NASDAQ$MDGL

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Madrigal reported first quarter 2021 financial results and provided highlights.

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals reported an increase in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities to $307.2 million. Operating expenses increased to $53.0 million, driven by higher research and development and general and administrative costs.

  • Madrigal expects to complete enrollment for MAESTRO-NASH by the end of Q2 2021.
  • Topline 52-week data from MAESTRO-NAFLD-1 blinded arms is expected by the end of the year.
  • Madrigal believes it has emerged as a leader in developing a drug to treat NASH.
  • Open label arms of MAESTRO-NAFLD-1 are expected to generate compelling results.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$0.00

Previous: $0.00
EPS (adj)

-$3.32

Previous: -$2.34-41.9%
R&D Expense

$45.8M

Previous: $33.4M+37.0%
SG&A Expense

$7.21M

Previous: $4.61M+56.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$44K

Previous: -$314K+86.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$52.6M

Previous: -$36.4M-44.3%
Net Income

-$52.5M

Previous: -$36.1M-45.4%
Operating Income

-$53M

Previous: -$38M-39.4%
Gross Profit

$0.00

No prior period
Cash & Equivalents

$307M

Previous: $409M-24.8%
Total Assets

$310M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$6.1M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Madrigal · Revenue · Quarterly

$0

Q1 2021
Beat estimate in 0 of 5 quarters(0%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Madrigal anticipates several important events in 2021, including completing enrollment for MAESTRO-NASH and releasing topline data from MAESTRO-NAFLD-1.

Tailwinds

  • Completing enrollment of MAESTRO-NASH 52-week serial liver biopsy population by the end of Q2.
  • Releasing topline 52 week data from the blinded arms of MAESTRO-NAFLD-1 by the end of the year.
  • Potential application for accelerated approval to FDA.
  • Growing dataset from researchers to support noninvasive diagnostic approaches.
  • Resmetirom's potential to confer cardiovascular risk reduction in NASH patients

Headwinds

  • Clinical development of resmetirom faces uncertainties.
  • Enrollment uncertainties related to COVID-19.
  • Outcomes or trends from competitive studies may impact results.
  • Future topline data timing or results are uncertain.
  • Achieving potential benefits in studies with more patients poses risks.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+7.8%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 65 earnings

Positive

+48.0%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-23.3%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.0%-1.2%-3.2%
Q4 2025-11.1%-10.5%-10.2%
Q3 2025+7.8%+18.7%+42.2%
Q1 2025-1.9%-11.6%-17.6%
Q4 2024+15.0%+1.3%+5.9%
Q3 2024+48.0%+56.4%+52.0%
Q2 2024-8.6%-9.2%-8.5%
Q1 2024-11.7%-12.9%+2.5%
Q4 2023-1.5%+2.8%+11.4%
Q3 2023+3.6%-5.5%+61.1%
Q2 2023-6.0%-4.5%+6.4%
Q1 2023-5.4%-5.2%-12.8%
Q4 2022-5.4%-7.1%-19.6%
Q3 2022-6.7%-10.1%+12.8%
Q2 2022+22.8%+12.1%+10.8%
Q1 2022-0.2%+1.8%+15.0%
Q4 2021+7.9%+13.1%+9.2%
Q3 2021-0.5%-1.6%-16.6%
Q2 2021+7.5%+0.8%-4.5%
Q1 2021+0.7%+2.3%-22.0%
Q4 2020-1.3%-6.9%-5.3%
Q3 2020-6.8%-2.2%-10.9%
Q2 2020-1.1%-2.2%+2.3%
Q1 2020+2.9%+25.1%+27.6%
Q4 2019-2.5%+2.6%-19.7%
Q3 2019+0.1%+7.9%+22.1%
Q2 2019+2.0%+2.0%+9.8%
Q1 2019+0.2%-3.4%-8.0%
Q4 2018-2.4%+3.1%-6.9%
Q3 2018+5.2%-7.8%-39.7%
Q2 2018-1.0%-5.9%-11.0%
Q1 2018-0.0%+2.2%+138.3%
Q4 2017-16.4%-20.4%-15.8%
Q3 2017-0.2%-5.7%+84.7%
Q2 2017-0.8%+1.7%+13.5%
Q1 2017+2.1%+4.5%-0.3%
Q4 2016-2.2%-4.9%+6.8%
Q3 2016+5.3%+2.4%-1.4%
Q2 2016+3.8%+11.5%+1.9%
Q1 2016+10.5%
Q4 2015-23.3%
Q3 2015+0.0%
Q2 2015-3.4%
Q1 2015+1.3%
Q4 2014-6.1%
Q3 2014+10.6%
Q2 2014+0.5%
Q1 2014+3.3%
Q4 2013-10.1%
Q3 2013+0.9%
Q2 2013-4.2%
Q1 2013+2.5%
Q4 2012-5.0%
Q3 2012-5.2%
Q2 2012+0.3%
Q1 2012-11.2%
Q4 2011+0.2%
Q4 2009+0.2%
Q3 2011+4.4%
Q2 2011-10.1%
Q4 2010-10.1%
Q1 2011+1.6%
Q3 2010-6.1%
Q2 2010-5.6%
Q1 2010-16.5%

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