NYSE$AGRO

Adecoagro S.A. · Q1 2026 earnings

Q1 2026 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Adecoagro Q1 2026: $393.5M gross sales, $85.8M Adjusted EBITDA (+139% YoY) on crushing record and Profertil

Adecoagro S.A. reported first-quarter 2026 results reflecting strong performance across its redefined operating segments following the Profertil acquisition. Gross sales rose 21.6% year over year to $393.5 million and Adjusted EBITDA more than doubled to $85.8 million with a 22.3% margin, up from $35.9 million and 11.3% in Q1 2025. On a pro forma basis including Profertil from January 1, 2025, Adjusted EBITDA grew 78.5% to $85.8 million from $48.1 million. The Sugar, Ethanol & Energy segment posted $40.6 million Adjusted EBITDA on a first-quarter crushing record of 2.2 million tons and 96% ethanol mix. The new Fertilizers segment contributed $52.5 million Adjusted EBITDA on higher urea production and prices, with average urea selling price of $517/ton versus $444/ton prior year. Food & Agriculture Adjusted EBITDA fell to $1.4 million on lower commodity prices. IFRS profit for the period was $43.8 million while Adjusted Net Income was a loss of $34.4 million, or $0.24 per share, reflecting foreign exchange and inflation adjustments.

  • Adjusted EBITDA surged 138.7% YoY to $85.8 million on gross sales of $393.5 million (+21.6%).
  • Sugar, Ethanol & Energy crushed a first-quarter record 2.2 million tons with 96% ethanol mix; segment Adjusted EBITDA was $40.6 million (+36%).
  • Fertilizers segment Adjusted EBITDA reached $52.5 million on 67.8% higher sales volumes and urea prices averaging $517/ton versus $444/ton.
  • Pro forma net debt totaled $1.63 billion (3.2x LTM Adjusted EBITDA) after Profertil acquisition payment and seasonal working capital needs.
  • Management expects stronger 2026 fertilizer EBITDA as recent ~55% urea price increases flow through with largely fixed natural gas costs.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$394M

Previous: $324M+21.6%
EPS (adj)

-$0.24

Previous: -$0.13-84.6%
Adjusted EBITDA

$85.8M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA margin

22.3%

No prior period
Cane crushed (tons)

2.2M

No prior period
Net debt

$1.63B

No prior period
Net Income

$43.8M

Previous: $18.7M+134.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Adecoagro · Revenue · Quarterly

$394M

Q1 2026+21.6%vs Q1 2025
Beat estimate in 7 of 8 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Adecoagro · $162M total across 1 segment · Q1 2026

  • Food & Agriculture
    $162M

Forward guidance

Adecoagro expects low-double-digit crushing volume growth in 2026 assuming normal weather, with fertilizer EBITDA exceeding prior years as elevated urea prices pass through to margins given fixed gas costs.

Tailwinds

  • International urea prices up ~55% since late February 2026 conflict, with CFR Brazil near $725/ton supporting fertilizer upside.
  • 65% of 2026 sugar production hedged at 15.7 cts/lb with crushing pace on track for full-year targets.

Headwinds

  • Net leverage elevated at 3.2x pro forma LTM Adjusted EBITDA after Profertil acquisition.
  • Food & Agriculture segment pressured by lower commodity prices and carry-over stock costs.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2026

Historical avgQ1 2026

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.7%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

25 / 42 earnings

Positive

+13.7%

Q1 2026

Best reaction

-10.0%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+13.7%-2.6%-13.6%
Q1 2025+2.2%+5.3%+4.1%
Q4 2024+0.7%+1.1%+4.8%
Q3 2024-5.0%+0.2%-7.9%
Q2 2024+12.2%+10.6%+9.7%
Q1 2024-5.1%-5.6%-16.7%
Q4 2023-3.6%-0.3%+6.7%
Q3 2023+0.1%+1.8%+12.3%
Q2 2023+10.1%+17.1%+24.3%
Q1 2023+2.0%+1.3%+12.0%
Q4 2022-1.5%-0.5%+0.0%
Q3 2022-10.0%-11.4%-15.1%
Q2 2022+8.8%+6.5%+2.2%
Q1 2022+3.5%+10.6%+3.1%
Q4 2021-9.3%-6.2%+6.3%
Q3 2021+5.3%+8.6%-18.4%
Q2 2021-9.5%-9.2%-7.8%
Q1 2021+2.5%+7.7%+19.4%
Q4 2020+3.8%+1.5%-5.4%
Q3 2020+3.4%+7.7%+26.1%
Q2 2020+3.7%+1.0%+4.5%
Q1 2020-0.3%+3.6%+28.0%
Q4 2019+1.0%-9.0%-9.2%
Q3 2019+3.1%+3.1%+27.1%
Q2 2019+8.9%+2.3%+6.1%
Q1 2019-0.6%-1.4%+9.2%
Q4 2018+4.0%+6.0%+4.5%
Q3 2018+0.6%-4.6%-1.4%
Q2 2018+2.7%+2.1%-9.8%
Q1 2018+3.3%+7.9%+10.1%
Q4 2017-2.6%-5.0%-5.0%
Q3 2017-7.6%-3.3%+7.3%
Q2 2017-3.2%-3.4%-1.7%
Q1 2017+1.0%-3.4%-11.7%
Q4 2016-1.7%-0.9%-5.2%
Q3 2016+0.4%+0.7%-5.1%
Q2 2016+0.5%-1.3%+6.6%
Q1 2016-4.6%
Q1 2012+2.9%
Q3 2011-6.3%
Q4 2010-3.1%
Q2 2011-0.2%
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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