NASDAQ$MDLZ

Mondelez International Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong Q4 and FY 2022 results driven by broad-based growth and strategic portfolio focus.

Mondelēz International reported strong Q4 2022 results, demonstrating the strength and diversification of its portfolio. The company delivered broad-based growth across regions, categories, and brands, driven by double-digit top-line growth supported by both pricing and volume. This enabled robust cash flow generation and significant return of capital to shareholders.

  • Net revenues for the full year increased +9.7% driven by Organic Net Revenue growth of +12.3% with underlying Volume/Mix of +2.7%. For the fourth quarter, Net revenues increased +13.5% driven by Organic Net Revenue growth of +15.4% with underlying Volume/Mix of +1.6%
  • Diluted EPS was $1.96, down 35.5%; Adjusted EPS was $2.95, up +11.9% on a constant currency basis
  • Cash provided by operating activities was $3.9 billion, a decrease of $0.2 billion versus prior year; Free Cash Flow was $3.0 billion, down $0.2 billion versus prior year
  • Return of capital to shareholders was $4.0 billion; increased dividend per share by 10%

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$8.7B

Previous: $7.66B+13.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.73

Previous: $0.71+2.8%
Organic Revenue Growth

15.4%

Previous: 5.4%+185.2%
Capital Expenditures

$285M

Previous: $326M-12.6%
Free Cash Flow

$3B

Previous: $3.18B-5.5%
Net Income

$583M

Previous: $1B-41.9%
Operating Income

$834M

Previous: $1.2B-30.7%
Gross Profit

$3.08B

Previous: $2.83B+8.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.92B

Previous: $3.55B-45.8%
Total Assets

$71.2B

Previous: $67.1B+6.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$32M

Previous: $33M-3.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Mondelez · Revenue · Quarterly

$8.7B

Q4 2022+13.5%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For 2023, the company expects Organic Net Revenue growth of 5 to 7 percent, high single-digit Adjusted EPS growth on a constant currency basis and Free Cash Flow of $3.3+ billion. The company estimates currency translation would decrease 2023 net revenue growth by approximately 1 percent with a negative $0.04 impact to Adjusted EPS.

Tailwinds

  • Organic Net Revenue growth of 5 to 7 percent
  • High single-digit Adjusted EPS growth on a constant currency basis
  • Free Cash Flow of $3.3+ billion
  • Focus on high-growth categories
  • Strong marketplace execution

Headwinds

  • Currency translation would decrease 2023 net revenue growth by approximately 1 percent
  • Negative $0.04 impact to Adjusted EPS from currency translation
  • Greater than usual volatility as a result of COVID-19
  • Geopolitical uncertainty
  • Unpredictability of future changes in currency exchange rates

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

41 / 74 earnings

Positive

+8.0%

Q3 2014

Best reaction

-9.4%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.0%+4.9%+4.5%
Q4 2025+5.1%+2.1%-1.8%
Q3 2025-4.0%-5.9%-4.4%
Q2 2025-6.6%-8.9%-11.9%
Q1 2025+3.8%+3.3%+2.8%
Q4 2024+2.3%+4.3%+20.7%
Q3 2024+0.4%-1.5%-6.4%
Q2 2024+1.9%+5.3%+5.4%
Q1 2024-1.6%-2.7%-5.5%
Q4 2023-0.6%+1.5%-3.5%
Q3 2023+2.7%+3.1%+7.0%
Q2 2023+1.9%+0.9%-2.9%
Q1 2023+6.1%+7.3%+3.9%
Q4 2022+2.9%+1.7%+0.8%
Q3 2022+1.8%+2.8%+10.8%
Q2 2022+1.4%+2.0%+2.7%
Q1 2022-2.6%-2.0%-5.0%
Q4 2021-0.3%+0.1%+0.2%
Q3 2021+2.3%+2.2%-2.4%
Q2 2021-2.2%-2.4%-5.2%
Q1 2021+3.6%+3.5%+7.7%
Q4 2020-1.7%-0.5%-5.8%
Q3 2020+2.4%+5.1%+9.5%
Q2 2020+2.2%-0.2%+4.6%
Q1 2020-0.8%-1.5%-0.1%
Q4 2019+7.2%+4.9%-3.7%
Q3 2019-0.7%-0.7%+0.6%
Q2 2019-2.5%-2.0%+0.8%
Q1 2019+2.2%+2.4%+1.4%
Q4 2018+6.5%+6.2%+8.7%
Q3 2018+5.0%+4.7%+10.7%
Q2 2018+4.2%+3.6%+2.1%
Q1 2018-4.1%-1.5%-0.6%
Q4 2017+3.5%-0.9%+0.2%
Q3 2017+1.8%+0.7%+5.6%
Q2 2017-0.5%+0.8%-6.3%
Q1 2017+2.2%+1.7%+6.6%
Q4 2016+1.0%+2.2%-0.5%
Q3 2016+2.7%+5.1%+1.2%
Q2 2016-2.4%-3.9%-4.8%
Q1 2016+2.1%
Q4 2015-9.4%
Q3 2015-0.7%
Q2 2015+4.7%
Q1 2015+4.3%
Q4 2014+3.3%
Q3 2014+8.0%
Q2 2014-2.5%
Q1 2014+7.3%
Q4 2013+2.2%
Q3 2013-4.0%
Q2 2013+2.6%
Q1 2013-0.7%
Q4 2012-4.0%
Q3 2012-0.9%
Q2 2012+2.8%
Q1 2012-1.1%
Q4 2011+0.3%
Q3 2011-1.2%
Q2 2011-0.2%
Q1 2011+0.4%
Q4 2010-0.5%
Q3 2010-2.1%
Q2 2010-0.8%
Q1 2009+4.5%
Q1 2010-0.6%
Q4 2009-2.2%
Q3 2008-3.5%
Q3 2009-3.5%
Q4 2007-3.5%
Q4 2006-3.5%
Q2 2009+0.1%
Q2 2008+0.1%
Q4 2008+0.1%

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