NASDAQ$MCW

Mister Car Wash Inc · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mister Car Wash reported an increase in revenue and comparable store sales growth for Q4 2021.

Mister Car Wash announced strong financial results for the fourth quarter of 2021, with an 18.2% increase in net revenues, a 14.6% increase in comparable store sales, and the addition of 36 net new locations. The company also reported a 34.3% increase in Unlimited Wash Club memberships.

  • Net revenues increased by 18.2% to $191.5 million.
  • Comparable store sales increased by 14.6%.
  • The company added 36 net new locations.
  • UWC sales represented approximately 67.0% of total wash sales.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$191M

Previous: $162M+18.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.10

Previous: $0.15-33.3%
Comparable-Store Sales Growth

14.6%

No prior period
UWC Sales Mix

67.0%

Previous: 65.4%+2.4%
Total Locations

396

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$39.4M

Previous: $17.2M+128.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$19.4M

Previous: $6.69M-390.0%
Net Income

$36.3M

Previous: $40.4M-10.2%
Operating Income

$47M

Previous: $69.7M-32.6%
Gross Profit

$129M

Previous: $110M+17.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$19.7M

Previous: $115M-82.8%
Total Assets

$2.45B

Previous: $1.95B+25.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.29M

Previous: $306K+1954.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Mister Car Wash · Revenue · Quarterly

$191M

Q4 2021+18.2%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 8 of 11 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company’s outlook for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2022 compared to the actual results of fiscal 2021 is the following:

Tailwinds

  • Net revenues $875 to $895 million
  • Comparable stores sales growth % 5.0% to 7.0%
  • GAAP net income (loss) $139 to $149 million
  • Adjusted net income $144 to $153 million
  • Adjusted EBITDA $284 to $297 million

Headwinds

  • Adjusted net income per share, diluted $0.44 to $0.47
  • Weighted average common shares outstanding, diluted, full year 329 million
  • New greenfield locations Approx. 30
  • Capital expenditures $285 to $315 million
  • Sale leasebacks $140 to $150 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+1.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

11 / 23 earnings

Positive

+26.1%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-15.0%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.1%-0.4%
Q4 2025+16.5%+16.3%+15.8%
Q3 2025+8.4%+5.2%+2.7%
Q2 2025-5.9%-8.6%-7.0%
Q1 2025+9.2%+9.8%+3.2%
Q4 2024-1.6%-0.9%+6.6%
Q3 2024+15.9%+22.5%+23.5%
Q2 2024-4.6%-10.8%-15.2%
Q1 2024+4.3%+14.2%+5.1%
Q1 2021-1.2%+5.5%-2.8%
Q4 2023-13.4%-14.4%-15.9%
Q3 2023+26.1%+26.5%+54.6%
Q2 2023-15.0%-19.5%-17.5%
Q1 2023+0.7%+2.9%-6.7%
Q4 2022+4.0%+2.0%-7.7%
Q3 2022+21.9%+14.9%+13.4%
Q2 2022-11.6%-6.1%-13.3%
Q1 2022-6.8%-3.4%-2.2%
Q4 2021+0.6%-0.3%-7.5%
Q3 2020+2.1%-4.6%-1.4%
Q3 2021-5.0%-3.0%-4.9%
Q4 2020-8.9%-6.1%-9.5%
Q2 2021-1.7%-9.3%-8.5%
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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