NASDAQ$MDLZ

Mondelez International Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mondelēz International's Q1 2021 results showcased resilience and growth, driven by organic net revenue increase and strategic acquisitions.

Mondelēz International reported a strong first quarter in 2021, with net revenues up by 7.9% driven by organic net revenue growth of 3.8%. The company saw improvements across emerging markets and healthy demand in developed markets, with diluted EPS at $0.68, up 33.3%, and adjusted EPS at $0.77, up 10.6% on a constant-currency basis. The company also generated $699 million in free cash flow and returned $1.5 billion to shareholders.

  • Net revenues increased by 7.9%, driven by Organic Net Revenue growth of 3.8%, favorable currency, and acquisitions.
  • Diluted EPS increased 33.3% to $0.68, while Adjusted EPS rose 10.6% to $0.77 on a constant-currency basis.
  • Operating activities provided $915 million in cash, resulting in Free Cash Flow of $699 million.
  • The company returned $1.5 billion to shareholders through cash dividends and share repurchases.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$7.24B

Previous: $6.71B+7.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.77

Previous: $0.69+11.6%
Organic Revenue Growth

3.8%

Previous: 6.4%-40.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$216M

Previous: -$214M-0.9%
Free Cash Flow

$745M

Previous: $539M+38.2%
Net Income

$961M

Previous: $753M+27.6%
Operating Income

$1.28B

Previous: $856M+49.9%
Gross Profit

$2.97B

Previous: $2.45B+21.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.03B

Previous: $1.93B+5.4%
Total Assets

$66.3B

Previous: $63.6B+4.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$25M

Previous: $28M-10.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Mondelez · Revenue · Quarterly

$7.24B

Q1 2021+7.9%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Mondelēz International anticipates Organic Net Revenue to grow by 3%+ and Adjusted EPS to increase at a high single-digit rate (at cst FX) with Free Cash Flow expected to be $3B+ in fiscal year 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Organic Net Revenue Growth 3%+
  • Adjusted EPS Growth (at cst FX) High single-digit
  • Free Cash Flow $3B+
  • Company estimates currency translation would increase 2021 net revenue growth by approximately 2%
  • Company estimates a positive $0.10 impact to Adjusted EPS from currency translation

Headwinds

  • Outlook is provided in the context of greater than usual volatility as a result of COVID-19.
  • Uncertainty about the magnitude, duration, geographic reach, impact on the global economy and related current and potential travel restrictions of the COVID-19 pandemic
  • The current, and uncertain future, impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the company’s business, growth, reputation, prospects, financial condition, operating results (including components of the company’s financial results), cash flows and liquidity
  • Risks from operating globally including in emerging markets
  • Changes in currency exchange rates, controls and restrictions

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

41 / 74 earnings

Positive

+8.0%

Q3 2014

Best reaction

-9.4%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.0%+4.9%+4.5%
Q4 2025+5.1%+2.1%-1.8%
Q3 2025-4.0%-5.9%-4.4%
Q2 2025-6.6%-8.9%-11.9%
Q1 2025+3.8%+3.3%+2.8%
Q4 2024+2.3%+4.3%+20.7%
Q3 2024+0.4%-1.5%-6.4%
Q2 2024+1.9%+5.3%+5.4%
Q1 2024-1.6%-2.7%-5.5%
Q4 2023-0.6%+1.5%-3.5%
Q3 2023+2.7%+3.1%+7.0%
Q2 2023+1.9%+0.9%-2.9%
Q1 2023+6.1%+7.3%+3.9%
Q4 2022+2.9%+1.7%+0.8%
Q3 2022+1.8%+2.8%+10.8%
Q2 2022+1.4%+2.0%+2.7%
Q1 2022-2.6%-2.0%-5.0%
Q4 2021-0.3%+0.1%+0.2%
Q3 2021+2.3%+2.2%-2.4%
Q2 2021-2.2%-2.4%-5.2%
Q1 2021+3.6%+3.5%+7.7%
Q4 2020-1.7%-0.5%-5.8%
Q3 2020+2.4%+5.1%+9.5%
Q2 2020+2.2%-0.2%+4.6%
Q1 2020-0.8%-1.5%-0.1%
Q4 2019+7.2%+4.9%-3.7%
Q3 2019-0.7%-0.7%+0.6%
Q2 2019-2.5%-2.0%+0.8%
Q1 2019+2.2%+2.4%+1.4%
Q4 2018+6.5%+6.2%+8.7%
Q3 2018+5.0%+4.7%+10.7%
Q2 2018+4.2%+3.6%+2.1%
Q1 2018-4.1%-1.5%-0.6%
Q4 2017+3.5%-0.9%+0.2%
Q3 2017+1.8%+0.7%+5.6%
Q2 2017-0.5%+0.8%-6.3%
Q1 2017+2.2%+1.7%+6.6%
Q4 2016+1.0%+2.2%-0.5%
Q3 2016+2.7%+5.1%+1.2%
Q2 2016-2.4%-3.9%-4.8%
Q1 2016+2.1%
Q4 2015-9.4%
Q3 2015-0.7%
Q2 2015+4.7%
Q1 2015+4.3%
Q4 2014+3.3%
Q3 2014+8.0%
Q2 2014-2.5%
Q1 2014+7.3%
Q4 2013+2.2%
Q3 2013-4.0%
Q2 2013+2.6%
Q1 2013-0.7%
Q4 2012-4.0%
Q3 2012-0.9%
Q2 2012+2.8%
Q1 2012-1.1%
Q4 2011+0.3%
Q3 2011-1.2%
Q2 2011-0.2%
Q1 2011+0.4%
Q4 2010-0.5%
Q3 2010-2.1%
Q2 2010-0.8%
Q1 2009+4.5%
Q1 2010-0.6%
Q4 2009-2.2%
Q3 2008-3.5%
Q3 2009-3.5%
Q4 2007-3.5%
Q4 2006-3.5%
Q2 2009+0.1%
Q2 2008+0.1%
Q4 2008+0.1%

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