NASDAQ$MDGL

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals reported fourth quarter and full year financial results for 2020.

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals reported operating expenses of $59.6 million and research and development expenses of $53.4 million for the three months ended December 31, 2020. As of December 31, 2020, Madrigal had cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities of $284.1 million.

  • Completed enrollment in the Phase 3 MAESTRO-NAFLD-1 trial in less than 12 months.
  • Made significant progress in enrollment of the Phase 3 MAESTRO-NASH trial.
  • Advanced the development of Madrigal’s commercial capabilities.
  • Expect to achieve several important clinical milestones in 2021, including completion of enrollment in the 52-week, serial liver biopsy population for Subpart H approval of MAESTRO-NASH.

Headline financials

EPS (adj)

-$3.82

Previous: -$1.80-112.2%
R&D Expense

$53.4M

Previous: $24.9M+114.5%
SG&A Expense

$6.13M

Previous: $5.04M+21.5%
Capital Expenditures

$10K

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$55M

No prior period
Net Income

-$59.1M

Previous: -$27.7M-113.1%
Operating Income

-$59.6M

Previous: -$30M-98.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$284M

Previous: $439M-35.3%
Total Assets

$287M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$5.13M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Madrigal · Revenue · Quarterly

$311M

Q1 2026+126.8%vs Q1 2025
Beat estimate in 0 of 5 quarters(0%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Madrigal expects to achieve several important clinical milestones in 2021, including completion of enrollment in the 52-week, serial liver biopsy population for Subpart H approval of MAESTRO-NASH, which we expect to complete in the second quarter; presentation of data from the open label arm of MAESTRO-NAFLD-1 at a major medical conference; and release of topline data from the blinded arms of MAESTRO-NAFLD-1 by the end of the year.

Tailwinds

  • Completion of enrollment in the 52-week, serial liver biopsy population for Subpart H approval of MAESTRO-NASH.
  • Presentation of data from the open label arm of MAESTRO-NAFLD-1 at a major medical conference.
  • Release of topline data from the blinded arms of MAESTRO-NAFLD-1 by the end of the year.
  • Resmetirom lowers multiple atherogenic lipids, including LDL cholesterol, apolipoprotein B, triglycerides, and lipoprotein (a).
  • Resmetirom’s ability to decrease liver fat.

Headwinds

  • Clinical development of resmetirom
  • Enrollment uncertainties, generally and in relation to COVID-19 shelter-in-place and social distancing measures and individual precautionary measures that may be implemented or continued for an uncertain period of time
  • Outcomes or trends from competitive studies
  • Future topline data timing or results
  • The risks of achieving potential benefits in studies that include substantially more patients than our prior studies

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+7.8%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 65 earnings

Positive

+48.0%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-23.3%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.0%-1.2%-3.2%
Q4 2025-11.1%-10.5%-10.2%
Q3 2025+7.8%+18.7%+42.2%
Q1 2025-1.9%-11.6%-17.6%
Q4 2024+15.0%+1.3%+5.9%
Q3 2024+48.0%+56.4%+52.0%
Q2 2024-8.6%-9.2%-8.5%
Q1 2024-11.7%-12.9%+2.5%
Q4 2023-1.5%+2.8%+11.4%
Q3 2023+3.6%-5.5%+61.1%
Q2 2023-6.0%-4.5%+6.4%
Q1 2023-5.4%-5.2%-12.8%
Q4 2022-5.4%-7.1%-19.6%
Q3 2022-6.7%-10.1%+12.8%
Q2 2022+22.8%+12.1%+10.8%
Q1 2022-0.2%+1.8%+15.0%
Q4 2021+7.9%+13.1%+9.2%
Q3 2021-0.5%-1.6%-16.6%
Q2 2021+7.5%+0.8%-4.5%
Q1 2021+0.7%+2.3%-22.0%
Q4 2020-1.3%-6.9%-5.3%
Q3 2020-6.8%-2.2%-10.9%
Q2 2020-1.1%-2.2%+2.3%
Q1 2020+2.9%+25.1%+27.6%
Q4 2019-2.5%+2.6%-19.7%
Q3 2019+0.1%+7.9%+22.1%
Q2 2019+2.0%+2.0%+9.8%
Q1 2019+0.2%-3.4%-8.0%
Q4 2018-2.4%+3.1%-6.9%
Q3 2018+5.2%-7.8%-39.7%
Q2 2018-1.0%-5.9%-11.0%
Q1 2018-0.0%+2.2%+138.3%
Q4 2017-16.4%-20.4%-15.8%
Q3 2017-0.2%-5.7%+84.7%
Q2 2017-0.8%+1.7%+13.5%
Q1 2017+2.1%+4.5%-0.3%
Q4 2016-2.2%-4.9%+6.8%
Q3 2016+5.3%+2.4%-1.4%
Q2 2016+3.8%+11.5%+1.9%
Q1 2016+10.5%
Q4 2015-23.3%
Q3 2015+0.0%
Q2 2015-3.4%
Q1 2015+1.3%
Q4 2014-6.1%
Q3 2014+10.6%
Q2 2014+0.5%
Q1 2014+3.3%
Q4 2013-10.1%
Q3 2013+0.9%
Q2 2013-4.2%
Q1 2013+2.5%
Q4 2012-5.0%
Q3 2012-5.2%
Q2 2012+0.3%
Q1 2012-11.2%
Q4 2011+0.2%
Q4 2009+0.2%
Q3 2011+4.4%
Q2 2011-10.1%
Q4 2010-10.1%
Q1 2011+1.6%
Q3 2010-6.1%
Q2 2010-5.6%
Q1 2010-16.5%

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