NYSE$AWI

Armstrong World Industries Inc. · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Armstrong's Q4 2019 results showcased revenue growth and improved profitability.

Armstrong World Industries reported a 3% increase in net sales, reaching $246.9 million. Operating income rose by 18% to $62.2 million, and earnings per share increased by 40% to $1.04. The company's adjusted EBITDA also grew by 14%.

  • Net sales increased by 3% compared to the previous year's quarter.
  • Operating income grew by 18% compared to the prior year's quarter.
  • Adjusted EBITDA and EPS increased by 14% and 40%, respectively, year-over-year.
  • The company completed the acquisition of MRK Industries.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$247M

Previous: $239M+3.3%
EPS (adj)

$1.11

Previous: $0.80+38.8%
Adjusted EBITDA

$90M

Previous: $79M+13.9%
Free Cash Flow

$71M

No prior period
Net Income

$47.7M

Previous: $34.6M+37.9%
Operating Income

$62.2M

Previous: $52.5M+18.5%
Gross Profit

$88.6M

Previous: $82.1M+7.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$45.3M

Previous: $326M-86.1%
Total Assets

$1.49B

Previous: $1.84B-18.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.4M

Previous: $4.8M-50.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Armstrong · Revenue · Quarterly

$247M

Q4 2019+3.3%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Armstrong · $283M total across 2 segments · Q1 2022

  • Mineral Fiber
    $203M
  • Architectural Specialties
    $79.4M

Forward guidance

The company anticipates continued market conditions from 2019, expecting high-single digit sales growth, adjusted EBITDA margin expansion, and adjusted free cash flow exceeding 25% of sales.

Tailwinds

  • Expect a continuation of the market conditions seen in 2019.
  • Expect to grow sales in the high-single digit range.
  • Expand adjusted EBITDA margins.
  • Generate sector leading adjusted free cash flow of more than 25% of sales.
  • Return of investment from joint venture ($80-$90M)

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-1.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

27 / 64 earnings

Positive

+14.7%

Q4 2016

Best reaction

-14.3%

Q2 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.5%-5.2%-9.9%
Q4 2025-7.4%-10.0%-14.4%
Q3 2025-4.6%-6.0%-5.8%
Q1 2025+1.9%+6.5%+19.3%
Q4 2024+5.2%+5.4%-1.0%
Q3 2024+2.2%+2.4%+16.7%
Q2 2024+0.5%-3.4%-4.2%
Q1 2024-4.0%-2.7%-2.5%
Q4 2023+13.3%+16.4%+18.7%
Q3 2023+5.0%+5.7%+20.7%
Q2 2023+3.2%+3.0%-3.0%
Q1 2023-9.2%-5.9%-13.4%
Q4 2022-2.5%-1.8%-16.3%
Q3 2022-6.5%-5.4%-3.6%
Q2 2022+3.4%+8.0%+9.6%
Q1 2022-6.9%-8.9%-11.2%
Q4 2021-6.2%-5.7%-4.8%
Q3 2021+1.3%+3.8%+12.1%
Q2 2021+1.8%+2.5%-1.3%
Q1 2021+3.5%+3.1%+4.6%
Q4 2020+13.7%+10.2%+16.4%
Q3 2020-8.9%-7.8%+19.7%
Q2 2020-13.3%-12.7%-8.1%
Q1 2020+1.0%-2.8%-1.2%
Q4 2019-0.8%-5.9%-26.4%
Q3 2019-8.9%-8.1%-5.3%
Q2 2019-0.9%-3.6%-6.3%
Q1 2019-1.2%+1.7%-1.1%
Q4 2018+1.7%+1.1%+3.8%
Q3 2018+6.5%+15.3%+15.6%
Q2 2018+1.3%+3.7%+4.3%
Q1 2018+2.0%+2.3%+9.8%
Q4 2017-3.8%-2.7%-9.2%
Q3 2017-4.6%-4.1%+11.7%
Q2 2017+9.8%+6.7%+6.4%
Q1 2017-1.0%-1.9%-10.9%
Q4 2016+14.7%+18.8%+13.5%
Q3 2016-6.5%-7.5%+4.9%
Q2 2016+1.5%+3.7%+5.1%
Q1 2016-3.7%
Q4 2015-5.2%
Q3 2015+3.6%
Q2 2015+4.8%
Q1 2015-2.5%
Q4 2014+1.5%
Q3 2014-7.1%
Q2 2014-10.5%
Q1 2014-0.3%
Q4 2013-9.1%
Q3 2013+1.8%
Q2 2013-1.9%
Q1 2013-2.5%
Q4 2012-7.9%
Q3 2012+6.2%
Q2 2012-14.3%
Q1 2011-3.2%
Q1 2012+3.9%
Q4 2009+1.5%
Q3 2010-14.1%
Q3 2011-14.1%
Q2 2010-10.4%
Q4 2010-10.4%
Q2 2011-10.4%
Q1 2010-8.0%

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