NYSE$AGM

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Farmer Mac reported strong earnings growth with a 24% increase in diluted EPS and higher net interest income for Q4 2024.

Farmer Mac reported Q4 2024 net income of $50.8 million, up from $40.8 million in Q4 2023. Revenue increased to $93.37 million, reflecting higher net interest income. Diluted EPS grew 24% year-over-year to $4.63, while core EPS slightly declined to $3.97. The company also announced a 7% increase in its quarterly dividend.

  • Net income increased 24.5% to $50.8 million.
  • Revenue rose to $93.37 million, driven by higher net interest income.
  • Diluted EPS grew to $4.63, while core EPS decreased to $3.97.
  • Farmer Mac announced a 7% dividend increase, marking 14 consecutive years of dividend growth.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$93.4M

Previous: $170M-44.9%
EPS (adj)

$3.97

Previous: $4.10-3.2%
Net Interest Income (GAAP)

$93.4M

Previous: $82.2M+13.6%
Core Earnings

$43.6M

Previous: $44.9M-3.0%
Net Effective Spread (Non-GAAP)

$87.5M

Previous: $84.6M+3.5%
Outstanding Business Volume

$29.5B

No prior period
Provision for Losses

$3.77M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$0.00

Previous: $0.00
Net Income

$50.8M

Previous: $47.6M+6.8%
Operating Income

$68.4M

Previous: $60.4M+13.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Farmer Mac · Revenue · Quarterly

$93.4M

Q4 2024-44.9%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Farmer Mac expects continued earnings growth in 2025, supported by strong liquidity, capital levels, and a diversified business mix.

Tailwinds

  • Strong liquidity position with 264 days of cash reserves.
  • Continued growth in net interest income and net effective spread.
  • Ongoing dividend increases supported by earnings potential.
  • Resilient capital position with a Tier 1 Capital Ratio of 14.2%.
  • Favorable business environment for rural infrastructure financing.

Headwinds

  • Potential headwinds from interest rate fluctuations impacting loan demand.
  • Economic uncertainty may affect agricultural and infrastructure lending.
  • Regulatory changes could impact operations and funding costs.
  • Market volatility may lead to fluctuations in net interest margin.
  • Higher operating expenses expected due to strategic investments.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

38 / 65 earnings

Positive

+13.9%

Q3 2016

Best reaction

-14.5%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.6%+6.4%+6.9%
Q4 2025-14.5%-8.0%-19.4%
Q3 2025+4.6%+3.7%+11.3%
Q1 2025+4.6%+10.4%+8.4%
Q4 2024+6.3%+3.7%-2.1%
Q3 2024+5.0%+12.7%+17.2%
Q2 2024-9.5%-10.3%-3.2%
Q1 2024-10.8%-7.6%-9.5%
Q4 2023-5.0%-5.9%+1.6%
Q3 2023-3.8%-2.9%+2.5%
Q2 2023+4.7%+8.1%-0.3%
Q1 2023-4.9%-1.0%+15.7%
Q4 2022+4.2%+7.0%-7.5%
Q3 2022+1.7%+5.4%+3.0%
Q2 2022+2.2%+6.2%-1.4%
Q1 2022-3.8%-5.5%-4.3%
Q4 2021-5.8%-4.8%-10.5%
Q3 2021-3.7%-1.6%-6.8%
Q2 2021+3.6%+4.4%+6.7%
Q1 2021-5.6%-7.5%-7.5%
Q4 2020+1.3%+4.2%+18.9%
Q3 2020+9.3%+4.5%+16.7%
Q2 2020+8.7%+11.1%+7.3%
Q1 2020-9.3%-8.4%+10.7%
Q4 2019+4.9%+5.1%-20.8%
Q3 2019-4.7%-6.2%-5.5%
Q2 2019+1.3%-2.5%+6.6%
Q1 2019+4.4%+1.4%-11.6%
Q4 2018+10.7%+13.1%-5.3%
Q3 2018+0.5%-0.3%-16.0%
Q2 2018-12.5%-17.2%-15.8%
Q1 2018-0.7%+0.6%+3.0%
Q4 2017+3.9%+4.9%+5.4%
Q3 2017-0.7%+4.1%+5.2%
Q2 2017-2.1%-0.1%-4.4%
Q1 2017+12.1%+11.8%+18.4%
Q4 2016+10.0%+10.1%-0.7%
Q3 2016+13.9%+18.8%+38.5%
Q2 2016+4.5%+2.7%+5.7%
Q1 2016-8.1%
Q4 2015+11.2%
Q3 2015+0.7%
Q2 2015+0.5%
Q1 2015+1.9%
Q4 2014-11.3%
Q3 2014-3.6%
Q2 2014+12.5%
Q1 2014-12.4%
Q4 2013+0.7%
Q3 2013+0.5%
Q2 2013+7.1%
Q1 2013-1.4%
Q2 2012-0.8%
Q4 2012-0.8%
Q3 2012+2.9%
Q4 2011+2.9%
Q1 2011+2.9%
Q1 2012+2.9%
Q4 2009+3.9%
Q2 2011+3.9%
Q3 2011-7.4%
Q3 2010-7.4%
Q2 2010+7.4%
Q4 2010+7.4%
Q1 2010-8.6%

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