NASDAQ$RPD

Rapid7 Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Rapid7 announced strong fourth quarter and full-year results, with significant growth in ARR and revenue.

Rapid7 reported a strong Q4 2019, with ARR growing by 35% and revenue growth of 33%. The company exceeded its guidance and saw a 9-point improvement in non-GAAP operating margin.

  • ARR increased by 35% year-over-year to $338.7 million.
  • Fourth quarter revenue reached $91.6 million, with a 33% year-over-year growth.
  • Customer growth was reported at 16% year-over-year.
  • The company is guiding for a 2020 ARR year-over-year growth between 24% and 26%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$91.6M

Previous: $68.8M+33.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.03

Previous: -$0.05+160.0%
Annualized Recurring Revenue

$339M

Previous: $252M+34.5%
Capital Expenditures

$2.38M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$5.45M

No prior period
Net Income

-$14.3M

No prior period
Operating Income

-$12.3M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$66.3M

No prior period
Cash & Equivalents

$123M

No prior period
Total Assets

$665M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$11.2M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Rapid7 · Revenue · Quarterly

$91.6M

Q4 2019+33.3%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 3 of 16 quarters(19%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Rapid7 · $83M total across 2 segments · Q4 2019

  • Product subscriptions
    $74.3M+47.4%
  • Professional services
    $8.65M+6.7%

Forward guidance

Rapid7 anticipates annualized recurring revenue between $420.0 and $426.8 million, and revenue between $91.6 to $93.2 million for Q1 2020. For the full year 2020, revenue is expected to be between $396.0 to $404.0 million.

Tailwinds

  • Guiding 2020 ARR year-over-year growth between 24% to 26%.
  • Guiding 2020 year-over-year revenue growth between 21% and 24%.
  • Q1 2020 revenue is expected to be between $91.6 to $93.2 million
  • Full-year 2020 revenue is expected to be between $396.0 to $404.0 million
  • Non-GAAP income from operations between $7.0 to $11.0 million

Headwinds

  • First Quarter 2020 non-GAAP loss from operations between $(6.3) to $(5.3) million.
  • First Quarter 2020 non-GAAP net loss per share between $(0.13) to $(0.11).
  • Anticipated GAAP loss from operations $(20.8) to $(19.8) million.
  • Anticipated GAAP net loss $(23.8) to $(22.8) million.
  • Anticipated GAAP net loss per share $(0.47) $(0.45).

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.0%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

22 / 44 earnings

Positive

+13.7%

Q4 2015

Best reaction

-29.0%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.1%-4.8%+12.4%
Q4 2025-29.0%-30.9%-34.4%
Q3 2025-20.1%-21.1%-10.3%
Q1 2025-8.2%-11.3%-11.3%
Q4 2024-5.4%-7.1%-23.9%
Q3 2024+2.9%+3.2%+8.4%
Q2 2024+8.6%+8.1%+8.2%
Q1 2024-17.8%-18.1%-22.1%
Q4 2023+2.7%+6.6%-5.7%
Q3 2023+1.4%+5.6%+20.6%
Q2 2023+9.1%+20.7%+16.6%
Q1 2023-2.9%-5.4%-3.2%
Q4 2022-0.5%-1.9%-17.9%
Q3 2022-27.8%-35.9%-24.9%
Q2 2022-0.8%-1.6%-21.2%
Q1 2022-17.2%-29.6%-23.8%
Q4 2021+1.7%-1.6%+4.4%
Q3 2021+10.8%+13.9%-7.1%
Q2 2021-1.4%-1.8%+8.3%
Q1 2021-1.4%+3.3%+8.8%
Q4 2020+0.8%-1.4%-10.1%
Q3 2020+7.4%+8.1%+15.9%
Q2 2020-2.7%-6.4%+0.6%
Q1 2020+2.2%-0.9%+4.5%
Q4 2019-6.2%-8.5%-32.0%
Q3 2019-0.3%+1.5%+6.8%
Q2 2019-4.5%-8.6%-11.5%
Q1 2019+0.0%+0.7%-0.4%
Q4 2018+10.1%+14.0%+11.5%
Q3 2018+8.6%+1.6%-4.6%
Q2 2018+13.0%+10.4%+28.9%
Q1 2018+2.0%-0.3%+2.9%
Q4 2017-1.6%+1.9%+13.0%
Q3 2017+7.4%+5.3%+4.7%
Q2 2017+0.1%+3.3%+12.9%
Q1 2017+4.8%+1.7%-0.2%
Q4 2016+10.8%+20.3%+17.1%
Q3 2016-16.6%-15.5%-7.4%
Q2 2016+8.8%+8.8%+27.4%
Q1 2016-4.5%
Q4 2015+13.7%
Q3 2014-3.3%
Q3 2015-5.3%
Q2 2015+7.9%
Q4 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014

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