NYSE$APG

APi Group Corporation · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

APi Group's financial results for Q3 2020 were reported, showing a revenue decline due to divestitures and COVID-19 impacts, but improved gross and operating income.

APi Group reported a decline in net revenues for Q3 2020, primarily driven by divestitures and COVID-19 impacts. However, the company saw increases in gross margin, operating income, and net income. The company is raising guidance for 2020 adjusted net revenues, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS.

  • Reported net revenues declined by 14.3% to $958 million compared to the prior year period.
  • Reported gross margin was 23.2%, a 233 basis point increase compared to the prior year.
  • Reported operating income was $62 million, a $49 million increase from the prior year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $115 million, relatively consistent with the prior year adjusted EBITDA margin.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$958M

Previous: $1.11B-14.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.39

Previous: $0.07+452.2%
Organic Revenue Growth

-8.9%

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

12.1%

Previous: 12.2%-0.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$24M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$3M

No prior period
Net Income

$27M

Previous: $12M+125.0%
Operating Income

$62M

Previous: $15.5M+299.9%
Gross Profit

$222M

Previous: $234M-5.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$467M

No prior period
Total Assets

$3.83B

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$2M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

APi Group · Revenue · Quarterly

$958M

Q3 2020-14%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 7 of 9 quarters(78%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

APi Group · $804M total across 2 segments · Q3 2020

  • Safety Services
    $404M
  • Specialty Services
    $400M

Forward guidance

The Company announced it is increasing guidance for 2020 and believes that adjusted net revenues for the year will now range between $3,475 to $3,525 million, up from $3.4 to $3.5 billion, adjusted EBITDA will range between $360 to $370 million, up from $345 to $355 million, and adjusted EPS will range between $1.11 to $1.15, up from $0.94 to $1.00, based on an adjusted diluted share count of 176 million.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted net revenues for the year will now range between $3,475 to $3,525 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA will range between $360 to $370 million.
  • Adjusted EPS will range between $1.11 to $1.15.
  • Remain focused on pre-COVID-19 objectives.
  • Excited about the opportunities that lie ahead for the base business as well as the outlook for incremental opportunistic M&A activity.

Headwinds

  • Market conditions as a result of COVID-19 remain uncertain.
  • Visibility is still somewhat limited.
  • Difficult macro environment.
  • Realistic about the challenges COVID-19 creates.
  • Impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the future operating and financial performance of the Company and its customers.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.9%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

11 / 25 earnings

Positive

+10.7%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-9.4%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-6.0%-6.3%-15.7%
Q4 2025-0.4%+0.5%-7.3%
Q3 2025+1.9%+2.8%+14.8%
Q1 2025+6.6%+12.3%+23.4%
Q4 2024-0.3%+4.7%-0.9%
Q3 2024+6.4%+5.7%+13.8%
Q2 2024-9.4%-12.4%-6.2%
Q1 2024-2.3%-0.0%-5.8%
Q4 2023-1.9%+7.5%+9.9%
Q3 2023+7.2%+4.2%+20.5%
Q2 2023-2.7%-1.6%-1.7%
Q1 2023+1.1%-0.8%+5.4%
Q4 2022+1.0%+7.0%-5.1%
Q3 2022+10.7%+12.7%+23.0%
Q2 2022-5.4%-8.5%-16.9%
Q1 2022-8.6%-14.6%-5.7%
Q4 2021-4.1%+6.0%+5.0%
Q3 2021+9.3%+10.6%+6.2%
Q2 2021-2.7%-0.2%-4.0%
Q1 2021-6.7%-6.9%+7.2%
Q4 2020-2.9%+1.5%+11.5%
Q3 2020+2.5%+1.2%+15.9%
Q2 2020-1.7%+3.3%-3.7%
Q1 2020+9.1%+7.6%+7.1%
Q4 2019+9.1%+7.6%+7.1%
Q3 2019
Q2 2019
Q1 2019

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