NASDAQ$NTGR

NETGEAR Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Net revenue decreased by 14.0% year over year, GAAP operating loss was (0.9)% of net revenue, and GAAP net income per diluted share was $0.10.

NETGEAR reported third quarter 2022 financial results with net revenue of $249.6 million, a decrease of 14.0% from the comparable prior year quarter. GAAP operating loss was $2.2 million, or (0.9)% of net revenue, and GAAP net income per diluted share was $0.10.

  • Achieved revenue in the upper half of guidance range, driven by strong demand for high-end WiFi mesh, 5G mobile hotspots, and ProAV managed switches.
  • Delivered record revenue in the SMB business despite supply challenges.
  • Experienced year-over-year growth in end-user demand for super premium WiFi mesh systems and 5G mobile hotspots.
  • The retail networking market declined by double digits relative to the pre-pandemic period due to the challenging macroeconomic environment for most consumers.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$250M

Previous: $290M-14.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.21

Previous: $0.50-58.0%
Days Sales Outstanding

95

No prior period
Ending Inventory Turns

2.4

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$4.13M

Previous: -$6.92M+40.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$1.33M

Previous: $2.67M-150.0%
Net Income

$2.8M

Previous: $9.58M-70.8%
Operating Income

-$2.15M

Previous: $12.9M-116.7%
Gross Profit

$68.5M

Previous: $86.8M-21.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$133M

Previous: $283M-53.1%
Total Assets

$1.01B

Previous: $1.1B-8.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.44M

Previous: $6.21M-44.6%

Revenue & EPS history

NETGEAR · Revenue · Quarterly

$250M

Q3 2022-14%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 13 of 15 quarters(87%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

NETGEAR expects fourth quarter net revenue to be in the range of $235 million to $250 million. GAAP operating margin for the fourth quarter is expected to be in the range of (4.2)% to (3.2)%, and non-GAAP operating margin is expected to be in the range of (2.0)% to (1.0)%. GAAP tax rate is expected to be approximately 20.0%, and non-GAAP tax rate is expected to be 23.0% for the fourth quarter of 2022.

Tailwinds

  • Strong underlying demand in the SMB business
  • Strong demand in the premium portion of CHP product portfolio
  • Expect fourth quarter revenue from the service provider channel to increase to approximately $50 million.

Headwinds

  • SMB business will remain supply constrained
  • Continue to use higher cost air freight as a means to partially mitigate supply constraints
  • Continuing to work with retail channel partners in the coming quarters to reduce their inventory levels.
  • Significant foreign exchange headwinds going from Q3 into Q4 as roughly 50% of SMB revenue is in foreign currency.
  • Considerable uncertainty remains in the market due to the COVID-19 pandemic and supply chain conditions continuing to remain challenged

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.7%

Avg return

30 days after

38%

25 / 65 earnings

Positive

+30.6%

Q3 2015

Best reaction

-20.3%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.2%-1.0%+0.3%
Q4 2025-1.5%+2.2%+0.5%
Q3 2025+1.1%-11.4%-21.3%
Q1 2025+16.1%+13.9%+21.6%
Q4 2024+1.3%+9.8%-17.2%
Q3 2024+7.2%+13.4%+20.4%
Q2 2024+2.5%-9.0%+1.2%
Q1 2024-20.3%-18.4%-6.6%
Q4 2023-7.8%-2.7%+3.3%
Q3 2023+14.1%+14.6%+18.9%
Q2 2023-2.1%-4.2%-10.5%
Q1 2023-13.1%-13.9%-16.4%
Q4 2022-3.3%-2.3%-8.8%
Q3 2022-10.0%-9.7%-11.3%
Q2 2022+26.0%+31.0%+21.0%
Q1 2022-0.0%-1.1%-12.4%
Q4 2021+1.4%-5.1%-5.2%
Q3 2021-4.0%-5.7%-15.7%
Q2 2021-9.0%-6.2%-4.5%
Q1 2021-2.5%+3.2%+1.9%
Q4 2020-7.9%-3.5%-11.3%
Q3 2020-1.8%-5.6%-13.4%
Q2 2020+5.4%+0.1%+11.2%
Q1 2020-7.9%-3.2%+7.6%
Q4 2019-4.1%-10.5%-27.7%
Q3 2019-18.5%-14.5%-21.9%
Q2 2019+23.4%+24.3%+21.2%
Q1 2019-15.6%-11.3%-26.1%
Q4 2018-3.8%-0.5%-10.9%
Q3 2018-1.6%-2.2%-4.0%
Q2 2018-13.3%-8.6%-7.2%
Q1 2018-14.1%-11.2%-3.1%
Q4 2017-13.7%-11.0%-11.5%
Q3 2017-4.5%-5.4%+0.0%
Q2 2017+10.9%+7.8%+6.9%
Q1 2017-12.3%-10.8%-19.7%
Q4 2016-6.6%-5.1%-7.3%
Q3 2016-5.8%-5.5%-1.9%
Q2 2016+6.0%+6.9%+15.5%
Q1 2016+11.6%
Q4 2015-3.4%
Q3 2015+30.6%
Q2 2015+17.1%
Q1 2015-9.5%
Q4 2014-9.6%
Q3 2014+4.3%
Q2 2014-7.6%
Q1 2014-5.8%
Q4 2013+4.9%
Q3 2013-8.9%
Q2 2013-9.0%
Q1 2013+2.6%
Q4 2012-9.9%
Q3 2012-4.4%
Q2 2012+2.8%
Q1 2011-0.8%
Q1 2012+16.0%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q4 2009-1.2%
Q1 2010-1.2%
Q3 2010+1.8%
Q3 2011+1.8%
Q4 2010+3.3%
Q2 2011+3.3%
Q2 2010+3.3%

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