NASDAQ$VSEC

VSE Corporation · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

VSE Corporation reported record revenue and profitability for the Aviation segment.

VSE Corporation announced strong first-quarter 2024 results, marked by a 28.1% increase in total revenues to $241.5 million and a 49.0% increase in GAAP net income to $12.1 million. The Aviation segment was a key driver, with a 43% revenue increase and record Adjusted EBITDA margins.

  • Total revenues increased by 28.1% to $241.5 million.
  • GAAP Net Income increased by 49.0% to $12.1 million.
  • Aviation segment revenue increased by 43% to $162.4 million.
  • Fleet segment revenue increased by 5% to $79.2 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$242M

Previous: $255M-5.4%
EPS

-$0.41

Previous: $0.83-149.4%
Adjusted EBITDA

$25.2M

Previous: $26.3M-4.1%
Aviation Adj. EBITDA Margin

17.5%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$7.73M

Previous: -$2.84M-172.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$14.3M

Previous: $6.28M-328.5%
Net Income

-$6.61M

Previous: $9.12M-172.5%
Operating Income

$24.2M

Previous: $17.9M+34.8%
Gross Profit

$24.2M

Previous: $17.9M+34.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$10.6M

Previous: $532K+1886.7%
Total Assets

$1.34B

Previous: $1.04B+28.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.5M

Previous: $2.08M+20.0%

Revenue & EPS history

VSE · Revenue · Quarterly

$242M

Q1 2024-5.4%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

VSE · $61M total across 1 segment · Q4 2019

  • Aviation
    $61M+42.3%

Forward guidance

VSE is increasing its full-year 2024 revenue growth and Adjusted EBITDA margin guidance for its Aviation segment and revising its full-year 2024 revenue growth and Adjusted EBITDA margin guidance for its Fleet segment.

Tailwinds

  • Aviation segment full-year 2024 revenue guidance range is increasing from 24% to 28% to 34% to 38% growth, as compared to the prior year, to reflect both current business performance and current year contributions from the recent TCI acquisition.
  • Aviation segment full-year 2024 Adjusted EBITDA margin guidance range is increasing from 15% to 16% to 15.5% to 16.5%.

Headwinds

  • Fleet segment full-year 2024 revenue guidance range is decreasing from 13% to 17% to a 0% to 5%, as compared to the prior year.
  • The USPS has decided to migrate all of their vehicle maintenance facilities to a new Fleet Management Information System ("FMIS") in 2024, which is resulting in a temporary decline in the number of transactions processed at converted facilities. To date, the USPS has migrated one-third of their facilities to this new system and expects to convert the remaining facilities by the end of the third quarter of 2024. As a result, the Company expects USPS revenue to decline 30% to 35% for the full year 2024, offset by an approximate 40% increase in commercial revenue.
  • Fleet segment full-year 2024 Adjusted EBITDA margin guidance is 6% to 8%, driven by lower USPS sales volume and an increased mix of commercial customers.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

+1.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

32 / 65 earnings

Positive

+34.8%

Q3 2015

Best reaction

-20.5%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.1%-9.5%-9.4%
Q4 2025+3.0%-1.3%-22.2%
Q3 2025-1.3%-1.0%-1.4%
Q1 2025+7.9%+11.3%+13.2%
Q4 2024+16.7%+14.8%+15.5%
Q3 2024+7.6%+13.6%+11.6%
Q2 2024-3.3%-11.4%+6.8%
Q1 2024-4.9%-10.8%-3.3%
Q4 2023+3.6%+0.2%+10.3%
Q3 2023+8.8%+8.8%+14.2%
Q2 2023-2.3%+0.6%-0.1%
Q1 2023+25.7%+13.1%+11.2%
Q4 2022-20.5%-28.2%-25.1%
Q3 2022-0.8%+6.7%+12.5%
Q2 2022+15.1%+16.6%+23.3%
Q1 2022+17.0%+5.5%+0.9%
Q4 2021-4.9%-9.0%-15.6%
Q3 2021+11.7%+11.4%+15.9%
Q2 2021-3.1%-7.4%-5.0%
Q1 2021+0.1%+3.6%+7.7%
Q4 2020+0.9%+6.0%+3.6%
Q3 2020-3.1%+2.7%+16.2%
Q2 2020+3.8%+0.9%+4.8%
Q1 2020-0.9%-11.2%+28.8%
Q4 2019+3.9%-6.0%-35.2%
Q3 2019+17.7%+16.2%+20.8%
Q2 2019+14.2%+17.6%+24.2%
Q1 2019-5.2%-8.2%-20.8%
Q4 2018-3.0%-3.5%-12.1%
Q3 2018+9.8%+7.1%+1.4%
Q2 2018-5.1%-8.5%-18.1%
Q1 2018-0.6%-2.5%-3.6%
Q4 2017-2.1%+0.3%+6.6%
Q3 2017-13.8%-15.4%-17.2%
Q2 2017+9.2%+18.8%+11.3%
Q1 2017-2.6%-1.9%-3.6%
Q4 2016+0.0%-2.9%-4.6%
Q3 2016-7.3%-6.9%+26.6%
Q2 2016-6.3%-8.7%-3.4%
Q1 2016-9.2%
Q4 2015+9.7%
Q3 2015+34.8%
Q2 2015-2.5%
Q1 2015-7.3%
Q4 2014-1.0%
Q3 2014+4.2%
Q2 2014-9.4%
Q1 2014+4.3%
Q4 2013+0.0%
Q3 2013-9.2%
Q2 2013+4.7%
Q1 2013-0.3%
Q4 2012+2.3%
Q3 2012-0.6%
Q2 2012-1.7%
Q1 2011+6.7%
Q1 2012+0.2%
Q4 2009+1.4%
Q4 2011+1.4%
Q3 2011-7.2%
Q2 2011+12.9%
Q4 2010+12.9%
Q3 2010-6.8%
Q2 2010-0.3%
Q1 2010+0.1%

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