NYSE$AM

Antero Midstream Corp · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced fourth quarter 2022 financial and operational results.

Antero Midstream reported strong Q4 2022 results with increased low pressure gathering and compression volumes, driven by operational efficiency and strategic acquisitions. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 9% compared to the prior year quarter, and the company generated Free Cash Flow after dividends for the second consecutive quarter. The company is focused on reducing debt and leverage in 2023.

  • Low pressure gathering volumes increased by 4% compared to the prior year quarter, averaging 3,070 MMcf/d.
  • Compression volumes increased by 4% compared to the prior year quarter, averaging 2,945 MMcf/d.
  • Fresh water delivery volumes increased by 39% compared to the fourth quarter of 2021, averaging 111 MBbl/d.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $231 million, a 9% increase compared to the prior year quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$242M

Previous: $216M+11.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.20

Previous: $0.20+0.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$231M

Previous: $213M+8.5%
Capital Expenditures

$63M

Previous: $80M-21.3%
Adjusted Free Cash Flow after dividends

$8M

Previous: -$19M+142.1%
Free Cash Flow

$116M

Previous: -$19M+710.5%
Net Income

$83M

Previous: $79M+5.1%
Operating Income

$144M

Previous: $0.00
Gross Profit

$160M

Previous: $150M+6.5%
Total Assets

$5.79B

Previous: $5.54B+4.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.63M

Previous: $3.2M+75.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Antero Midstream · Revenue · Quarterly

$242M

Q4 2022+11.6%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Antero Midstream · $224M total across 3 segments · Q4 2022

  • Gathering and Processing
    $182M-0.5%
  • Water Handling
    $60M+17.6%
  • Amortization of Customer Relationships
    -$18M+0.0%

Forward guidance

Antero Midstream is forecasting Net Income of $340 to $380 million and Adjusted Net Income (adjusted for amortization of customer relationships and effective tax rate impact) of $395 to $435 million. The Company is forecasting Adjusted EBITDA of $930 to $970 million and a capital budget of $195 to $215 million.

Tailwinds

  • Forecasting Net Income of $340 to $380 million.
  • Forecasting Adjusted Net Income of $395 to $435 million.
  • Forecasting Adjusted EBITDA of $930 to $970 million.
  • Capital budget of $195 to $215 million.
  • Mid-to-high single digit low pressure gathering growth in 2023 compared to 2022.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

17 / 35 earnings

Positive

+9.2%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-12.5%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.1%-0.5%-4.3%
Q4 2025+2.3%+4.9%+13.2%
Q3 2025-0.2%-1.9%+2.7%
Q1 2025+1.9%+5.8%+13.5%
Q4 2024+6.1%+5.9%+7.3%
Q3 2024-3.4%-3.0%+7.3%
Q2 2024-3.6%-8.0%+2.1%
Q1 2024+2.1%+1.7%+3.4%
Q4 2023+6.2%+6.2%+14.4%
Q3 2023+1.7%+0.4%+9.1%
Q2 2023-0.9%+1.8%+1.8%
Q1 2023+4.7%+10.3%+5.7%
Q4 2022+1.0%-2.4%-9.1%
Q3 2022+0.5%+4.0%+8.0%
Q2 2022+0.9%+2.9%+7.5%
Q1 2022+9.2%+3.7%+11.5%
Q4 2021-5.3%-3.7%+2.6%
Q3 2021-1.7%-3.1%-7.2%
Q2 2021+0.7%-3.9%+0.9%
Q1 2021-2.2%-2.3%+6.8%
Q4 2020-12.5%-12.4%-3.2%
Q3 2020-5.8%-11.9%+9.6%
Q1 2020+2.6%+1.7%+3.2%
Q4 2019-0.6%-4.8%-31.7%
Q3 2019-1.9%-8.9%-36.5%
Q2 2019-6.7%-12.5%-21.3%
Q1 2019+0.7%-1.1%+0.1%
Q4 2018+1.5%-5.9%-8.6%
Q3 2018-0.4%-3.9%-6.0%
Q2 2018-0.9%-1.7%-12.1%
Q1 2018+4.3%+3.3%+9.2%
Q4 2017+4.5%+4.6%-13.4%
Q3 2017-2.8%-2.6%-3.7%
Q2 2017-5.8%-7.1%-10.4%
Q1 2017-1.3%-3.5%-0.2%
Q4 2016
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q2 2014

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