NASDAQ$ULTA

Ulta Beauty Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Ulta reported a slight revenue decline but exceeded profitability expectations in Q4 FY24.

Ulta Beauty reported net sales of $3.49 billion, reflecting a 1.9% YoY decline due to the prior year's extra week. Comparable sales increased by 1.5%, supported by higher average ticket size. Net income remained stable, while diluted EPS increased to $8.46. The company continued expansion, adding 8 net new stores during the quarter.

  • Net sales reached $3.49 billion, down 1.9% YoY due to the prior year's extra week.
  • Comparable sales increased 1.5%, driven by a 3.0% rise in average ticket size.
  • Diluted EPS increased to $8.46, up from $8.08 in Q4 FY23.
  • Ulta added 8 net new stores, bringing the total to 1,445 locations.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.49B

Previous: $3.55B-1.9%
EPS (adj)

$8.46

Previous: $8.08+4.7%
Net Income

$393M

Previous: $341M+15.4%
Operating Income

$516M

Previous: $448M+15.3%
Gross Profit

$1.33B

Previous: $1.21B+10.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Ulta · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.49B

Q4 2024-1.9%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 13 of 15 quarters(87%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ulta · $51 total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Cosmetics
    $44-2.2%
  • Services
    $4+33.3%
  • Other
    $3+0.0%

Forward guidance

Ulta Beauty expects modest revenue growth in FY25, with continued store expansion and investments in long-term growth initiatives.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales projected between $11.5 billion and $11.6 billion.
  • Comparable sales expected to range between 0% and 1%.
  • Approximately 60 new stores planned for FY25.
  • Operating margin projected between 11.7% and 11.8%.
  • Diluted EPS guidance set between $22.50 and $22.90.

Headwinds

  • Macroeconomic uncertainty may impact consumer spending.
  • Higher costs related to strategic investments could pressure margins.
  • Ongoing supply chain challenges may affect inventory management.
  • Potential impact from competitive pricing strategies in the beauty retail sector.
  • Increased SG&A expenses due to planned investments in store and digital operations.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+2.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

62%

38 / 61 earnings

Positive

+20.5%

Q4 2015

Best reaction

-28.0%

Q2 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+8.6%-16.7%-16.7%
Q3 2025+6.7%+12.5%+16.1%
Q2 2025-7.0%+0.1%+4.0%
Q1 2025+11.7%+10.4%+8.6%
Q4 2024+13.7%+9.3%+14.9%
Q3 2024+7.1%+3.0%+7.9%
Q2 2024-3.8%-2.2%+10.1%
Q1 2024+4.4%+2.9%+2.0%
Q4 2023-5.5%-6.7%-22.0%
Q3 2023+12.4%+14.6%+16.7%
Q2 2023-7.0%-5.2%-9.0%
Q1 2023-12.7%-14.4%-5.8%
Q4 2022-0.6%-1.1%-0.6%
Q3 2022+1.4%+0.2%+0.9%
Q2 2022-0.1%+1.2%-4.8%
Q1 2022+20.4%+19.9%+16.3%
Q4 2021-1.3%-0.5%+7.6%
Q3 2021+2.4%+10.2%+11.4%
Q2 2021+4.0%+2.5%+2.2%
Q1 2021+5.5%+4.8%+6.5%
Q4 2020-7.3%-9.0%-6.1%
Q3 2020-0.9%-3.5%+1.8%
Q2 2020+7.4%+5.5%-1.8%
Q1 2020-3.0%-4.1%-24.5%
Q4 2019-6.4%-30.1%-8.5%
Q3 2019+9.5%+4.6%+4.5%
Q2 2019-28.0%-28.1%-26.0%
Q1 2019+3.5%+4.2%+7.7%
Q4 2018+7.3%+6.0%+9.3%
Q3 2018-12.6%-14.9%-12.4%
Q2 2018+7.6%+13.5%+16.7%
Q1 2018-3.3%+0.2%-7.9%
Q4 2017+9.8%+6.8%+9.4%
Q3 2017-4.7%+0.4%+0.3%
Q2 2017-8.5%-8.7%-5.6%
Q1 2017+7.8%+8.0%+1.5%
Q4 2016+4.0%+3.6%+3.3%
Q3 2016-2.4%-2.0%-1.8%
Q2 2016-7.0%-10.6%-13.5%
Q1 2016+10.2%+10.2%+13.1%
Q4 2015+20.5%
Q3 2015+12.6%
Q2 2015+0.6%
Q1 2015-1.4%
Q4 2014+5.7%
Q3 2014+4.1%
Q2 2014+18.7%
Q1 2014+13.7%
Q4 2013+4.2%
Q3 2013-24.1%
Q2 2013+15.0%
Q1 2013+11.6%
Q4 2012-15.3%
Q3 2012+6.5%
Q2 2012+9.3%
Q1 2012+9.8%
Q4 2010-1.2%
Q3 2011+6.5%
Q1 2011+12.5%
Q4 2011+12.5%
Q2 2011+12.5%

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