NASDAQ$KRT

Karat Packaging Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Karat Packaging's financial performance for Q4 2022 and full year 2022 was reported, highlighting a slight increase in net sales and improved gross margin despite challenges from inventory write-offs and increased operating expenses.

Karat Packaging reported a 1.5% increase in net sales for Q4 2022, reaching $92.7 million. The gross margin improved by 100 basis points to 32.0%, although net income decreased to $4.5 million due to higher operating expenses and an inventory write-off. The company is focused on growth strategies, including expanding warehouses and increasing its sales team.

  • Net sales increased by 1.5% to $92.7 million compared to the prior-year quarter.
  • Gross margin improved by 100 basis points to 32.0% due to lower ocean freight costs.
  • Net income decreased to $4.5 million from $6.0 million in the prior-year quarter.
  • The company is implementing growth strategies such as expanding warehouses and increasing the sales team.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$92.7M

Previous: $91.3M+1.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.30

Previous: $0.32-6.3%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

10.7%

Previous: 11.9%-10.1%
Gross Margin

32.0%

No prior period
Net Income Margin

4.9%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$650K

Previous: $228K+185.1%
Free Cash Flow

$16.3M

Previous: $9.7M+68.4%
Net Income

$4.54M

Previous: $6M-24.3%
Operating Income

$4.81M

Previous: $7.1M-32.2%
Gross Profit

$29.7M

Previous: $28.3M+4.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$16M

Previous: $6.48M+147.4%
Total Assets

$252M

Previous: $208M+21.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$273K

Previous: $938K-70.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Karat Packaging · Revenue · Quarterly

$92.7M

Q4 2022+1.5%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Karat Packaging · $70.8M total across 3 segments · Q4 2022

  • Chains and distributors
    $53.2M
  • Online
    $10.6M
  • Retail
    $7M

Forward guidance

Karat Packaging anticipates net sales to increase by a high single-digit percentage for the full year 2023 and aims for a gross margin between 32% and 33%. Sales for the first half of 2023 are expected to be lower due to price reductions and destocking of certain inventories.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales for the full year 2023 expected to increase high single digit.
  • Gross margin goal for the 2023 full year: 32 percent to 33 percent.
  • Gross margin continued to improve during the 2022 fourth quarter, with a significant reduction of ocean freight costs versus the same quarter last year.
  • Ocean freight costs have essentially now stabilized, which is expected to enable further margin expansion for 2023.
  • New contracts with chain accounts and expanded product offerings to existing customers are expected to add to the top line in the second half of 2023.

Headwinds

  • Sales for the first half of 2023 anticipated to be lower due, in part, to price reductions and destocking for certain inventories, compared with the prior year period.
  • Gross profit was negatively impacted by an out-of-period inventory write-off of $1.7 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was negatively impacted by a deposit write-off of $0.5 million related to a pre-pandemic capital investment project.
  • Operating expenses increased in the 2022 fourth quarter due to higher labor costs, production costs, and rental expense.
  • Net income for the 2022 fourth quarter decreased due to the factors mentioned above.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

10 / 24 earnings

Positive

+20.7%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-18.6%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-7.5%-10.4%-6.3%
Q4 2025+20.7%+24.4%+33.5%
Q3 2025-6.1%-8.5%-8.5%
Q1 2025+10.9%+10.0%+14.2%
Q4 2024-2.1%+0.8%-14.7%
Q3 2024-0.1%+3.5%+5.3%
Q2 2024-14.6%-7.8%-13.2%
Q1 2024-9.0%-5.2%-7.7%
Q4 2023-11.8%-7.2%-5.7%
Q3 2023-18.6%-9.2%-5.5%
Q2 2023+3.8%+21.6%+0.8%
Q1 2023+3.6%+6.2%+12.5%
Q4 2022-1.6%-6.6%-6.2%
Q3 2022-2.8%-7.6%-5.8%
Q2 2022+1.2%+0.1%+1.2%
Q1 2022+11.6%+16.7%+10.0%
Q4 2021+13.3%+26.2%+24.5%
Q3 2020-10.6%-10.8%-9.7%
Q3 2021-7.5%-7.8%-7.6%
Q2 2020-3.7%-6.5%-6.1%
Q2 2021-2.6%-7.6%-6.2%
Q4 2020+6.1%+3.7%+6.2%
Q1 2020+6.1%+3.7%+6.2%
Q1 2021+3.5%+8.2%+8.2%
Q4 2019
Q3 2019
Q2 2019
Q1 2019
Q4 2018
Q2 2018
Q1 2018
Q4 2017

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