NASDAQ$MDGL

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Madrigal reported third quarter financial results and completed enrollment in Phase 3 MAESTRO NAFLD-1 trial

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals announced the completion of enrollment in its MAESTRO NAFLD-1 clinical trial and reported its third quarter 2020 financial results. The company's cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities totaled $335.9 million. Operating expenses were $58.8 million, with research and development expenses accounting for $53.3 million.

  • Completed enrollment in MAESTRO NAFLD-1 clinical trial.
  • Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities totaled $335.9 million.
  • Operating expenses for the quarter were $58.8 million.
  • Research and development expenses for the quarter were $53.3 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$0.00

Previous: $0.00
EPS (adj)

-$3.75

Previous: -$1.39-169.8%
R&D Expense

$53.3M

Previous: $19.4M+174.1%
SG&A Expense

$5.5M

Previous: $4.75M+15.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$324K

Previous: -$38K-752.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$58.3M

Previous: -$21.5M-171.5%
Net Income

-$58M

Previous: -$21.4M-170.5%
Operating Income

-$58.8M

Previous: -$24.2M-143.0%
Gross Profit

$0.00

Previous: $200K-100.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$336M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Madrigal · Revenue · Quarterly

$0

Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 0 of 5 quarters(0%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Madrigal expects to report topline 52-week data from the blinded arms of the MAESTRO-NAFLD-1 study by the end of next year and completion of targeted enrollment in the serial liver biopsy portion of MAESTRO-NASH will be delayed past the end of 2020 by a few months.

Tailwinds

  • Completion of enrollment in MAESTRO-NAFLD-1 will enable reporting of topline 52-week data by the end of next year.
  • Early data from the open label arm of MAESTRO-NAFLD-1 and Phase 2 studies suggest potential to achieve primary and secondary endpoints in Phase 3 NASH program.
  • Week 16 MRE data from MAESTRO-NAFLD-1 open label arm suggests potential for a robust non-invasive imaging test to demonstrate a fibrosis benefit with resmetirom treatment.
  • Resmetirom lowers multiple atherogenic lipids, including LDL cholesterol, apolipoprotein B, triglycerides, and lipoprotein (a).
  • Resmetirom's ability to decrease liver fat and reduce atherogenic lipids are being further evaluated in both MAESTRO Phase 3 clinical studies.

Headwinds

  • COVID-19 pandemic remains unpredictable.
  • Completion of targeted enrollment in the serial liver biopsy portion of MAESTRO-NASH will be delayed past the end of 2020 by a few months.
  • NASH patients are at a substantially increased CV risk compared to the general population.
  • Forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties including clinical development of resmetirom and enrollment uncertainties.
  • Undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date they are made.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+7.8%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 65 earnings

Positive

+48.0%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-23.3%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.0%-1.2%-3.2%
Q4 2025-11.1%-10.5%-10.2%
Q3 2025+7.8%+18.7%+42.2%
Q1 2025-1.9%-11.6%-17.6%
Q4 2024+15.0%+1.3%+5.9%
Q3 2024+48.0%+56.4%+52.0%
Q2 2024-8.6%-9.2%-8.5%
Q1 2024-11.7%-12.9%+2.5%
Q4 2023-1.5%+2.8%+11.4%
Q3 2023+3.6%-5.5%+61.1%
Q2 2023-6.0%-4.5%+6.4%
Q1 2023-5.4%-5.2%-12.8%
Q4 2022-5.4%-7.1%-19.6%
Q3 2022-6.7%-10.1%+12.8%
Q2 2022+22.8%+12.1%+10.8%
Q1 2022-0.2%+1.8%+15.0%
Q4 2021+7.9%+13.1%+9.2%
Q3 2021-0.5%-1.6%-16.6%
Q2 2021+7.5%+0.8%-4.5%
Q1 2021+0.7%+2.3%-22.0%
Q4 2020-1.3%-6.9%-5.3%
Q3 2020-6.8%-2.2%-10.9%
Q2 2020-1.1%-2.2%+2.3%
Q1 2020+2.9%+25.1%+27.6%
Q4 2019-2.5%+2.6%-19.7%
Q3 2019+0.1%+7.9%+22.1%
Q2 2019+2.0%+2.0%+9.8%
Q1 2019+0.2%-3.4%-8.0%
Q4 2018-2.4%+3.1%-6.9%
Q3 2018+5.2%-7.8%-39.7%
Q2 2018-1.0%-5.9%-11.0%
Q1 2018-0.0%+2.2%+138.3%
Q4 2017-16.4%-20.4%-15.8%
Q3 2017-0.2%-5.7%+84.7%
Q2 2017-0.8%+1.7%+13.5%
Q1 2017+2.1%+4.5%-0.3%
Q4 2016-2.2%-4.9%+6.8%
Q3 2016+5.3%+2.4%-1.4%
Q2 2016+3.8%+11.5%+1.9%
Q1 2016+10.5%
Q4 2015-23.3%
Q3 2015+0.0%
Q2 2015-3.4%
Q1 2015+1.3%
Q4 2014-6.1%
Q3 2014+10.6%
Q2 2014+0.5%
Q1 2014+3.3%
Q4 2013-10.1%
Q3 2013+0.9%
Q2 2013-4.2%
Q1 2013+2.5%
Q4 2012-5.0%
Q3 2012-5.2%
Q2 2012+0.3%
Q1 2012-11.2%
Q4 2011+0.2%
Q4 2009+0.2%
Q3 2011+4.4%
Q2 2011-10.1%
Q4 2010-10.1%
Q1 2011+1.6%
Q3 2010-6.1%
Q2 2010-5.6%
Q1 2010-16.5%

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