NASDAQ$TMUS

T-Mobile Us Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

T-Mobile reported industry-leading customer growth and record financial performance.

T-Mobile reported a record-setting first quarter in 2020, delivering industry-leading customer growth and record financials. The company completed its merger with Sprint on April 1, 2020.

  • Branded postpaid net additions were 777,000, the best in the industry.
  • Branded postpaid phone net additions reached 452,000, leading the industry.
  • Total branded net additions totaled 649,000, the highest in the industry.
  • Record service revenues of $8.7 billion, up 5% year-over-year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$11.1B

Previous: $11.1B+0.3%
EPS (adj)

$1.10

Previous: $1.06+3.8%
Postpaid Net Customer Adds

452.0K

Previous: 656.0K-31.1%
Postpaid Phone Churn

0.9%

Previous: 0.9%-2.3%
Prepaid Churn

3.5%

Previous: 3.9%-8.6%
Capital Expenditures

$1.75B

Previous: -$1.93B+190.8%
Free Cash Flow

$732M

Previous: -$1.02B+171.6%
Net Income

$951M

Previous: $908M+4.7%
Operating Income

$1.54B

Previous: $1.48B+4.3%
Gross Profit

$6.95B

Previous: -$74M+9485.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.11B

Previous: $1.44B-22.7%
Total Assets

$87.2B

Previous: $83.1B+5.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$138M

Previous: $110M+25.5%

Revenue & EPS history

T-Mobile · Revenue · Quarterly

$11.1B

Q1 2020+0.3%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 16 of 16 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

T-Mobile · $5.9B total across 1 segment · Q1 2020

  • Postpaid Service Revenue
    $5.9B

Forward guidance

Due to uncertainty around the ongoing impact of COVID-19, purchase price accounting and accounting policy alignment work and conforming legacy Sprint key performance indicators to T-Mobile policies, the guidance for the New T-Mobile is for Q2 2020 only.

Tailwinds

  • Expect postpaid net customer additions between 0 and 150,000 in Q2 2020.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $6.2 to $6.5 billion in Q2 2020.
  • Adjusted EBITDA target includes leasing revenues of $1.3 billion to $1.4 billion.
  • Free Cash Flow, including payments for merger-related costs and COVID-19-related costs, but excluding $2.3 billion in gross payments for the settlement of interest rate swaps, is expected to be in the range of $1.3 to $1.5 billion.

Headwinds

  • The business, liquidity, financial condition, and operating results are expected to continue to be adversely impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic for the remainder of 2020 and potentially thereafter.
  • Lower net customer additions, equipment revenues and cost of equipment sales, and higher bad debt expense.
  • Continued costs to protect and support employees and customers, which will increase from the costs incurred during the first quarter of 2020.
  • Potential disruptions in the supply chains.
  • Uncertainties related to COVID-19 may also adversely impact the Q2 guidance provided.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

+1.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.0%

Avg return

30 days after

62%

42 / 68 earnings

Positive

+43.9%

Q2 2012

Best reaction

-11.2%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.3%+4.1%+0.3%
Q4 2025+5.1%+10.1%+9.0%
Q3 2025-4.0%-3.3%-7.9%
Q2 2025+1.7%+3.5%-3.4%
Q1 2025-11.2%-5.8%-7.4%
Q3 2024+6.6%+4.0%+8.8%
Q2 2024+6.7%+6.6%+13.3%
Q1 2024-0.1%-0.0%+1.1%
Q4 2023+0.1%-0.2%+1.4%
Q3 2023+1.3%+0.4%+5.6%
Q2 2023-0.2%-2.7%-5.5%
Q1 2023-3.0%-5.3%-8.9%
Q4 2022-1.6%-4.9%-5.0%
Q3 2022+7.2%+8.1%+7.2%
Q2 2022+5.8%+7.4%+6.8%
Q1 2022+5.9%+1.2%+7.3%
Q4 2021+10.3%+11.4%+12.5%
Q3 2021+5.2%+5.9%-4.7%
Q2 2021-0.8%-0.4%-4.6%
Q1 2021+2.0%+5.8%+8.3%
Q4 2020-3.2%-3.8%-3.6%
Q3 2020+6.5%+4.9%+13.6%
Q2 2020+6.7%+5.3%+5.9%
Q1 2020+7.1%+8.7%+13.7%
Q4 2019+4.5%+15.5%+7.4%
Q3 2019+0.2%+1.0%-3.2%
Q2 2019+4.5%+0.9%-5.1%
Q1 2019-0.6%-0.5%+5.4%
Q4 2018+2.2%+4.0%+5.5%
Q3 2018+5.6%+5.5%+5.8%
Q2 2018+3.6%+10.5%+10.1%
Q1 2018-5.9%-5.4%-7.9%
Q4 2017-4.6%-7.0%+5.1%
Q3 2017+3.0%+4.1%+1.5%
Q2 2017-0.4%+1.9%+2.6%
Q1 2017+4.1%+4.0%+4.9%
Q4 2016+0.7%+5.0%+2.4%
Q3 2016+6.1%+5.6%+16.2%
Q2 2016+2.8%+4.6%+2.2%
Q1 2016-3.6%
Q4 2015+0.5%
Q3 2015-5.0%
Q2 2015+9.8%
Q1 2015+1.6%
Q4 2014+3.1%
Q3 2014+2.6%
Q2 2014+8.0%
Q1 2014+9.3%
Q4 2013-6.1%
Q3 2013-1.1%
Q2 2013+5.1%
Q1 2013+1.4%
Q4 2012+3.5%
Q3 2012-3.6%
Q2 2012+43.9%
Q1 2012+1.0%
Q4 2011-1.4%
Q3 2011+0.8%
Q2 2011-9.3%
Q4 2010-9.3%
Q1 2010-0.8%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q4 2008-1.4%
Q3 2010+7.4%
Q3 2009+7.4%
Q4 2009-7.1%
Q2 2010-7.1%
Q2 2009-7.1%

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