NASDAQ$MRCY

Mercury Systems Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mercury Systems reported mixed Q3 2023 results with revenue exceeding guidance but earnings declining due to margin degradation.

Mercury Systems reported a 4% increase in revenue year-over-year, exceeding guidance. However, GAAP net income increased to $5.2 million, or $0.09 per share, and adjusted EPS decreased to $0.40 per share. The company's backlog grew 10% year-over-year, reaching $1.10 billion.

  • Revenues increased 4% year over year exceeding guidance.
  • GAAP net income was $5.2 million, or $0.09 per share.
  • Adjusted EPS was $0.40 per share.
  • Total backlog at March 31, 2023 was $1.10 billion, a $103.2 million increase from a year ago.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$263M

Previous: $253M+4.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.40

Previous: $0.57-29.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$30M

Previous: -$19.5M-53.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$24.8M

Previous: -$15.3M-61.7%
Net Income

$5.16M

Previous: $4.14M+24.6%
Operating Income

$1.95M

Previous: $9.96M-80.4%
Gross Profit

$90.3M

Previous: $99.8M-9.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$64.4M

Previous: $91.7M-29.7%
Total Assets

$2.38B

Previous: $2.26B+5.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$9.94M

Previous: $8.89M+11.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Mercury · Revenue · Quarterly

$263M

Q3 2023+4.1%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023, revenues are forecasted to be in the range of $269.3 million to $289.3 million. GAAP net income for the fourth quarter is expected to be approximately $1.2 million to $9.1 million, or $0.02 to $0.16 per share. Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023 is expected to be in the range of $49.6 million to $59.6 million. Adjusted EPS is expected to be in the range of $0.47 to $0.61 per share.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.8%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

33 / 64 earnings

Positive

+27.0%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-23.7%

Q3 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+16.8%+10.8%+34.0%
Q2 2026-18.9%-14.0%-13.0%
Q1 2026+3.4%-1.4%-6.8%
Q3 2025-4.9%-7.8%+5.4%
Q2 2025+18.5%+11.6%+4.2%
Q1 2025+27.0%+28.4%+15.4%
Q4 2024+17.9%+18.1%+8.5%
Q3 2024-1.4%-4.1%+3.4%
Q2 2024-11.5%-3.3%+1.4%
Q1 2024-13.5%-12.9%-2.8%
Q4 2023+3.2%+7.1%+8.4%
Q3 2023-19.7%-13.9%-13.8%
Q2 2023+14.8%+12.9%+9.1%
Q1 2023+3.4%-0.7%+6.4%
Q4 2022-16.1%-14.1%-21.0%
Q3 2022+4.9%+1.0%+11.4%
Q2 2022-8.5%-8.5%+21.1%
Q1 2022+0.3%-1.1%-8.6%
Q4 2021-14.3%-14.3%-23.8%
Q3 2021-23.7%-15.1%-13.3%
Q2 2021+0.2%+6.1%-10.0%
Q1 2021-1.4%-3.0%+0.1%
Q4 2020+0.0%+0.5%-5.3%
Q3 2020+9.3%+2.0%+4.5%
Q2 2020+2.6%+1.6%+5.2%
Q1 2020-1.8%+3.2%+1.8%
Q4 2019+17.5%+15.1%+23.1%
Q3 2019+2.5%+1.7%-3.6%
Q2 2019+18.8%+18.5%+29.6%
Q1 2019+7.6%+10.2%+16.9%
Q4 2018+22.6%+19.9%+35.3%
Q3 2018-23.1%-27.3%-20.0%
Q2 2018-4.4%-5.4%-5.9%
Q1 2018-3.4%-3.4%+1.0%
Q4 2017-0.9%+0.7%+9.9%
Q3 2017-5.8%-5.9%+1.6%
Q2 2017+9.4%+9.9%+21.9%
Q1 2017+13.6%+14.5%+29.8%
Q4 2016-1.6%-9.5%-11.4%
Q3 2016+4.8%
Q2 2016+12.9%
Q1 2016+5.7%
Q4 2015+9.7%
Q3 2015-4.1%
Q2 2015+4.7%
Q1 2015+13.6%
Q4 2014-0.6%
Q3 2014+5.3%
Q2 2014+0.0%
Q1 2014+2.9%
Q4 2013+1.3%
Q3 2013+5.8%
Q2 2013-6.7%
Q1 2013-2.8%
Q4 2010-2.0%
Q4 2012-15.8%
Q3 2011-6.3%
Q3 2012+4.5%
Q2 2011-1.3%
Q2 2012-10.2%
Q4 2011-2.6%
Q1 2011-2.6%
Q1 2012+4.1%
Q3 2010-8.5%

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