NASDAQ$TMUS

T-Mobile Us Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

T-Mobile outperformed the industry on customer and service revenue growth, delivered the highest cash flow in company history in Q3 2023, and raised guidance again. The Un-carrier reached a network milestone by covering 300 million people with Ultra Capacity 5G months ahead of schedule and delivered its lowest Q3 postpaid phone churn in company history.

T-Mobile reported strong Q3 2023 results, outpacing the industry in customer growth and translating this into best-in-class growth in service revenues, profitability, and cash flow. The company raised its full-year 2023 guidance and continues to return value to stockholders through share repurchases and the introduction of a dividend.

  • Postpaid net account additions of 386 thousand, best in industry.
  • Postpaid net customer additions of 1.2 million, best in industry and raising guidance.
  • Service revenues of $15.9 billion grew 4% year-over-year.
  • Adjusted Free Cash Flow of $4.0 billion grew 94% year-over-year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$19.3B

Previous: $19.5B-1.2%
EPS (adj)

$1.82

Previous: $0.40+355.0%
Postpaid Net Customer Adds

1.2M

Previous: 1.6M-26.2%
Prepaid Net Customer Adds

79.0K

Previous: 105.0K-24.8%
Postpaid Phone Churn

0.9%

Previous: 0.9%-1.1%
Prepaid Churn

2.8%

Previous: 2.9%-2.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$2.42B

Previous: -$3.63B+33.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$282M

Previous: -$3.13B+91.0%
Net Income

$2.14B

Previous: $508M+321.7%
Operating Income

$3.6B

Previous: $1.28B+180.7%
Gross Profit

-$663M

Previous: -$760M+12.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$5.03B

Previous: $6.89B-27.0%
Total Assets

$209B

Previous: $213B-2.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$156M

Previous: $150M+4.0%

Revenue & EPS history

T-Mobile · Revenue · Quarterly

$19.3B

Q3 2023-1.2%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

T-Mobile · $12.3B total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • Postpaid Service Revenue
    $12.3B+6.4%

Forward guidance

T-Mobile raised its 2023 guidance for postpaid net customer additions, Core Adjusted EBITDA, net cash provided by operating activities, capital expenditures, and Adjusted Free Cash Flow.

Tailwinds

  • Postpaid net customer additions are expected to be between 5.7 million and 5.9 million, an increase from prior guidance of 5.6 million to 5.9 million.
  • Core Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $29.0 billion and $29.2 billion, an increase from prior guidance of $28.9 billion to $29.2 billion.
  • Merger synergies are expected to be approximately $7.5 billion.
  • Net cash provided by operating activities is expected to be between $18.3 billion and $18.5 billion, an increase from prior guidance of $18.0 billion to $18.3 billion.
  • Adjusted Free Cash Flow is expected to be between $13.4 billion and $13.6 billion, an increase from prior guidance of $13.2 billion to $13.6 billion.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+1.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.0%

Avg return

30 days after

62%

42 / 68 earnings

Positive

+43.9%

Q2 2012

Best reaction

-11.2%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.3%+4.1%+0.3%
Q4 2025+5.1%+10.1%+9.0%
Q3 2025-4.0%-3.3%-7.9%
Q2 2025+1.7%+3.5%-3.4%
Q1 2025-11.2%-5.8%-7.4%
Q3 2024+6.6%+4.0%+8.8%
Q2 2024+6.7%+6.6%+13.3%
Q1 2024-0.1%-0.0%+1.1%
Q4 2023+0.1%-0.2%+1.4%
Q3 2023+1.3%+0.4%+5.6%
Q2 2023-0.2%-2.7%-5.5%
Q1 2023-3.0%-5.3%-8.9%
Q4 2022-1.6%-4.9%-5.0%
Q3 2022+7.2%+8.1%+7.2%
Q2 2022+5.8%+7.4%+6.8%
Q1 2022+5.9%+1.2%+7.3%
Q4 2021+10.3%+11.4%+12.5%
Q3 2021+5.2%+5.9%-4.7%
Q2 2021-0.8%-0.4%-4.6%
Q1 2021+2.0%+5.8%+8.3%
Q4 2020-3.2%-3.8%-3.6%
Q3 2020+6.5%+4.9%+13.6%
Q2 2020+6.7%+5.3%+5.9%
Q1 2020+7.1%+8.7%+13.7%
Q4 2019+4.5%+15.5%+7.4%
Q3 2019+0.2%+1.0%-3.2%
Q2 2019+4.5%+0.9%-5.1%
Q1 2019-0.6%-0.5%+5.4%
Q4 2018+2.2%+4.0%+5.5%
Q3 2018+5.6%+5.5%+5.8%
Q2 2018+3.6%+10.5%+10.1%
Q1 2018-5.9%-5.4%-7.9%
Q4 2017-4.6%-7.0%+5.1%
Q3 2017+3.0%+4.1%+1.5%
Q2 2017-0.4%+1.9%+2.6%
Q1 2017+4.1%+4.0%+4.9%
Q4 2016+0.7%+5.0%+2.4%
Q3 2016+6.1%+5.6%+16.2%
Q2 2016+2.8%+4.6%+2.2%
Q1 2016-3.6%
Q4 2015+0.5%
Q3 2015-5.0%
Q2 2015+9.8%
Q1 2015+1.6%
Q4 2014+3.1%
Q3 2014+2.6%
Q2 2014+8.0%
Q1 2014+9.3%
Q4 2013-6.1%
Q3 2013-1.1%
Q2 2013+5.1%
Q1 2013+1.4%
Q4 2012+3.5%
Q3 2012-3.6%
Q2 2012+43.9%
Q1 2012+1.0%
Q4 2011-1.4%
Q3 2011+0.8%
Q2 2011-9.3%
Q4 2010-9.3%
Q1 2010-0.8%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q4 2008-1.4%
Q3 2010+7.4%
Q3 2009+7.4%
Q4 2009-7.1%
Q2 2010-7.1%
Q2 2009-7.1%

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