NASDAQ$VSEC

VSE Corporation · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

VSE Corporation's Q4 2023 earnings were announced, revealing record revenue and profitability for the Aviation segment, driven by strong program execution and strategic acquisitions.

VSE Corporation reported strong Q4 2023 results with a 37% increase in total revenues to $235.3 million and a 62% increase in GAAP net income to $12.8 million. The Aviation segment achieved record revenue, and the Fleet segment continued to diversify its customer base.

  • Total revenues increased by 37% to $235.3 million.
  • GAAP Net Income increased by 62% to $12.8 million.
  • Aviation segment revenue increased by 43% to $153.7 million, driven by strong program execution and acquisitions.
  • Fleet segment revenue increased by 26% to $81.6 million, with commercial customer revenue up by 72%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$235M

Previous: $234M+0.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.85

Previous: $0.68+25.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$31.4M

No prior period
Adjusted Net Leverage Ratio

3.4

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$7.87M

Previous: $3.8M-307.3%
Net Income

$12.8M

Previous: $4.8M+167.4%
Operating Income

$25.3M

Previous: $11.8M+114.7%
Gross Profit

$26.8M

Previous: $14.2M+88.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.93M

Previous: $868K+122.0%

Revenue & EPS history

VSE · Revenue · Quarterly

$235M

Q4 2023+0.4%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

VSE · $61M total across 1 segment · Q4 2019

  • Aviation
    $61M+42.3%

Forward guidance

VSE reaffirms its full year Aviation segment guidance and provides Fleet segment guidance for 2024, anticipating continued revenue growth and profitability.

Tailwinds

  • Aviation segment full year 2024 revenue growth of 24% to 28%, as compared to the prior year.
  • Aviation segment Adjusted EBITDA margin expected to be between 15% and 16%.
  • Fleet segment full year 2024 revenue growth of 13% to 17%, as compared to the prior year.
  • Fleet segment Adjusted EBITDA to increase 8% to 12%, as compared to the prior year.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+1.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

32 / 65 earnings

Positive

+34.8%

Q3 2015

Best reaction

-20.5%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.1%-9.5%-9.4%
Q4 2025+3.0%-1.3%-22.2%
Q3 2025-1.3%-1.0%-1.4%
Q1 2025+7.9%+11.3%+13.2%
Q4 2024+16.7%+14.8%+15.5%
Q3 2024+7.6%+13.6%+11.6%
Q2 2024-3.3%-11.4%+6.8%
Q1 2024-4.9%-10.8%-3.3%
Q4 2023+3.6%+0.2%+10.3%
Q3 2023+8.8%+8.8%+14.2%
Q2 2023-2.3%+0.6%-0.1%
Q1 2023+25.7%+13.1%+11.2%
Q4 2022-20.5%-28.2%-25.1%
Q3 2022-0.8%+6.7%+12.5%
Q2 2022+15.1%+16.6%+23.3%
Q1 2022+17.0%+5.5%+0.9%
Q4 2021-4.9%-9.0%-15.6%
Q3 2021+11.7%+11.4%+15.9%
Q2 2021-3.1%-7.4%-5.0%
Q1 2021+0.1%+3.6%+7.7%
Q4 2020+0.9%+6.0%+3.6%
Q3 2020-3.1%+2.7%+16.2%
Q2 2020+3.8%+0.9%+4.8%
Q1 2020-0.9%-11.2%+28.8%
Q4 2019+3.9%-6.0%-35.2%
Q3 2019+17.7%+16.2%+20.8%
Q2 2019+14.2%+17.6%+24.2%
Q1 2019-5.2%-8.2%-20.8%
Q4 2018-3.0%-3.5%-12.1%
Q3 2018+9.8%+7.1%+1.4%
Q2 2018-5.1%-8.5%-18.1%
Q1 2018-0.6%-2.5%-3.6%
Q4 2017-2.1%+0.3%+6.6%
Q3 2017-13.8%-15.4%-17.2%
Q2 2017+9.2%+18.8%+11.3%
Q1 2017-2.6%-1.9%-3.6%
Q4 2016+0.0%-2.9%-4.6%
Q3 2016-7.3%-6.9%+26.6%
Q2 2016-6.3%-8.7%-3.4%
Q1 2016-9.2%
Q4 2015+9.7%
Q3 2015+34.8%
Q2 2015-2.5%
Q1 2015-7.3%
Q4 2014-1.0%
Q3 2014+4.2%
Q2 2014-9.4%
Q1 2014+4.3%
Q4 2013+0.0%
Q3 2013-9.2%
Q2 2013+4.7%
Q1 2013-0.3%
Q4 2012+2.3%
Q3 2012-0.6%
Q2 2012-1.7%
Q1 2011+6.7%
Q1 2012+0.2%
Q4 2009+1.4%
Q4 2011+1.4%
Q3 2011-7.2%
Q2 2011+12.9%
Q4 2010+12.9%
Q3 2010-6.8%
Q2 2010-0.3%
Q1 2010+0.1%

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