NYSE$AM

Antero Midstream Corp · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Antero Midstream reported strong Q4 2024 results with a 10.5% YoY increase in revenue, driven by higher fresh water delivery volumes. Net income grew 10.7%, while free cash flow after dividends surged 91% due to lower capital expenditures.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$287M

Previous: $278M+3.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.26

Previous: $0.24+8.3%
Adjusted EBITDA

$274M

Previous: $254M+8.0%
Capital Expenditures

$24M

Previous: $46M-47.8%
Adjusted Free Cash Flow after dividends

$92.8M

Previous: $48M+93.3%
Low Pressure Gathering Volumes

3.3K

No prior period
Compression Volumes

3.3K

No prior period
High Pressure Gathering Volumes

3.0K

No prior period
Fresh Water Delivery Volumes

114

No prior period
Gross JV Processing Volumes

1.6K

No prior period
Gross JV Fractionation Volumes

40

No prior period
Wells Serviced by Fresh Water Delivery

16

No prior period
Other Fluid Handling

51

No prior period
Adjusted Net Income

$124M

No prior period
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Restricted Cash

$0.00

No prior period
Net Income

$111M

Previous: $100M+11.2%
Operating Income

$178M

Previous: $156M+13.9%
Gross Profit

$199M

Previous: $174M+13.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Antero Midstream · Revenue · Quarterly

$287M

Q4 2024+3.5%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Antero Midstream · $246M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Gathering and Processing
    $206M+17.0%
  • Water Handling
    $58M+5.5%
  • Amortization of Customer Relationships
    -$18M+0.0%

Forward guidance

Antero Midstream expects continued growth in 2025, driven by increased EBITDA, free cash flow, and capital investments in gathering, compression, and water infrastructure.

Tailwinds

  • Net income projected between $445M - $485M
  • Adjusted EBITDA expected to grow 5% YoY
  • Free cash flow after dividends expected to increase 10% YoY
  • Continued share repurchases under $500M program
  • Expansion of water infrastructure in Marcellus Shale

Headwinds

  • Capital expenditures increasing to $170M - $200M
  • Slight decrease in gathering and compression volumes
  • Interest expenses projected between $195M - $205M
  • Cash taxes expected up to $10M
  • Potential market risks from inflation adjustments

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

17 / 35 earnings

Positive

+9.2%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-12.5%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.1%-0.5%-4.3%
Q4 2025+2.3%+4.9%+13.2%
Q3 2025-0.2%-1.9%+2.7%
Q1 2025+1.9%+5.8%+13.5%
Q4 2024+6.1%+5.9%+7.3%
Q3 2024-3.4%-3.0%+7.3%
Q2 2024-3.6%-8.0%+2.1%
Q1 2024+2.1%+1.7%+3.4%
Q4 2023+6.2%+6.2%+14.4%
Q3 2023+1.7%+0.4%+9.1%
Q2 2023-0.9%+1.8%+1.8%
Q1 2023+4.7%+10.3%+5.7%
Q4 2022+1.0%-2.4%-9.1%
Q3 2022+0.5%+4.0%+8.0%
Q2 2022+0.9%+2.9%+7.5%
Q1 2022+9.2%+3.7%+11.5%
Q4 2021-5.3%-3.7%+2.6%
Q3 2021-1.7%-3.1%-7.2%
Q2 2021+0.7%-3.9%+0.9%
Q1 2021-2.2%-2.3%+6.8%
Q4 2020-12.5%-12.4%-3.2%
Q3 2020-5.8%-11.9%+9.6%
Q1 2020+2.6%+1.7%+3.2%
Q4 2019-0.6%-4.8%-31.7%
Q3 2019-1.9%-8.9%-36.5%
Q2 2019-6.7%-12.5%-21.3%
Q1 2019+0.7%-1.1%+0.1%
Q4 2018+1.5%-5.9%-8.6%
Q3 2018-0.4%-3.9%-6.0%
Q2 2018-0.9%-1.7%-12.1%
Q1 2018+4.3%+3.3%+9.2%
Q4 2017+4.5%+4.6%-13.4%
Q3 2017-2.8%-2.6%-3.7%
Q2 2017-5.8%-7.1%-10.4%
Q1 2017-1.3%-3.5%-0.2%
Q4 2016
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q2 2014

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