NASDAQ$MRCY

Mercury Systems Inc · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mercury's financial performance was diminished by program cost growth, manufacturing adjustments, and contract settlements, while making progress in priority areas.

Mercury Systems reported Q2 fiscal year 2024 results with bookings of $325.4 million and a book-to-bill ratio of 1.65. Revenue was $197.5 million. The company had a GAAP net loss of $45.6 million and adjusted EBITDA loss of $21.3 million. Operating cash flow was $45.5 million and free cash flow was $37.5 million.

  • Received near-record bookings of $325.4 million, resulting in a book-to-bill ratio of 1.65.
  • Delivered $45.5 million in operating cash flow and $37.5 million in positive free cash flow.
  • Completed an additional four challenged programs.
  • Consolidated operations into a single, integrated operating unit, expected to deliver $20 million in annual run-rate savings.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$197M

Previous: $230M-14.0%
EPS

-$0.79

Previous: $0.26-403.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$16M

Previous: -$20.5M+21.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$61.6M

Previous: -$31.4M-96.0%
Net Income

-$45.6M

Previous: -$10.9M-317.4%
Operating Income

-$53.9M

Previous: -$7.55M-614.6%
Gross Profit

$31.5M

Previous: $81M-61.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$169M

Previous: $76.9M+119.2%
Total Assets

$2.44B

Previous: $2.35B+3.8%
R&D Expense

$28.5M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$7.39M

Previous: $10.3M-28.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Mercury · Revenue · Quarterly

$197M

Q2 2024-14%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For fiscal year 2024, revenues are forecasted to be in the range of $800.0 million to $850.0 million. Bookings are expected to exceed $1 billion. Operating cash flow as well as free cash flow are expected to be positive for the second half of the year and full fiscal year.

Tailwinds

  • Demand remains strong.
  • Bookings are expected to exceed $1 billion for the full fiscal year.
  • Operating cash flow is expected to be positive for the second half of the year and full fiscal year.
  • Free cash flow are expected to be positive for the second half of the year and full fiscal year.
  • Covenant net leverage is expected to stay well within the thresholds allowed in our credit agreement for the remainder of the fiscal year.

Headwinds

  • Revenue reductions due to program cost growth.
  • Lower volumes expected in the second half.
  • Operational capacity to advance challenged and late-stage development programs.
  • Reduction in full year revenue guidance.
  • Uncertainty of timing and range of additional potential actions to settle contractual arrangements or continued adjustments to our cost structure.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.8%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

33 / 64 earnings

Positive

+27.0%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-23.7%

Q3 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+16.8%+10.8%+34.0%
Q2 2026-18.9%-14.0%-13.0%
Q1 2026+3.4%-1.4%-6.8%
Q3 2025-4.9%-7.8%+5.4%
Q2 2025+18.5%+11.6%+4.2%
Q1 2025+27.0%+28.4%+15.4%
Q4 2024+17.9%+18.1%+8.5%
Q3 2024-1.4%-4.1%+3.4%
Q2 2024-11.5%-3.3%+1.4%
Q1 2024-13.5%-12.9%-2.8%
Q4 2023+3.2%+7.1%+8.4%
Q3 2023-19.7%-13.9%-13.8%
Q2 2023+14.8%+12.9%+9.1%
Q1 2023+3.4%-0.7%+6.4%
Q4 2022-16.1%-14.1%-21.0%
Q3 2022+4.9%+1.0%+11.4%
Q2 2022-8.5%-8.5%+21.1%
Q1 2022+0.3%-1.1%-8.6%
Q4 2021-14.3%-14.3%-23.8%
Q3 2021-23.7%-15.1%-13.3%
Q2 2021+0.2%+6.1%-10.0%
Q1 2021-1.4%-3.0%+0.1%
Q4 2020+0.0%+0.5%-5.3%
Q3 2020+9.3%+2.0%+4.5%
Q2 2020+2.6%+1.6%+5.2%
Q1 2020-1.8%+3.2%+1.8%
Q4 2019+17.5%+15.1%+23.1%
Q3 2019+2.5%+1.7%-3.6%
Q2 2019+18.8%+18.5%+29.6%
Q1 2019+7.6%+10.2%+16.9%
Q4 2018+22.6%+19.9%+35.3%
Q3 2018-23.1%-27.3%-20.0%
Q2 2018-4.4%-5.4%-5.9%
Q1 2018-3.4%-3.4%+1.0%
Q4 2017-0.9%+0.7%+9.9%
Q3 2017-5.8%-5.9%+1.6%
Q2 2017+9.4%+9.9%+21.9%
Q1 2017+13.6%+14.5%+29.8%
Q4 2016-1.6%-9.5%-11.4%
Q3 2016+4.8%
Q2 2016+12.9%
Q1 2016+5.7%
Q4 2015+9.7%
Q3 2015-4.1%
Q2 2015+4.7%
Q1 2015+13.6%
Q4 2014-0.6%
Q3 2014+5.3%
Q2 2014+0.0%
Q1 2014+2.9%
Q4 2013+1.3%
Q3 2013+5.8%
Q2 2013-6.7%
Q1 2013-2.8%
Q4 2010-2.0%
Q4 2012-15.8%
Q3 2011-6.3%
Q3 2012+4.5%
Q2 2011-1.3%
Q2 2012-10.2%
Q4 2011-2.6%
Q1 2011-2.6%
Q1 2012+4.1%
Q3 2010-8.5%

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