NYSE$APG

APi Group Corporation · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

APi Group reported a net revenue increase of 26% and an organic net revenue increase of 27% in Q4 2021, excluding Industrial Services.

APi Group reported strong Q4 2021 financial results, with a 26% increase in net revenues and a 27% increase in organic net revenues, excluding Industrial Services. The company's gross margin also expanded by 219 basis points. Adjusted diluted EPS was $0.29.

  • Reported net revenues increased by 26.1% to $1.1 billion.
  • Net revenues increased on an organic basis by 27.4%, excluding Industrial Services.
  • Reported gross margin was 24.6%, a 219 basis point increase.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $115 million with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 10.3%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.11B

Previous: $882M+26.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.29

Previous: $0.34-14.7%
Organic Revenue Growth

27.4%

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

10.3%

Previous: 11.8%-12.7%
Capital Expenditures

$12M

Previous: $14M-14.3%
Free Cash Flow

$102M

Previous: $153M-33.3%
Net Income

$15M

Previous: -$22M+168.2%
Operating Income

$50M

Previous: -$21M+338.1%
Gross Profit

$274M

Previous: $198M+38.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.19B

Previous: $515M+130.7%
Total Assets

$5.16B

Previous: $4.07B+26.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$4M

Previous: $1M+300.0%

Revenue & EPS history

APi Group · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.11B

Q4 2021+26.1%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 7 of 9 quarters(78%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

APi Group · $1.05B total across 2 segments · Q4 2021

  • Safety Services
    $569M
  • Specialty Services
    $481M

Forward guidance

APi Group is focused on delivering its three-year plan of continued healthy top-line growth and driving its adjusted EBITDA margin to 13%+ by 2025. The company expects to accomplish this while delivering on an average adjusted free cash flow conversion of approximately 80% over the coming three years and using the cash generated to reduce debt on average by one turn annually to return to its targeted long-term net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 2.0x – 2.5x.

Tailwinds

  • Record backlog continues to build and provides a solid foundation for organic growth.
  • Underlying demand in key end markets such as data centers, fulfillment and distribution centers, healthcare and high-tech remains robust.
  • The acquisition of Chubb has enhanced the overall competitive position.
  • Average project size in Safety Services is approximately $5,000 and the average duration of projects is very short, allowing for control of inflationary variables.
  • Focus on real-time pricing and operational efficiency to ensure true costs are reflected in the services provided.

Headwinds

  • Business is not immune to macro marketplace disruptions related to supply chain disruptions.
  • Business is not immune to macro marketplace disruptions related to inflationary cost pressures.
  • Integration of Chubb will require investment in the growth of its platform and generating synergies across the combined platform.
  • Net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio was approximately 3.9x following the closing of the Chubb acquisition.
  • The company will need to reduce debt on average by one turn annually to return to its targeted long-term net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 2.0x – 2.5x.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.9%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

11 / 25 earnings

Positive

+10.7%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-9.4%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-6.0%-6.3%-15.7%
Q4 2025-0.4%+0.5%-7.3%
Q3 2025+1.9%+2.8%+14.8%
Q1 2025+6.6%+12.3%+23.4%
Q4 2024-0.3%+4.7%-0.9%
Q3 2024+6.4%+5.7%+13.8%
Q2 2024-9.4%-12.4%-6.2%
Q1 2024-2.3%-0.0%-5.8%
Q4 2023-1.9%+7.5%+9.9%
Q3 2023+7.2%+4.2%+20.5%
Q2 2023-2.7%-1.6%-1.7%
Q1 2023+1.1%-0.8%+5.4%
Q4 2022+1.0%+7.0%-5.1%
Q3 2022+10.7%+12.7%+23.0%
Q2 2022-5.4%-8.5%-16.9%
Q1 2022-8.6%-14.6%-5.7%
Q4 2021-4.1%+6.0%+5.0%
Q3 2021+9.3%+10.6%+6.2%
Q2 2021-2.7%-0.2%-4.0%
Q1 2021-6.7%-6.9%+7.2%
Q4 2020-2.9%+1.5%+11.5%
Q3 2020+2.5%+1.2%+15.9%
Q2 2020-1.7%+3.3%-3.7%
Q1 2020+9.1%+7.6%+7.1%
Q4 2019+9.1%+7.6%+7.1%
Q3 2019
Q2 2019
Q1 2019

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