NASDAQ$SNCY

Sun Country Airlines Holdings Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Sun Country Airlines reported record fourth quarter revenue and pretax earnings, driven by a uniquely diversified business model and strong employee efforts.

Sun Country Airlines reported a strong fourth quarter and full year in 2024, with record fourth quarter revenue and pretax earnings. The company's diversified business model and capacity adjustments contributed to the positive results.

  • Q4 2024 total revenue reached $260.4 million, marking the highest fourth quarter revenue on record.
  • GAAP diluted EPS for Q4 2024 was $0.24, with an operating income margin of 10.0%.
  • Adjusted diluted EPS for Q4 2024 was $0.27, and the adjusted operating income margin was 10.6%, the highest fourth quarter on record.
  • The company saw improved economics in its cargo business during the second half of the year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$260M

Previous: $246M+6.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.27

Previous: $0.12+125.0%
Fuel Cost Per Gallon

$2.47

Previous: $3.07-19.5%
Net Income

$13.4M

Previous: $5.6M+139.9%
Operating Income

$26.1M

Previous: $17.1M+52.4%
Gross Profit

$176M

Previous: $51.1M+244.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Sun Country Airlines · Revenue · Quarterly

$260M

Q4 2024+6.1%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 7 of 16 quarters(44%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Sun Country Airlines · $249M total across 5 segments · Q3 2023

  • Scheduled Service
    $96.5M-5.6%
  • Ancillary
    $70.4M+40.1%
  • Charter Service
    $47.4M+10.6%
  • Cargo
    $26.1M+10.0%
  • Other
    $8.46M+219.0%

Forward guidance

Sun Country Airlines anticipates strong first quarter 2025 bookings with mid-single digit growth in scheduled service ASMs and expects substantial growth in the cargo segment from the second quarter of 2025 onward.

Tailwinds

  • Total revenue between $330 million and $340 million, a 6% to 9% increase compared to Q1 2024.
  • Operating income margin of 17% to 21%, an increase of 1 to 3 percentage points compared to Q1 2024.
  • Total system block hours expected to be between 41,000 and 42,000, a 7% to 9% increase compared to Q1 2024.
  • Scheduled Service ASMs growing by slightly more than 7% over first quarter 2024.
  • Economic fuel cost per gallon of $2.76, an 8% decrease compared to Q1 2024.

Headwinds

  • Effective tax rate of 23%.
  • No specific negatives were mentioned in the provided text, but general forward-looking statement disclaimers apply.
  • No specific negatives were mentioned in the provided text, but general forward-looking statement disclaimers apply.
  • No specific negatives were mentioned in the provided text, but general forward-looking statement disclaimers apply.
  • No specific negatives were mentioned in the provided text, but general forward-looking statement disclaimers apply.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

65%

17 / 26 earnings

Positive

+13.3%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-22.0%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.4%+6.8%
Q4 2025+12.6%+7.6%-16.3%
Q3 2025+6.5%+12.4%+29.1%
Q2 2025-11.0%-8.9%+14.3%
Q1 2025+0.3%+14.7%+18.2%
Q4 2024-0.9%+8.3%-8.0%
Q3 2024+11.7%+14.6%+14.4%
Q2 2024-15.8%-18.0%-16.2%
Q1 2024-19.3%-18.1%-25.3%
Q4 2023+6.3%+1.0%+8.8%
Q3 2023-3.6%-2.9%+32.3%
Q2 2023-22.0%-24.8%-29.1%
Q1 2023+8.1%-2.6%+0.7%
Q4 2022+12.5%+13.1%+8.3%
Q3 2022+13.3%+16.3%+24.1%
Q2 2022-10.9%-4.9%+0.4%
Q1 2022-11.5%-15.8%-26.2%
Q4 2021+4.2%+8.6%-7.9%
Q3 2020+1.0%+8.2%-15.6%
Q3 2021+1.0%+8.2%-15.6%
Q2 2020+0.4%-4.8%-4.3%
Q2 2021+0.4%-4.8%-4.3%
Q1 2020+1.9%-5.9%-6.5%
Q4 2020+1.9%-5.9%-6.5%
Q4 2019+1.9%-5.9%-6.5%
Q1 2021-4.5%-2.0%-3.5%
Q1 2019
Q1 2018

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