NASDAQ$LUNA

Luna Innovations Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record Q4 and full-year results, driven by strong operating and financial performance and the acquisition of OptaSense.

Luna Innovations reported a 33% increase in total revenues for Q4 2020, reaching $25.9 million, with operating income at $0.5 million and a net loss from continuing operations of $0.1 million. Excluding the OptaSense acquisition, total revenues increased by 25% to $24.4 million, with an operating income of $3.7 million and a net income of $3.0 million, or $0.09 per fully diluted share. Adjusted EBITDA was $4.3 million, or $5.0 million excluding OptaSense.

  • Total revenues increased by 33% to $25.9 million, including OptaSense.
  • Excluding OptaSense, total revenues increased by 25% to $24.4 million.
  • Operating income was $0.5 million, but $3.7 million excluding OptaSense and acquisition-related expenses.
  • Net loss from continuing operations was $0.1 million, but net income was $3.0 million excluding OptaSense and acquisition-related expenses.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$25.9M

Previous: $19.5M+33.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.09

Previous: $0.08+12.5%
Adjusted EBITDA

$4.28M

Previous: $3.24M+32.3%
Net Income

-$64K

Previous: $2.15M-103.0%
Operating Income

$530K

Previous: $1.72M-69.1%
Gross Profit

$13.4M

Previous: $10.4M+28.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$15.4M

Previous: $25M-38.6%
Total Assets

$131M

Previous: $86.5M+51.4%
R&D Expense

$2M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Luna Innovations · Revenue · Quarterly

$25.9M

Q4 2020+33%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Luna Innovations · $19.5M total across 2 segments · Q4 2019

  • Products and licensing
    $13M+63.1%
  • Technology development
    $6.45M+16.2%

Forward guidance

For fiscal year 2021, Luna expects total revenues in the range of $122 million to $127 million and Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $16 million to $19 million.

Tailwinds

  • Expects total revenues in the range of $122 million to $127 million for full fiscal 2021.
  • Expects Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $16 million to $19 million for full fiscal 2021.

Headwinds

  • Luna is not providing an outlook for net income, which is the most directly comparable GAAP measure to Adjusted EBITDA.
  • Changes in the items that Luna excludes from net income to calculate Adjusted EBITDA can be dependent on future events.
  • These future events are less capable of being controlled or reliably predicted by management.
  • These future events are not part of Luna's routine operating activities.
  • The outlook does not include any future acquisitions, divestitures, or unanticipated events.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.7%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

33 / 56 earnings

Positive

+23.5%

Q2 2019

Best reaction

-29.3%

Q4 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2023+1.1%+3.7%+23.0%
Q2 2023-12.6%-12.7%-29.2%
Q1 2023+4.4%-4.3%-7.4%
Q4 2023-29.3%-28.0%-25.4%
Q3 2022+18.8%+22.7%+55.4%
Q2 2022-5.8%-4.5%-17.5%
Q1 2022-3.2%-4.9%-28.7%
Q4 2021+8.7%+19.2%-1.9%
Q3 2021-11.7%-1.7%-9.7%
Q2 2021-11.1%-11.5%-15.1%
Q1 2021+5.7%+5.1%+10.6%
Q4 2020+3.5%+2.4%-7.2%
Q3 2020+15.4%+11.6%+32.6%
Q2 2020+18.0%+7.9%+7.3%
Q1 2020-6.1%-8.2%+22.5%
Q4 2019+4.3%-8.2%-20.4%
Q3 2019+9.5%+11.7%+28.5%
Q2 2019+23.5%+20.9%+48.1%
Q1 2019+0.5%+0.7%+6.5%
Q4 2018+15.9%+5.4%+7.9%
Q3 2018-0.3%-2.2%-12.9%
Q2 2018+21.5%+8.8%+9.7%
Q1 2018-12.9%-9.7%-10.0%
Q4 2017+14.6%+22.5%+30.4%
Q3 2017+14.2%+25.2%+47.7%
Q2 2017+19.0%+25.6%+24.0%
Q1 2017-0.6%+0.0%-11.0%
Q4 2016-11.7%-9.6%-18.1%
Q3 2016+0.8%+1.6%+10.2%
Q2 2016-21.3%-19.3%-9.3%
Q1 2016-4.5%
Q4 2015-2.6%
Q3 2015-2.5%
Q2 2015+5.3%
Q1 2015+5.8%
Q4 2014+5.3%
Q3 2014+9.2%
Q2 2014+2.4%
Q4 2013-5.4%
Q1 2014-5.4%
Q3 2013-6.2%
Q2 2013-4.5%
Q1 2013-5.4%
Q4 2012-5.4%
Q3 2012-4.1%
Q2 2012+0.7%
Q1 2011+2.3%
Q1 2012+3.0%
Q4 2011+0.6%
Q3 2011+6.3%
Q3 2010+6.3%
Q4 2009+0.6%
Q2 2011+0.6%
Q4 2010+0.6%
Q2 2010+1.6%
Q1 2010-4.7%

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