NASDAQ$VSEC

VSE Corporation · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced fourth quarter and full-year 2020 results, highlighting strategic transformation and positioning for growth.

VSE Corporation reported a decline in total revenues and net income for Q4 2020 compared to Q4 2019, but is focused on strategic transformation and growth in 2021. Total revenues were $150.0 million, a 23.2% decrease, and GAAP net income was $6.0 million, a 39.8% decrease. The company is executing a multi-year business transformation plan with new business development initiatives and product/service line expansions.

  • Aviation segment revenue, excluding divestitures, declined 26.2% year-over-year due to reduced commercial MRO activity, but increased 6.5% sequentially from Q3 2020.
  • Fleet segment revenue increased 0.7% year-over-year, driven by growth in commercial fleet and e-commerce fulfillment.
  • Federal and Defense segment revenue declined 28.8% year-over-year due to the completion of a DoD program, but Adjusted EBITDA improved due to a more favorable contract mix.
  • VSE acquired HAECO Special Services to expand MRO capabilities for military customers.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$150M

Previous: $195M-23.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.52

Previous: $0.90-42.2%
Capital Expenditures

$1.47M

Previous: $1.94M-24.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$945K

Previous: -$1.39M+31.8%
Net Income

$6.01M

Previous: $10M-39.8%
Operating Income

$11.9M

Previous: $14.8M-19.6%
Gross Profit

$16.8M

Previous: $20.4M-17.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$378K

Previous: $734K-48.5%
Total Assets

$253M

Previous: $846M-70.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.14M

Previous: $672K+68.9%

Revenue & EPS history

VSE · Revenue · Quarterly

$150M

Q4 2020-23.2%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 4 of 6 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

VSE · $61M total across 1 segment · Q4 2019

  • Aviation
    $61M+42.3%

Forward guidance

VSE intends to expand product and service offerings, capture share gains, execute inorganic growth opportunities, and accelerate cultural transformation in 2021. The company is well-capitalized to support growth, with a focus on working capital investments and bolt-on acquisitions.

Tailwinds

  • Expand product and service offerings
  • Capture share gains within underserved markets
  • Execute inorganic growth opportunities
  • Accelerate cultural transformation
  • Well-capitalized to support growth in 2021

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+1.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

32 / 65 earnings

Positive

+34.8%

Q3 2015

Best reaction

-20.5%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.1%-9.5%-9.4%
Q4 2025+3.0%-1.3%-22.2%
Q3 2025-1.3%-1.0%-1.4%
Q1 2025+7.9%+11.3%+13.2%
Q4 2024+16.7%+14.8%+15.5%
Q3 2024+7.6%+13.6%+11.6%
Q2 2024-3.3%-11.4%+6.8%
Q1 2024-4.9%-10.8%-3.3%
Q4 2023+3.6%+0.2%+10.3%
Q3 2023+8.8%+8.8%+14.2%
Q2 2023-2.3%+0.6%-0.1%
Q1 2023+25.7%+13.1%+11.2%
Q4 2022-20.5%-28.2%-25.1%
Q3 2022-0.8%+6.7%+12.5%
Q2 2022+15.1%+16.6%+23.3%
Q1 2022+17.0%+5.5%+0.9%
Q4 2021-4.9%-9.0%-15.6%
Q3 2021+11.7%+11.4%+15.9%
Q2 2021-3.1%-7.4%-5.0%
Q1 2021+0.1%+3.6%+7.7%
Q4 2020+0.9%+6.0%+3.6%
Q3 2020-3.1%+2.7%+16.2%
Q2 2020+3.8%+0.9%+4.8%
Q1 2020-0.9%-11.2%+28.8%
Q4 2019+3.9%-6.0%-35.2%
Q3 2019+17.7%+16.2%+20.8%
Q2 2019+14.2%+17.6%+24.2%
Q1 2019-5.2%-8.2%-20.8%
Q4 2018-3.0%-3.5%-12.1%
Q3 2018+9.8%+7.1%+1.4%
Q2 2018-5.1%-8.5%-18.1%
Q1 2018-0.6%-2.5%-3.6%
Q4 2017-2.1%+0.3%+6.6%
Q3 2017-13.8%-15.4%-17.2%
Q2 2017+9.2%+18.8%+11.3%
Q1 2017-2.6%-1.9%-3.6%
Q4 2016+0.0%-2.9%-4.6%
Q3 2016-7.3%-6.9%+26.6%
Q2 2016-6.3%-8.7%-3.4%
Q1 2016-9.2%
Q4 2015+9.7%
Q3 2015+34.8%
Q2 2015-2.5%
Q1 2015-7.3%
Q4 2014-1.0%
Q3 2014+4.2%
Q2 2014-9.4%
Q1 2014+4.3%
Q4 2013+0.0%
Q3 2013-9.2%
Q2 2013+4.7%
Q1 2013-0.3%
Q4 2012+2.3%
Q3 2012-0.6%
Q2 2012-1.7%
Q1 2011+6.7%
Q1 2012+0.2%
Q4 2009+1.4%
Q4 2011+1.4%
Q3 2011-7.2%
Q2 2011+12.9%
Q4 2010+12.9%
Q3 2010-6.8%
Q2 2010-0.3%
Q1 2010+0.1%

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