NASDAQ$VITL

Vital Farms Inc · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record net revenue and increased capacity across farmer network.

Vital Farms reported a record net revenue of $60.3 million for Q2 2021, representing a 1.7% increase compared to the same period last year. The company's net income for the quarter was $3.9 million. Vital Farms is reaffirming guidance for net revenue between $246 to $253 million for the full year 2021.

  • Net Revenue increased 1.7% to $60.3 million.
  • Net Income of $3.9 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $5.1 million.
  • Household penetration grew to over 5.5 million households and retail distribution grew to over 17,250 stores.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$60.3M

Previous: $59.3M+1.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.09

Previous: $0.16-43.8%
Adjusted EBITDA

$5.1M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$7.81M

Previous: -$5.39M-45.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$3.9M

Previous: $576K-777.8%
Net Income

$3.91M

Previous: $5.96M-34.5%
Operating Income

$3.02M

Previous: $9.06M-66.7%
Gross Profit

$21.9M

Previous: $22.7M-3.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$37.3M

Previous: $17.1M+118.5%
Total Assets

$182M

Previous: $77.9M+133.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.14M

Previous: $296K+285.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Vital Farms · Revenue · Quarterly

$60.3M

Q2 2021+1.7%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 8 of 10 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Vital Farms is reaffirming its full year 2021 guidance, expecting net revenue between $246 million and $253 million, representing an increase of 15-18% compared to 2020. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $7 million to $9 million for the full year 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Reaffirming net revenue guidance of $246 to $253 million for full year 2021, an increase of 15-18% compared to 2020.
  • Reaffirming Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $7 to $9 million for full year 2021.
  • Continued growth in egg-related sales driven by increased household penetration.
  • New distribution gains at both new and existing retail partners.
  • No additional significant disruptions to the supply chain, customers, or consumers are expected.

Headwinds

  • Guidance assumes no additional significant disruptions to the supply chain.
  • Guidance assumes no issues from adverse macroeconomic factors.
  • Inability to provide a reconciliation between forecasted Adjusted EBITDA and net revenue metrics without unreasonable effort due to the unavailability of reliable estimates for certain items.
  • These items are not within our control and may vary greatly between periods.
  • These items could significantly impact future financial results.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

-1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.4%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

12 / 29 earnings

Positive

+21.7%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-20.8%

Q1 2027

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2027-20.8%-28.2%-16.3%
Q4 2025-10.9%-18.1%-47.0%
Q3 2025+16.6%+7.8%-2.2%
Q1 2025-9.3%-4.9%-14.0%
Q4 2024-9.1%-8.1%-12.3%
Q3 2024-16.2%-22.9%-3.9%
Q2 2024-12.2%-12.0%-15.7%
Q1 2024+21.7%+23.7%+39.9%
Q4 2023+7.9%+10.5%+33.8%
Q3 2023+2.7%+5.9%+22.6%
Q2 2023+17.6%+15.6%+12.5%
Q1 2023+18.6%+20.4%+13.2%
Q4 2022+1.0%-3.9%-5.1%
Q3 2022+4.3%+11.5%+13.4%
Q2 2022+12.3%+15.1%+5.3%
Q1 2022+0.1%-14.0%-22.6%
Q4 2021-6.9%-0.3%+5.2%
Q3 2021+13.6%+16.7%+6.5%
Q2 2021+2.5%+2.5%-4.7%
Q1 2021-3.2%+1.1%+7.3%
Q1 2020-3.2%+1.1%+7.3%
Q4 2020-14.1%-20.5%+2.6%
Q4 2018-14.1%-20.5%+2.6%
Q3 2020-14.7%-15.7%-26.3%
Q3 2019-14.7%-15.7%-26.3%
Q2 2020-4.8%+1.2%+9.3%
Q4 2019-4.8%+1.2%+9.3%
Q2 2019-4.8%+1.2%+9.3%
Q1 2019-4.8%+1.2%+9.3%

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