NASDAQ$VSEC

VSE Corporation · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

VSE Corporation's first quarter results decreased compared to the same period last year, but adjusted net income and adjusted EBITDA increased.

VSE Corporation reported a decrease in GAAP net income and EPS, but an increase in adjusted net income, adjusted EPS, and adjusted EBITDA. Total revenue increased by 4.4%. The company is managing the impact of COVID-19 and expects to be profitable and free cash flow positive for the full year.

  • Total revenues increased by 4.4% compared to the first quarter of 2019.
  • GAAP Net Income decreased 49.5%.
  • Adjusted Net Income increased 32%.
  • Free Cash Flow increased by $5.6 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$177M

Previous: $170M+4.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.89

Previous: $0.60+48.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$724K

Previous: -$601K-20.5%
Free Cash Flow

$2.61M

Previous: $6M-56.5%
Net Income

$3.33M

Previous: $6.6M-49.5%
Operating Income

$9.73M

Previous: $11.8M-17.6%
Gross Profit

$16.2M

Previous: $11.8M+36.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$543K

Previous: $829K-34.5%
Total Assets

$811M

Previous: $804M+0.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$897K

Previous: $1.64M-45.3%

Revenue & EPS history

VSE · Revenue · Quarterly

$177M

Q1 2020+4.4%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 2 of 3 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

VSE · $61M total across 1 segment · Q4 2019

  • Aviation
    $61M+42.3%

Forward guidance

VSE expects to be profitable and free cash flow positive for the full year 2020, supported by stable revenue and profit in Federal & Defense and Fleet segments, disciplined expense management and targeted reductions in capital expenditures.

Tailwinds

  • Stable revenue and profit in Federal & Defense segment
  • Stable revenue and profit in Fleet segment
  • Disciplined expense management
  • Targeted reductions in capital expenditures
  • Expect to be profitable for the full year 2020

Headwinds

  • COVID-19 will have an adverse impact on our aviation business this year.
  • Anticipates air travel, and therefore revenue passenger miles, to remain well below historical levels for the remainder of the current calendar year.
  • Aviation segment performance to be adversely impacted in 2020.
  • Decline in funded backlog was attributable to the expiration of a contract in January 2020.
  • Decrease in first quarter 2020 operating income was primarily attributable to customer and product mix.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

+1.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

32 / 65 earnings

Positive

+34.8%

Q3 2015

Best reaction

-20.5%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.1%-9.5%-9.4%
Q4 2025+3.0%-1.3%-22.2%
Q3 2025-1.3%-1.0%-1.4%
Q1 2025+7.9%+11.3%+13.2%
Q4 2024+16.7%+14.8%+15.5%
Q3 2024+7.6%+13.6%+11.6%
Q2 2024-3.3%-11.4%+6.8%
Q1 2024-4.9%-10.8%-3.3%
Q4 2023+3.6%+0.2%+10.3%
Q3 2023+8.8%+8.8%+14.2%
Q2 2023-2.3%+0.6%-0.1%
Q1 2023+25.7%+13.1%+11.2%
Q4 2022-20.5%-28.2%-25.1%
Q3 2022-0.8%+6.7%+12.5%
Q2 2022+15.1%+16.6%+23.3%
Q1 2022+17.0%+5.5%+0.9%
Q4 2021-4.9%-9.0%-15.6%
Q3 2021+11.7%+11.4%+15.9%
Q2 2021-3.1%-7.4%-5.0%
Q1 2021+0.1%+3.6%+7.7%
Q4 2020+0.9%+6.0%+3.6%
Q3 2020-3.1%+2.7%+16.2%
Q2 2020+3.8%+0.9%+4.8%
Q1 2020-0.9%-11.2%+28.8%
Q4 2019+3.9%-6.0%-35.2%
Q3 2019+17.7%+16.2%+20.8%
Q2 2019+14.2%+17.6%+24.2%
Q1 2019-5.2%-8.2%-20.8%
Q4 2018-3.0%-3.5%-12.1%
Q3 2018+9.8%+7.1%+1.4%
Q2 2018-5.1%-8.5%-18.1%
Q1 2018-0.6%-2.5%-3.6%
Q4 2017-2.1%+0.3%+6.6%
Q3 2017-13.8%-15.4%-17.2%
Q2 2017+9.2%+18.8%+11.3%
Q1 2017-2.6%-1.9%-3.6%
Q4 2016+0.0%-2.9%-4.6%
Q3 2016-7.3%-6.9%+26.6%
Q2 2016-6.3%-8.7%-3.4%
Q1 2016-9.2%
Q4 2015+9.7%
Q3 2015+34.8%
Q2 2015-2.5%
Q1 2015-7.3%
Q4 2014-1.0%
Q3 2014+4.2%
Q2 2014-9.4%
Q1 2014+4.3%
Q4 2013+0.0%
Q3 2013-9.2%
Q2 2013+4.7%
Q1 2013-0.3%
Q4 2012+2.3%
Q3 2012-0.6%
Q2 2012-1.7%
Q1 2011+6.7%
Q1 2012+0.2%
Q4 2009+1.4%
Q4 2011+1.4%
Q3 2011-7.2%
Q2 2011+12.9%
Q4 2010+12.9%
Q3 2010-6.8%
Q2 2010-0.3%
Q1 2010+0.1%

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