NASDAQ$SNBR

Sleep Number Corporation · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Sleep Number reported a decrease in net sales but an increase in gross margin for the fourth quarter of 2023, while also reducing operating expenses and workforce.

Sleep Number's Q4 2023 results showed a 14% decrease in net sales to $430 million, but gross margin improved by 190 bp to 56.6%. The company reduced operating expenses by $24 million and reported a loss per diluted share of $1.12, or an adjusted loss of $0.58 excluding restructuring costs. Full-year net sales decreased by 11% to $1.89 billion, with an adjusted loss per share of $0.14.

  • Net sales decreased 14% to $430 million, with demand down low-single digits year-over-year.
  • Gross margin increased 190 bp to 56.6% due to pricing actions, easing commodity prices, and cost reductions.
  • Operating expenses decreased by $24 million to $247 million before restructuring charges.
  • Loss per diluted share was $1.12, with an adjusted loss per share of $0.58 excluding restructuring costs.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$430M

Previous: $498M-13.7%
EPS (adj)

-$0.58

Previous: -$0.24-141.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$9.03M

Previous: $16.6M-154.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$51.5M

Previous: -$60.6M+15.1%
Net Income

-$25.2M

Previous: -$5.43M-363.9%
Operating Income

-$19.6M

Previous: $912K-2249.6%
Gross Profit

$243M

Previous: $272M-10.7%
R&D Expense

$13.3M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$3.98M

Previous: $4.64M-14.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Sleep Number · Revenue · Quarterly

$430M

Q4 2023-13.7%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 14 quarters(43%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Sleep Number · $530M total across 2 segments · Q3 2020

  • Retail Stores
    $457M
  • Online, Phone, Chat and Other
    $72.8M

Forward guidance

The company expects mattress industry demand to remain pressured in 2024. Against this backdrop, the company expects adjusted EBITDA of $125 million to $145 million in 2024, with net sales down mid-single digits versus prior year on a low-single digit demand decline. The company expects approximately 100 basis points of gross margin rate improvement and $12 million of restructuring charges for the year. The company expects to generate $60 million to $80 million of free cash flow with capital expenditures of $30 million.

Tailwinds

  • Expects adjusted EBITDA of $125 million to $145 million in 2024
  • Anticipates approximately 100 basis points of gross margin rate improvement
  • Plans for $12 million of restructuring charges for the year
  • Expects to generate $60 million to $80 million of free cash flow
  • Capital expenditures of $30 million

Headwinds

  • Mattress industry demand is expected to remain pressured in 2024
  • Net sales are expected to be down mid-single digits versus prior year
  • Demand decline is expected to be low-single digit
  • Consumer environment remains challenging for the mattress industry
  • Restructuring costs of $15,728,000 were recorded in Q4

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.1%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

31 / 63 earnings

Positive

+38.8%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-41.9%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-22.4%-37.1%
Q4 2025-5.5%-18.3%-61.6%
Q3 2025-1.3%-0.4%-7.6%
Q1 2025+6.7%+18.6%+40.2%
Q4 2024-41.9%-45.6%-59.4%
Q3 2024+2.6%-1.9%+12.4%
Q2 2024+24.1%+6.6%+33.4%
Q1 2024-2.5%-6.6%-7.6%
Q4 2023+28.3%+45.4%+17.9%
Q3 2023-30.1%-39.4%-10.1%
Q2 2023-29.8%-29.6%-42.5%
Q1 2023-10.1%-10.9%-25.6%
Q4 2022+22.4%-12.2%-14.0%
Q3 2022-21.4%-22.8%-16.4%
Q2 2022+21.1%+31.8%+17.2%
Q1 2022-13.0%-14.5%-16.8%
Q4 2021+1.4%+5.0%-8.2%
Q3 2021+0.6%-0.4%-11.3%
Q2 2021-8.2%-12.1%-13.7%
Q1 2021-8.2%-4.7%-16.0%
Q3 2020+8.6%+7.0%+13.0%
Q2 2020-5.9%-9.8%-11.5%
Q1 2020+38.8%+50.3%+51.2%
Q4 2019+6.2%-5.4%-57.8%
Q3 2019+1.3%+5.5%+5.4%
Q2 2019+18.5%+21.0%+1.3%
Q1 2019-19.8%-25.2%-30.9%
Q4 2018+15.8%+21.3%+32.9%
Q3 2018+11.1%+10.2%+12.5%
Q2 2018-6.3%-10.9%+4.0%
Q1 2018-15.0%-20.0%-20.4%
Q4 2017-6.2%-4.5%-3.3%
Q3 2017+5.0%+11.3%+9.2%
Q2 2017+4.8%+4.5%+4.8%
Q1 2017+32.6%+25.0%+15.8%
Q4 2016+8.2%+11.7%+22.1%
Q3 2016-10.1%-8.4%+7.5%
Q2 2016-3.1%+0.1%+18.8%
Q1 2016+18.4%
Q4 2015-23.3%
Q3 2015+15.8%
Q2 2015-9.8%
Q1 2015-0.5%
Q4 2014+2.0%
Q3 2014+15.0%
Q2 2014+7.1%
Q1 2014+9.6%
Q4 2013+4.2%
Q3 2013-23.1%
Q2 2013-11.0%
Q1 2013-0.2%
Q4 2012-14.9%
Q3 2012-5.3%
Q2 2012+30.7%
Q1 2012-3.1%
Q4 2011+1.8%
Q4 2010+1.8%
Q3 2011-0.4%
Q2 2011-9.8%
Q1 2011-9.8%
Q3 2010+5.1%
Q2 2010-3.5%
Q1 2010+10.6%

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