NASDAQ$LUNA

Luna Innovations Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported solid results and maintained 2020 outlook.

Luna Innovations reported a 4% increase in total revenues, reaching $18.6 million for the second quarter of 2020. Operating income increased to $1.8 million, or 10% of total revenues, and net income was $1.4 million, or $0.04 per fully diluted share. The company maintains its 2020 outlook, tightening the revenue range to $81M to $83M.

  • Total revenues increased by 4% to $18.6 million for the three months ended June 30, 2020.
  • Operating income and margin improved to $1.8 million and 10% of total revenues.
  • Net income reached $1.4 million, or $0.04 per fully diluted share.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased to $3.0 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$12.9M

Previous: $17.8M-27.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.05

Previous: $0.02+150.0%
Gross margin

51.0%

Previous: 49.0%+4.1%
Adjusted EBITDA

$2.96M

Previous: $2.4M+23.3%
Capital Expenditures

$37K

Previous: $191K-80.6%
Free Cash Flow

$334K

Previous: -$671K+149.8%
Net Income

$1.37M

Previous: $840K+62.9%
Operating Income

$1.81M

Previous: $1.01M+78.5%
Gross Profit

$9.52M

Previous: $8.75M+8.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$26.5M

Previous: $23.5M+12.6%
Total Assets

$91.2M

Previous: $82.2M+11.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$617K

Previous: $378K+63.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Luna Innovations · Revenue · Quarterly

$12.9M

Q2 2020-27.4%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Luna Innovations · $19.5M total across 2 segments · Q4 2019

  • Products and licensing
    $13M+63.1%
  • Technology development
    $6.45M+16.2%

Forward guidance

Luna is slightly tightening its revenue outlook range to $81 million to $83 million, and reiterates the outlook it provided on May 7, 2020.

Tailwinds

  • Total revenues of $81M to $83M
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $10M to $12M
  • Company continues to operate at its normal capacity.
  • Company has a strong cash position and adequate access to capital.
  • Company is in a strong position to take advantage of trends such as 5G, lightweighting and infrastructure monitoring.

Headwinds

  • COVID-19 pandemic has created evolving and significant macroeconomic uncertainty.
  • In-person meetings have historically been helpful in closing the sale.
  • Slight challenge around Luna's ability to forecast the exact timing of closing certain customer contracts and receiving purchase orders.
  • Failure of demand for Luna's products and services to meet expectations.
  • Failure of target market to grow and expand.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.7%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

33 / 56 earnings

Positive

+23.5%

Q2 2019

Best reaction

-29.3%

Q4 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2023+1.1%+3.7%+23.0%
Q2 2023-12.6%-12.7%-29.2%
Q1 2023+4.4%-4.3%-7.4%
Q4 2023-29.3%-28.0%-25.4%
Q3 2022+18.8%+22.7%+55.4%
Q2 2022-5.8%-4.5%-17.5%
Q1 2022-3.2%-4.9%-28.7%
Q4 2021+8.7%+19.2%-1.9%
Q3 2021-11.7%-1.7%-9.7%
Q2 2021-11.1%-11.5%-15.1%
Q1 2021+5.7%+5.1%+10.6%
Q4 2020+3.5%+2.4%-7.2%
Q3 2020+15.4%+11.6%+32.6%
Q2 2020+18.0%+7.9%+7.3%
Q1 2020-6.1%-8.2%+22.5%
Q4 2019+4.3%-8.2%-20.4%
Q3 2019+9.5%+11.7%+28.5%
Q2 2019+23.5%+20.9%+48.1%
Q1 2019+0.5%+0.7%+6.5%
Q4 2018+15.9%+5.4%+7.9%
Q3 2018-0.3%-2.2%-12.9%
Q2 2018+21.5%+8.8%+9.7%
Q1 2018-12.9%-9.7%-10.0%
Q4 2017+14.6%+22.5%+30.4%
Q3 2017+14.2%+25.2%+47.7%
Q2 2017+19.0%+25.6%+24.0%
Q1 2017-0.6%+0.0%-11.0%
Q4 2016-11.7%-9.6%-18.1%
Q3 2016+0.8%+1.6%+10.2%
Q2 2016-21.3%-19.3%-9.3%
Q1 2016-4.5%
Q4 2015-2.6%
Q3 2015-2.5%
Q2 2015+5.3%
Q1 2015+5.8%
Q4 2014+5.3%
Q3 2014+9.2%
Q2 2014+2.4%
Q4 2013-5.4%
Q1 2014-5.4%
Q3 2013-6.2%
Q2 2013-4.5%
Q1 2013-5.4%
Q4 2012-5.4%
Q3 2012-4.1%
Q2 2012+0.7%
Q1 2011+2.3%
Q1 2012+3.0%
Q4 2011+0.6%
Q3 2011+6.3%
Q3 2010+6.3%
Q4 2009+0.6%
Q2 2011+0.6%
Q4 2010+0.6%
Q2 2010+1.6%
Q1 2010-4.7%

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