5.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$102M

Previous: $79.3M+28.1%
Total Assets

$1.71B

Previous: $1.73B-1.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$4M

Previous: $4.4M-9.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Armstrong · Revenue · Quarterly

$325M

Q2 2023+1.4%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Armstrong · $283M total across 2 segments · Q1 2022

  • Mineral Fiber
    $203M
  • Architectural Specialties
    $79.4M

Forward guidance

Armstrong World Industries updated its full year 2023 outlook to reflect confidence in delivering solid sales, earnings and cash flow growth.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales are expected to be between $1,265 million and $1,305 million, representing a 3% to 6% growth.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $400 million and $420 million, indicating a 4% to 9% increase.
  • Adjusted diluted net earnings per share are anticipated to be between $4.85 and $5.05, reflecting a 2% to 7% growth.
  • Adjusted free cash flow is forecasted to be between $240 million and $250 million, showing a 9% to 13% increase.
  • Strong execution at plants drove manufacturing productivity and operational efficiencies.

Headwinds

  • Challenging market conditions persist.
  • The company is navigating softer market conditions.
  • Lower volumes in Mineral Fiber segment due to softer market demand.
  • Increase in selling expenses.
  • Increase in manufacturing costs

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

-1.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

27 / 64 earnings

Positive

+14.7%

Q4 2016

Best reaction

-14.3%

Q2 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.5%-5.2%-9.9%
Q4 2025-7.4%-10.0%-14.4%
Q3 2025-4.6%-6.0%-5.8%
Q1 2025+1.9%+6.5%+19.3%
Q4 2024+5.2%+5.4%-1.0%
Q3 2024+2.2%+2.4%+16.7%
Q2 2024+0.5%-3.4%-4.2%
Q1 2024-4.0%-2.7%-2.5%
Q4 2023+13.3%+16.4%+18.7%
Q3 2023+5.0%+5.7%+20.7%
Q2 2023+3.2%+3.0%-3.0%
Q1 2023-9.2%-5.9%-13.4%
Q4 2022-2.5%-1.8%-16.3%
Q3 2022-6.5%-5.4%-3.6%
Q2 2022+3.4%+8.0%+9.6%
Q1 2022-6.9%-8.9%-11.2%
Q4 2021-6.2%-5.7%-4.8%
Q3 2021+1.3%+3.8%+12.1%
Q2 2021+1.8%+2.5%-1.3%
Q1 2021+3.5%+3.1%+4.6%
Q4 2020+13.7%+10.2%+16.4%
Q3 2020-8.9%-7.8%+19.7%
Q2 2020-13.3%-12.7%-8.1%
Q1 2020+1.0%-2.8%-1.2%
Q4 2019-0.8%-5.9%-26.4%
Q3 2019-8.9%-8.1%-5.3%
Q2 2019-0.9%-3.6%-6.3%
Q1 2019-1.2%+1.7%-1.1%
Q4 2018+1.7%+1.1%+3.8%
Q3 2018+6.5%+15.3%+15.6%
Q2 2018+1.3%+3.7%+4.3%
Q1 2018+2.0%+2.3%+9.8%
Q4 2017-3.8%-2.7%-9.2%
Q3 2017-4.6%-4.1%+11.7%
Q2 2017+9.8%+6.7%+6.4%
Q1 2017-1.0%-1.9%-10.9%
Q4 2016+14.7%+18.8%+13.5%
Q3 2016-6.5%-7.5%+4.9%
Q2 2016+1.5%+3.7%+5.1%
Q1 2016-3.7%
Q4 2015-5.2%
Q3 2015+3.6%
Q2 2015+4.8%
Q1 2015-2.5%
Q4 2014+1.5%
Q3 2014-7.1%
Q2 2014-10.5%
Q1 2014-0.3%
Q4 2013-9.1%
Q3 2013+1.8%
Q2 2013-1.9%
Q1 2013-2.5%
Q4 2012-7.9%
Q3 2012+6.2%
Q2 2012-14.3%
Q1 2011-3.2%
Q1 2012+3.9%
Q4 2009+1.5%
Q3 2010-14.1%
Q3 2011-14.1%
Q2 2010-10.4%
Q4 2010-10.4%
Q2 2011-10.4%
Q1 2010-8.0%

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