NASDAQ$NTGR

NETGEAR Inc · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported third quarter results within revenue guidance and above non-GAAP operating margin guidance, driven by SMB performance.

NETGEAR reported Q3 2021 net revenue of $290.2 million, a decrease of 23.3% year-over-year, but within guidance. GAAP operating income was $12.9 million, or 4.5% of net revenue, while non-GAAP operating income was $19.5 million, or 6.7% of net revenue, exceeding guidance. GAAP net income per diluted share was $0.31, and non-GAAP net income per diluted share was $0.50.

  • Delivered third quarter topline revenue within guidance.
  • Achieved SMB revenue growth of 3.4% quarter over quarter and 33% growth year over year.
  • Reached 552,000 paid subscription services at the end of Q3.
  • Board authorized the repurchase of up to an incremental 3,000,000 shares of the Company’s common stock.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$290M

Previous: $378M-23.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.50

Previous: $1.13-55.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$6.92M

Previous: -$6.11M-13.2%
Free Cash Flow

$2.67M

Previous: $19.4M-86.3%
Net Income

$9.58M

Previous: $25.5M-62.5%
Operating Income

$12.9M

Previous: $32.2M-59.8%
Gross Profit

$86.8M

Previous: $113M-23.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$283M

Previous: $300M-5.7%
Total Assets

$1.1B

Previous: $1.03B+6.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.21M

Previous: $7.22M-14.0%

Revenue & EPS history

NETGEAR · Revenue · Quarterly

$290M

Q3 2021-23.3%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

NETGEAR expects fourth quarter net revenue to be in the range of $250 million to $265 million. GAAP operating margin for the fourth quarter is expected to be in the range of (0.5)% to 0.5%, and non-GAAP operating margin is expected to be in the range of 2.0% to 3.0%. GAAP tax rate is expected to be approximately 80.0%, and non-GAAP tax rate is expected to be 26.5% for the fourth quarter of 2021.

Headwinds

  • Lengthening product transit times due to numerous disruptions on the logistics front.
  • Logistics costs rapidly increasing with ocean freight costs currently standing at eight times normal historical rates.
  • U.S. consumer WiFi market growth coming in below prior expectations.
  • Expect lower service provider revenue, which will be impacted by supply availability.
  • Revenue for our SMB business will continue to face supply constraints, limiting our ability to achieve its full topline potential.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

-0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.7%

Avg return

30 days after

38%

25 / 65 earnings

Positive

+30.6%

Q3 2015

Best reaction

-20.3%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.2%-1.0%+0.3%
Q4 2025-1.5%+2.2%+0.5%
Q3 2025+1.1%-11.4%-21.3%
Q1 2025+16.1%+13.9%+21.6%
Q4 2024+1.3%+9.8%-17.2%
Q3 2024+7.2%+13.4%+20.4%
Q2 2024+2.5%-9.0%+1.2%
Q1 2024-20.3%-18.4%-6.6%
Q4 2023-7.8%-2.7%+3.3%
Q3 2023+14.1%+14.6%+18.9%
Q2 2023-2.1%-4.2%-10.5%
Q1 2023-13.1%-13.9%-16.4%
Q4 2022-3.3%-2.3%-8.8%
Q3 2022-10.0%-9.7%-11.3%
Q2 2022+26.0%+31.0%+21.0%
Q1 2022-0.0%-1.1%-12.4%
Q4 2021+1.4%-5.1%-5.2%
Q3 2021-4.0%-5.7%-15.7%
Q2 2021-9.0%-6.2%-4.5%
Q1 2021-2.5%+3.2%+1.9%
Q4 2020-7.9%-3.5%-11.3%
Q3 2020-1.8%-5.6%-13.4%
Q2 2020+5.4%+0.1%+11.2%
Q1 2020-7.9%-3.2%+7.6%
Q4 2019-4.1%-10.5%-27.7%
Q3 2019-18.5%-14.5%-21.9%
Q2 2019+23.4%+24.3%+21.2%
Q1 2019-15.6%-11.3%-26.1%
Q4 2018-3.8%-0.5%-10.9%
Q3 2018-1.6%-2.2%-4.0%
Q2 2018-13.3%-8.6%-7.2%
Q1 2018-14.1%-11.2%-3.1%
Q4 2017-13.7%-11.0%-11.5%
Q3 2017-4.5%-5.4%+0.0%
Q2 2017+10.9%+7.8%+6.9%
Q1 2017-12.3%-10.8%-19.7%
Q4 2016-6.6%-5.1%-7.3%
Q3 2016-5.8%-5.5%-1.9%
Q2 2016+6.0%+6.9%+15.5%
Q1 2016+11.6%
Q4 2015-3.4%
Q3 2015+30.6%
Q2 2015+17.1%
Q1 2015-9.5%
Q4 2014-9.6%
Q3 2014+4.3%
Q2 2014-7.6%
Q1 2014-5.8%
Q4 2013+4.9%
Q3 2013-8.9%
Q2 2013-9.0%
Q1 2013+2.6%
Q4 2012-9.9%
Q3 2012-4.4%
Q2 2012+2.8%
Q1 2011-0.8%
Q1 2012+16.0%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q4 2009-1.2%
Q1 2010-1.2%
Q3 2010+1.8%
Q3 2011+1.8%
Q4 2010+3.3%
Q2 2011+3.3%
Q2 2010+3.3%

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