NYSE$APG

APi Group Corporation · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

APi Group reported record third quarter net income and adjusted EBITDA, with revenue growth driven by Safety Services.

APi Group reported a 2.4% increase in net revenues to $1.8 billion, driven by growth in the Safety Services segment, with a record net income of $69 million, a 28% year-over-year increase. The company's adjusted EBITDA reached a record $245 million, representing a 9% increase year-over-year, and increased the 2024 conversion target to 75%+

  • Net revenues increased by 2.4% (0.2% organic decline) due to acquisitions and strong growth in inspection, service, and monitoring in the Safety Services segment.
  • Gross margin increased 250 basis points due to disciplined customer and project selection, improved business mix in higher margin services revenue as well as value capture initiatives in our Safety Services Segment.
  • Net income was $69 million and diluted EPS was $0.23, representing a 53.3% increase compared to prior year period.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin increased 80 basis points to a third quarter record of 13.4%, primarily due to the increase in gross margins, partially offset by lower fixed cost absorption.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.83B

Previous: $1.78B+2.4%
EPS

$0.23

Previous: $0.48-52.1%
Gross Margin

31.1%

No prior period
Adjusted Gross Margin

31.0%

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

13.4%

Previous: 12.6%+6.3%
Adj. FCF Conversion

92.7%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$66M

Previous: -$64M-3.1%
Free Cash Flow

$3M

Previous: -$10M+130.0%
Net Income

$69M

Previous: $54M+27.8%
Operating Income

$142M

Previous: $104M+36.5%
Gross Profit

$567M

Previous: $511M+11.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$487M

Previous: $461M+5.6%
Total Assets

$8.25B

Previous: $7.95B+3.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$9M

Previous: $8M+12.5%

Revenue & EPS history

APi Group · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.83B

Q3 2024+2.4%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

APi Group · $1.79B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Safety Services
    $1.22B+5.5%
  • Specialty Services
    $569M-3.6%

Forward guidance

APi Group announces revised full year net revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow guidance

Tailwinds

  • Net Revenues of approximately $7,000 million, revised from $7,150 to $7,350 million
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $890 to $900 million, revised from $885 to $915 million
  • Adjusted Free Cash Flow Conversion at or above 75% of adjusted EBITDA, revised from approximately 70%
  • The team’s work over the last few years executing our strategy has resulted in APi being the strongest it has ever been with 2024 shaping up to be a year of record net revenues, margins and free cash flow generation.
  • We are well positioned to achieve our 13% plus adjusted EBITDA margin target in 2025 and set new meaningfully higher targets for the following three years which we will review during our 2025 investor day.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.9%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

11 / 25 earnings

Positive

+10.7%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-9.4%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-6.0%-6.3%-15.7%
Q4 2025-0.4%+0.5%-7.3%
Q3 2025+1.9%+2.8%+14.8%
Q1 2025+6.6%+12.3%+23.4%
Q4 2024-0.3%+4.7%-0.9%
Q3 2024+6.4%+5.7%+13.8%
Q2 2024-9.4%-12.4%-6.2%
Q1 2024-2.3%-0.0%-5.8%
Q4 2023-1.9%+7.5%+9.9%
Q3 2023+7.2%+4.2%+20.5%
Q2 2023-2.7%-1.6%-1.7%
Q1 2023+1.1%-0.8%+5.4%
Q4 2022+1.0%+7.0%-5.1%
Q3 2022+10.7%+12.7%+23.0%
Q2 2022-5.4%-8.5%-16.9%
Q1 2022-8.6%-14.6%-5.7%
Q4 2021-4.1%+6.0%+5.0%
Q3 2021+9.3%+10.6%+6.2%
Q2 2021-2.7%-0.2%-4.0%
Q1 2021-6.7%-6.9%+7.2%
Q4 2020-2.9%+1.5%+11.5%
Q3 2020+2.5%+1.2%+15.9%
Q2 2020-1.7%+3.3%-3.7%
Q1 2020+9.1%+7.6%+7.1%
Q4 2019+9.1%+7.6%+7.1%
Q3 2019
Q2 2019
Q1 2019

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