NYSE$AES

AES Corp · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

AES reported results for Q1 2020, showing a slight decrease in diluted EPS but an increase in adjusted EPS compared to Q1 2019.

AES reported a diluted EPS of $0.22 and an adjusted EPS of $0.29 for Q1 2020. The company reaffirmed its average annual growth target for Adjusted EPS and Parent Free Cash Flow through 2022 and expects a limited near-term impact from the COVID-19 pandemic.

  • Completed construction of 1.4 GW of new projects.
  • Signed 685 MW of new renewables under long-term PPAs, bringing backlog to 5.3 GW.
  • Fluence maintained global leadership in the energy storage market with 32 MW of projects awarded, bringing total backlog to 1.3 GW.
  • Maintained strong liquidity of $3.3 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.34B

Previous: $2.65B-11.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.29

Previous: $0.28+3.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$576M

Previous: -$504M-14.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$432M

Previous: -$350M-23.4%
Net Income

$144M

Previous: $154M-6.5%
Operating Income

$189M

Previous: $289M-34.6%
Gross Profit

$507M

Previous: $586M-13.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.54B

Previous: $1.43B+8.3%
Total Assets

$34.1B

Previous: $33.5B+2.0%

Revenue & EPS history

AES · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.34B

Q1 2020-11.8%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

AES · $28M total across 1 segment · Q1 2020

  • Corporate and Other
    $28M

Forward guidance

AES is reducing the mid-point of its 2020 Adjusted EPS guidance by 5%, or $0.07 per share, to a range of $1.32 to $1.42 and reaffirming its 2020 Parent Free Cash Flow expectation of $725 million to $775 million.

Tailwinds

  • Reaffirming 2020 Parent Free Cash Flow expectation of $725 to $775 million.
  • Reaffirming 7% to 9% average annual growth target for Adjusted EPS through 2022.
  • Reaffirming 7% to 9% average annual growth target for Parent Free Cash Flow through 2022.
  • Remain committed to growing dividend by 4% to 6% annually.
  • Expects to comfortably exceed targeted investment grade ratio of Parent Free Cash Flow to Recourse Debt at year-end 2020

Headwinds

  • Reducing mid-point of 2020 Adjusted EPS guidance by 5%, or $0.07 per share.
  • Lower demand across its businesses, particularly at its US utilities.
  • Businesses have been negatively impacted by the COVID-19-related economic slowdown that began late in the first quarter of 2020.
  • Expects demand trend to continue through the second quarter.
  • Expects some improvement in the third quarter but further recovery by year-end 2020.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.9%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

41 / 73 earnings

Positive

+13.1%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-10.7%

Q2 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.6%+0.3%+3.0%
Q4 2025+7.0%-12.1%-13.8%
Q3 2025+5.8%+5.7%+3.6%
Q1 2025+2.2%+3.5%+1.4%
Q4 2024-3.5%-6.2%+7.2%
Q3 2024-10.4%-5.5%-20.6%
Q2 2024-3.7%-7.1%-3.7%
Q1 2024+2.8%+3.7%+18.8%
Q4 2023-5.6%-3.3%+7.8%
Q3 2023+13.1%+8.7%+22.1%
Q2 2023-6.7%-6.7%-15.0%
Q1 2023+1.0%-0.8%-10.1%
Q4 2022-2.5%-0.9%-7.3%
Q3 2022+2.3%+0.2%+9.5%
Q2 2022+3.8%+6.2%+13.7%
Q1 2022-4.5%-8.9%+1.6%
Q4 2021+2.7%+0.6%+18.6%
Q3 2021-1.0%-5.8%-6.3%
Q2 2021+3.9%+1.0%+3.0%
Q1 2021-2.6%-4.3%-5.7%
Q4 2020-5.1%-4.3%-6.0%
Q3 2020+0.0%+1.5%+0.5%
Q2 2020+11.4%+10.3%+14.1%
Q1 2020+2.7%-0.5%+14.1%
Q4 2019-0.4%-2.5%-26.5%
Q3 2019+2.2%+4.3%+8.9%
Q2 2019-4.0%-4.6%-5.4%
Q1 2019-4.9%-3.3%+0.9%
Q4 2018-0.3%-1.0%+4.6%
Q3 2018+3.5%+3.0%+2.5%
Q2 2018+0.9%-1.9%-3.9%
Q1 2018-2.4%-0.6%+2.8%
Q4 2017+4.0%+3.9%+8.8%
Q3 2017-0.8%-0.6%+0.9%
Q2 2017+1.4%+0.0%+0.5%
Q1 2017+0.2%+0.1%+2.2%
Q4 2016-3.4%-3.2%-5.7%
Q3 2016+5.6%+2.2%-4.9%
Q2 2016-1.9%-1.9%-1.5%
Q1 2016+3.3%
Q4 2015+4.1%
Q3 2015-5.7%
Q2 2015-2.3%
Q1 2015+0.4%
Q4 2014+8.1%
Q3 2014-3.5%
Q2 2014+2.7%
Q1 2014-3.0%
Q4 2013-3.6%
Q3 2013+1.1%
Q2 2013+1.7%
Q1 2013-4.2%
Q4 2012+6.1%
Q3 2012-3.1%
Q2 2012-5.9%
Q1 2012-1.1%
Q4 2011-2.6%
Q3 2011+3.0%
Q2 2011-10.7%
Q1 2011+0.2%
Q4 2010+3.8%
Q3 2010-1.2%
Q2 2010+3.7%
Q4 2009-0.6%
Q1 2010+2.1%
Q3 2009+0.4%
Q3 2008+0.4%
Q4 2006+1.4%
Q1 2009+1.4%
Q4 2007+1.4%
Q2 2008+6.4%
Q4 2008+6.4%
Q2 2009+6.4%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro