NASDAQ$KRT

Karat Packaging Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Net income increased significantly due to margin growth, driven by scaling back US manufacturing and lower freight costs, despite a slight decrease in net sales.

Karat Packaging reported a 4.1% decrease in net sales to $105.5 million, but net income increased by 48.5% to $9.1 million. The increase in net income was driven by a 14.0% increase in gross profit to $38.9 million and margin expansion.

  • Net sales decreased by 4.1% year-over-year to $105.5 million.
  • Gross profit increased by 14.0% year-over-year to $38.9 million.
  • Net income increased by 48.5% year-over-year to $9.1 million.
  • Eco-friendly product sales represented approximately 33% of total sales.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$106M

Previous: $110M-4.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.47

Previous: $0.33+42.4%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

14.4%

Previous: 10.7%+34.6%
Gross Margin

36.9%

Previous: 31.1%+18.6%
Net Income Margin

8.7%

Previous: 5.6%+55.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$2.87M

Previous: -$2.01M-43.0%
Free Cash Flow

$6.2M

Previous: $4.09M+51.5%
Net Income

$9.07M

Previous: $6.1M+48.7%
Operating Income

$11.4M

Previous: $7.91M+43.9%
Gross Profit

$38.9M

Previous: $34.2M+14.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$28.2M

Previous: $7.53M+273.9%
Total Assets

$280M

Previous: $239M+16.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$250K

Previous: $598K-58.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Karat Packaging · Revenue · Quarterly

$106M

Q3 2023-4.1%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Karat Packaging · $82.1M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Chains and distributors
    $61M-4.0%
  • Online
    $14.3M+1.6%
  • Retail
    $6.81M-19.3%

Forward guidance

Karat Packaging anticipates net sales for the fourth quarter of 2023 to increase by 2-5% compared to the prior year. Gross margin is expected to be between 36.0% and 38.0%. For the full year 2023, net sales are expected to decrease by mid-single digit and gross margin is expected to be between 37.5% and 38.5%. Eco-friendly product sales are projected to be 33-34% of total sales.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales for Q4 2023 expected to increase 2 to 5 percent from the prior year quarter.
  • Gross margin goal for Q4 2023: 36.0 to 38.0 percent versus 32.0 percent for 2022 fourth quarter.
  • Gross margin goal for the 2023 full year: 37.5 to 38.5 percent versus 31.2 percent for 2022.
  • Eco-friendly product sales objective for the 2023 full year: 33 to 34 percent of total sales, compared with 27 percent in 2022.
  • Board of directors authorized an increase in the quarterly cash dividend payment to $0.20 per share from $0.10 per share.

Headwinds

  • Net sales for the 2023 full year expected to decrease by mid-single digit.
  • Total revenue was impacted by unfavorable year-over-year pricing comparison.
  • Operating expenses increased primarily due to workforce expansion.
  • Increase in operating expenses due to higher marketing expense to support online sales growth.
  • Increase in operating expenses due to higher professional expenses in connection with the secondary offering completed during the quarter.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

-0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

10 / 24 earnings

Positive

+20.7%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-18.6%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-7.5%-10.4%-6.3%
Q4 2025+20.7%+24.4%+33.5%
Q3 2025-6.1%-8.5%-8.5%
Q1 2025+10.9%+10.0%+14.2%
Q4 2024-2.1%+0.8%-14.7%
Q3 2024-0.1%+3.5%+5.3%
Q2 2024-14.6%-7.8%-13.2%
Q1 2024-9.0%-5.2%-7.7%
Q4 2023-11.8%-7.2%-5.7%
Q3 2023-18.6%-9.2%-5.5%
Q2 2023+3.8%+21.6%+0.8%
Q1 2023+3.6%+6.2%+12.5%
Q4 2022-1.6%-6.6%-6.2%
Q3 2022-2.8%-7.6%-5.8%
Q2 2022+1.2%+0.1%+1.2%
Q1 2022+11.6%+16.7%+10.0%
Q4 2021+13.3%+26.2%+24.5%
Q3 2020-10.6%-10.8%-9.7%
Q3 2021-7.5%-7.8%-7.6%
Q2 2020-3.7%-6.5%-6.1%
Q2 2021-2.6%-7.6%-6.2%
Q4 2020+6.1%+3.7%+6.2%
Q1 2020+6.1%+3.7%+6.2%
Q1 2021+3.5%+8.2%+8.2%
Q4 2019
Q3 2019
Q2 2019
Q1 2019
Q4 2018
Q2 2018
Q1 2018
Q4 2017

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