NYSE$AWI

Armstrong World Industries Inc. · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Armstrong's Q3 2023 performance was marked by strong operating income and adjusted EBITDA growth, driven by both Mineral Fiber and Architectural Specialties segments.

Armstrong World Industries reported record-setting net sales and adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2023. The company demonstrated resilience in challenging market conditions, with positive contributions from both the Mineral Fiber and Architectural Specialties segments. Strong financial performance was achieved through diverse end markets, consistent Mineral Fiber average unit value growth, and attractive growth initiatives.

  • Net sales increased by 7% compared to the prior-year quarter, driven by strong average unit value (AUV) performance.
  • Operating income rose by 37%, accompanied by a 630 basis points margin expansion, and diluted earnings per share from continuing operations increased by 32% year-over-year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by 19%, with a 380 basis points margin expansion, and adjusted diluted earnings per share increased by 18% compared to the prior-year quarter.
  • The company is raising its full-year guidance for all key metrics.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$347M

Previous: $325M+6.9%
EPS (adj)

$1.60

Previous: $1.36+17.6%
Adjusted EBITDA

$125M

Previous: $105M+19.0%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

36.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$60.1M

Previous: $46.5M-229.2%
Free Cash Flow

$9.4M

Previous: $57.5M-83.7%
Net Income

$69.5M

Previous: $57.5M+20.9%
Operating Income

$100M

Previous: $73.3M+36.7%
Gross Profit

$141M

Previous: $118M+20.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$96.6M

Previous: $86.8M+11.3%
Total Assets

$1.71B

Previous: $1.74B-1.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.1M

Previous: $3.6M+13.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Armstrong · Revenue · Quarterly

$347M

Q3 2023+6.9%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Armstrong · $283M total across 2 segments · Q1 2022

  • Mineral Fiber
    $203M
  • Architectural Specialties
    $79.4M

Forward guidance

Armstrong World Industries raised its full year 2023 guidance, expecting margin improvement in both the Mineral Fiber and Architectural Specialties segments due to strong Q3 results.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales are projected to be between $1,280 million and $1,295 million, representing a 4% to 5% increase year-over-year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to range from $418 million to $426 million, indicating a 9% to 11% growth compared to the previous year.
  • Adjusted diluted net earnings per share are anticipated to be between $5.05 and $5.15, reflecting a 7% to 9% increase year-over-year.
  • Adjusted free cash flow is projected to be between $245 million and $255 million, representing an 11% to 15% increase compared to the previous year.
  • The company anticipates continued margin improvement in both the Mineral Fiber and Architectural Specialties segments.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

-1.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

27 / 64 earnings

Positive

+14.7%

Q4 2016

Best reaction

-14.3%

Q2 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.5%-5.2%-9.9%
Q4 2025-7.4%-10.0%-14.4%
Q3 2025-4.6%-6.0%-5.8%
Q1 2025+1.9%+6.5%+19.3%
Q4 2024+5.2%+5.4%-1.0%
Q3 2024+2.2%+2.4%+16.7%
Q2 2024+0.5%-3.4%-4.2%
Q1 2024-4.0%-2.7%-2.5%
Q4 2023+13.3%+16.4%+18.7%
Q3 2023+5.0%+5.7%+20.7%
Q2 2023+3.2%+3.0%-3.0%
Q1 2023-9.2%-5.9%-13.4%
Q4 2022-2.5%-1.8%-16.3%
Q3 2022-6.5%-5.4%-3.6%
Q2 2022+3.4%+8.0%+9.6%
Q1 2022-6.9%-8.9%-11.2%
Q4 2021-6.2%-5.7%-4.8%
Q3 2021+1.3%+3.8%+12.1%
Q2 2021+1.8%+2.5%-1.3%
Q1 2021+3.5%+3.1%+4.6%
Q4 2020+13.7%+10.2%+16.4%
Q3 2020-8.9%-7.8%+19.7%
Q2 2020-13.3%-12.7%-8.1%
Q1 2020+1.0%-2.8%-1.2%
Q4 2019-0.8%-5.9%-26.4%
Q3 2019-8.9%-8.1%-5.3%
Q2 2019-0.9%-3.6%-6.3%
Q1 2019-1.2%+1.7%-1.1%
Q4 2018+1.7%+1.1%+3.8%
Q3 2018+6.5%+15.3%+15.6%
Q2 2018+1.3%+3.7%+4.3%
Q1 2018+2.0%+2.3%+9.8%
Q4 2017-3.8%-2.7%-9.2%
Q3 2017-4.6%-4.1%+11.7%
Q2 2017+9.8%+6.7%+6.4%
Q1 2017-1.0%-1.9%-10.9%
Q4 2016+14.7%+18.8%+13.5%
Q3 2016-6.5%-7.5%+4.9%
Q2 2016+1.5%+3.7%+5.1%
Q1 2016-3.7%
Q4 2015-5.2%
Q3 2015+3.6%
Q2 2015+4.8%
Q1 2015-2.5%
Q4 2014+1.5%
Q3 2014-7.1%
Q2 2014-10.5%
Q1 2014-0.3%
Q4 2013-9.1%
Q3 2013+1.8%
Q2 2013-1.9%
Q1 2013-2.5%
Q4 2012-7.9%
Q3 2012+6.2%
Q2 2012-14.3%
Q1 2011-3.2%
Q1 2012+3.9%
Q4 2009+1.5%
Q3 2010-14.1%
Q3 2011-14.1%
Q2 2010-10.4%
Q4 2010-10.4%
Q2 2011-10.4%
Q1 2010-8.0%

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