NASDAQ$NTGR

NETGEAR Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

NETGEAR's Q3 2023 financial performance exceeded expectations, with revenue above guidance and a growing subscriber base.

NETGEAR reported Q3 2023 net revenue of $197.8 million, exceeding the high end of guidance. GAAP gross margin was 34.8%, and non-GAAP gross margin was 35.0%. The company achieved 844,000 paid subscribers, representing a 26.7% year-over-year growth. The company anticipates Q4 revenue to be in the range of $175 million to $190 million.

  • Q3 net revenue was $197.8 million, a decrease of 20.7% year-over-year.
  • GAAP operating loss was $0.6 million, or (0.3)% of net revenue, improved from the prior year.
  • Non-GAAP operating income was $5.3 million, or 2.7% of net revenue, up from the prior year.
  • Non-GAAP net income per diluted share was $0.23, compared to $0.21 in the prior year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$198M

Previous: $250M-20.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.23

Previous: $0.21+9.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$3.6M

Previous: -$4.13M+12.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$88.4M

Previous: -$1.33M-6536.6%
Net Income

-$84.8M

Previous: $2.8M-3127.5%
Operating Income

-$648K

Previous: -$2.15M+69.9%
Gross Profit

$68.9M

Previous: $68.5M+0.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$131M

Previous: $133M-1.1%
Total Assets

$842M

Previous: $1.01B-16.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.29M

Previous: $3.44M+24.6%

Revenue & EPS history

NETGEAR · Revenue · Quarterly

$198M

Q3 2023-20.7%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 13 of 15 quarters(87%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

NETGEAR expects Q4 net revenue to be in the range of $175 million to $190 million. GAAP operating margin is expected to be between (4.4)% and (1.4)%, while non-GAAP operating margin is expected to be between (2.0)% and 1.0%. GAAP tax expense is projected to be $1 million to $2 million, and non-GAAP tax expense is expected to be $0 to $1 million.

Tailwinds

  • Strong underlying demand in the premium portion of CHP product portfolio.
  • Success of WiFi 7 launch expected to continue into 2024.
  • Retail channel partners are maintaining rather than depleting inventories.
  • Meaningful progress in reducing inventory levels.
  • Expect to continue to generate meaningful cash in Q4 and beyond.

Headwinds

  • High interest rates will continue to affect SMB channel partners' inventory levels.
  • SMB to be down sequentially, impacting overall revenue.
  • Consuming older, higher cost inventory.
  • Expect to be back to normal inventory levels and normal inventory costs by the middle of next year.
  • Uncertain macro environment created by high interest rates, geopolitical tensions, and stagnant or negative GDP growth in major markets such as Greater China, Germany and Japan weighed on our SMB business.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

-0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.7%

Avg return

30 days after

38%

25 / 65 earnings

Positive

+30.6%

Q3 2015

Best reaction

-20.3%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.2%-1.0%+0.3%
Q4 2025-1.5%+2.2%+0.5%
Q3 2025+1.1%-11.4%-21.3%
Q1 2025+16.1%+13.9%+21.6%
Q4 2024+1.3%+9.8%-17.2%
Q3 2024+7.2%+13.4%+20.4%
Q2 2024+2.5%-9.0%+1.2%
Q1 2024-20.3%-18.4%-6.6%
Q4 2023-7.8%-2.7%+3.3%
Q3 2023+14.1%+14.6%+18.9%
Q2 2023-2.1%-4.2%-10.5%
Q1 2023-13.1%-13.9%-16.4%
Q4 2022-3.3%-2.3%-8.8%
Q3 2022-10.0%-9.7%-11.3%
Q2 2022+26.0%+31.0%+21.0%
Q1 2022-0.0%-1.1%-12.4%
Q4 2021+1.4%-5.1%-5.2%
Q3 2021-4.0%-5.7%-15.7%
Q2 2021-9.0%-6.2%-4.5%
Q1 2021-2.5%+3.2%+1.9%
Q4 2020-7.9%-3.5%-11.3%
Q3 2020-1.8%-5.6%-13.4%
Q2 2020+5.4%+0.1%+11.2%
Q1 2020-7.9%-3.2%+7.6%
Q4 2019-4.1%-10.5%-27.7%
Q3 2019-18.5%-14.5%-21.9%
Q2 2019+23.4%+24.3%+21.2%
Q1 2019-15.6%-11.3%-26.1%
Q4 2018-3.8%-0.5%-10.9%
Q3 2018-1.6%-2.2%-4.0%
Q2 2018-13.3%-8.6%-7.2%
Q1 2018-14.1%-11.2%-3.1%
Q4 2017-13.7%-11.0%-11.5%
Q3 2017-4.5%-5.4%+0.0%
Q2 2017+10.9%+7.8%+6.9%
Q1 2017-12.3%-10.8%-19.7%
Q4 2016-6.6%-5.1%-7.3%
Q3 2016-5.8%-5.5%-1.9%
Q2 2016+6.0%+6.9%+15.5%
Q1 2016+11.6%
Q4 2015-3.4%
Q3 2015+30.6%
Q2 2015+17.1%
Q1 2015-9.5%
Q4 2014-9.6%
Q3 2014+4.3%
Q2 2014-7.6%
Q1 2014-5.8%
Q4 2013+4.9%
Q3 2013-8.9%
Q2 2013-9.0%
Q1 2013+2.6%
Q4 2012-9.9%
Q3 2012-4.4%
Q2 2012+2.8%
Q1 2011-0.8%
Q1 2012+16.0%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q4 2009-1.2%
Q1 2010-1.2%
Q3 2010+1.8%
Q3 2011+1.8%
Q4 2010+3.3%
Q2 2011+3.3%
Q2 2010+3.3%

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