NASDAQ$MDLZ

Mondelez International Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mondelez's Q3 2023 earnings showcased strong organic revenue growth and increased profitability.

Mondelez International reported a strong Q3 2023, with net revenues up by 16.3% driven by a 15.7% increase in Organic Net Revenue. Diluted EPS rose by 84.6% to $0.72, while adjusted EPS increased by 16.7% on a constant currency basis to $0.82. The company is raising its Organic Net Revenue outlook to 14-15% and Adjusted EPS growth outlook to approximately 16%.

  • Net revenues increased by 16.3%, driven by Organic Net Revenue growth of 15.7%.
  • Diluted EPS increased 84.6% to $0.72; Adjusted EPS increased 16.7% on a constant currency basis to $0.82.
  • Free Cash Flow was $2.4 billion, up $0.5 billion versus prior year.
  • The company is raising Organic Net Revenue outlook to 14% to 15% and Adjusted EPS growth outlook to approximately 16%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$9.03B

Previous: $7.76B+16.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.82

Previous: $0.74+10.8%
Organic Revenue Growth

15.7%

Previous: 12.1%+29.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$780M

Previous: -$621M-25.6%
Free Cash Flow

$204M

Previous: -$89M+329.2%
Net Income

$984M

Previous: $532M+85.0%
Operating Income

$1.38B

Previous: $679M+103.1%
Gross Profit

$3.49B

Previous: $2.61B+33.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.61B

Previous: $2.2B-26.7%
Total Assets

$70.9B

Previous: $68B+4.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$34M

Previous: $32M+6.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Mondelez · Revenue · Quarterly

$9.03B

Q3 2023+16.3%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Mondelēz International is updating its 2023 fiscal outlook and now expects 14 to 15 percent Organic Net Revenue growth versus the prior outlook of 12+ percent. The company's expectation for Adjusted EPS growth on a constant currency basis is now approximately 16 percent versus the prior outlook of 12+ percent. The company's Free Cash Flow outlook remains at $3.3+ billion.

Tailwinds

  • Raising Organic Net Revenue outlook to 14% to 15%.
  • Raising Adjusted EPS growth outlook to ~16%.
  • Free Cash Flow outlook remains at $3.3+ billion.
  • Strong year-to-date performance.
  • Category attractiveness provides confidence.

Headwinds

  • Currency translation would decrease 2023 net revenue growth by approximately 4 percent.
  • Currency translation with a negative $0.15 impact to Adjusted EPS.
  • Outlook is provided in the context of greater than usual volatility.
  • Geopolitical uncertainty.
  • Unpredictability of future changes in currency exchange rates.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

41 / 74 earnings

Positive

+8.0%

Q3 2014

Best reaction

-9.4%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.0%+4.9%+4.5%
Q4 2025+5.1%+2.1%-1.8%
Q3 2025-4.0%-5.9%-4.4%
Q2 2025-6.6%-8.9%-11.9%
Q1 2025+3.8%+3.3%+2.8%
Q4 2024+2.3%+4.3%+20.7%
Q3 2024+0.4%-1.5%-6.4%
Q2 2024+1.9%+5.3%+5.4%
Q1 2024-1.6%-2.7%-5.5%
Q4 2023-0.6%+1.5%-3.5%
Q3 2023+2.7%+3.1%+7.0%
Q2 2023+1.9%+0.9%-2.9%
Q1 2023+6.1%+7.3%+3.9%
Q4 2022+2.9%+1.7%+0.8%
Q3 2022+1.8%+2.8%+10.8%
Q2 2022+1.4%+2.0%+2.7%
Q1 2022-2.6%-2.0%-5.0%
Q4 2021-0.3%+0.1%+0.2%
Q3 2021+2.3%+2.2%-2.4%
Q2 2021-2.2%-2.4%-5.2%
Q1 2021+3.6%+3.5%+7.7%
Q4 2020-1.7%-0.5%-5.8%
Q3 2020+2.4%+5.1%+9.5%
Q2 2020+2.2%-0.2%+4.6%
Q1 2020-0.8%-1.5%-0.1%
Q4 2019+7.2%+4.9%-3.7%
Q3 2019-0.7%-0.7%+0.6%
Q2 2019-2.5%-2.0%+0.8%
Q1 2019+2.2%+2.4%+1.4%
Q4 2018+6.5%+6.2%+8.7%
Q3 2018+5.0%+4.7%+10.7%
Q2 2018+4.2%+3.6%+2.1%
Q1 2018-4.1%-1.5%-0.6%
Q4 2017+3.5%-0.9%+0.2%
Q3 2017+1.8%+0.7%+5.6%
Q2 2017-0.5%+0.8%-6.3%
Q1 2017+2.2%+1.7%+6.6%
Q4 2016+1.0%+2.2%-0.5%
Q3 2016+2.7%+5.1%+1.2%
Q2 2016-2.4%-3.9%-4.8%
Q1 2016+2.1%
Q4 2015-9.4%
Q3 2015-0.7%
Q2 2015+4.7%
Q1 2015+4.3%
Q4 2014+3.3%
Q3 2014+8.0%
Q2 2014-2.5%
Q1 2014+7.3%
Q4 2013+2.2%
Q3 2013-4.0%
Q2 2013+2.6%
Q1 2013-0.7%
Q4 2012-4.0%
Q3 2012-0.9%
Q2 2012+2.8%
Q1 2012-1.1%
Q4 2011+0.3%
Q3 2011-1.2%
Q2 2011-0.2%
Q1 2011+0.4%
Q4 2010-0.5%
Q3 2010-2.1%
Q2 2010-0.8%
Q1 2009+4.5%
Q1 2010-0.6%
Q4 2009-2.2%
Q3 2008-3.5%
Q3 2009-3.5%
Q4 2007-3.5%
Q4 2006-3.5%
Q2 2009+0.1%
Q2 2008+0.1%
Q4 2008+0.1%

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