NASDAQ$INCY

Incyte Corp. · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Incyte's Q3 2022 performance was marked by revenue growth and pipeline advancements.

Incyte reported a 20% year-over-year increase in total net product revenues, driven by strong performance from Jakafi and Opzelura. The company is progressing its pipeline across Oncology and Dermatology, with multiple updates on key programs expected in the coming months. Incyte also updated its full year 2022 guidance for Jakafi net product revenues and other Hematology/Oncology net product revenues.

  • Total net product revenues increased by 20% year-over-year, driven by Jakafi and Opzelura.
  • Jakafi net product revenues grew by 13% year-over-year, leading to an updated full-year guidance range of $2.38 to $2.40 billion.
  • Opzelura net product revenues reached $38 million, fueled by strong demand and expanding payer access, with over 62,000 units shipped.
  • Pipeline advancements include positive povorcitinib data in hidradenitis suppurativa, an oral PD-L1 update, and the pending acquisition of Villaris Therapeutics.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$823M

Previous: $813M+1.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.60

Previous: $1.18-49.2%
Free Cash Flow

$113M

Previous: $182M-37.9%
Net Income

$113M

Previous: $182M-37.9%
Operating Income

$138M

Previous: $235M-41.2%
Gross Profit

$769M

Previous: $773M-0.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.69B

Previous: $2B+34.6%
Total Assets

$5.51B

Previous: $4.2B+31.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$45.4M

Previous: $42.7M+6.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Incyte · Revenue · Quarterly

$823M

Q3 2022+1.3%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Incyte · $707M total across 4 segments · Q3 2022

  • Jakafi
    $620M+13.2%
  • Opzelura
    $38.1M
  • Iclusig
    $25.9M-9.1%
  • Pemazyre
    $23.4M+33.3%

Forward guidance

Incyte is tightening its full year 2022 guidance for Jakafi net product revenues to reflect strong performance of Jakafi and is revising the guidance range for other Hematology/Oncology net product revenues to reflect unfavorable changes in foreign currency exchange rates. In addition, the Company is reaffirming its research and development guidance, which now also includes the upfront payment to Villaris, anticipated in the fourth quarter, and its selling, general and administrative expense guidance.

Tailwinds

  • Jakafi net product revenues are now expected to be between $2.38 and $2.40 billion.
  • GAAP Cost of product revenues 6 – 7% of net product revenues
  • Non-GAAP Cost of product revenues 5 – 6% of net product revenues
  • GAAP Research and development expenses $1,550 - $1,590 million
  • Non-GAAP Research and development expenses $1,420 - $1,455 million

Headwinds

  • Other Hematology/Oncology net product revenues are now expected to be between $200 and $210 million.
  • GAAP Selling, general and administrative expenses $950 - $1,000 million
  • Non-GAAP Selling, general and administrative expenses $880 - $925 million
  • Guidance does not include revenue from any potential new product launches
  • Guidance does not include the impact of any potential future strategic transactions.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

32 / 64 earnings

Positive

+18.2%

Q1 2012

Best reaction

-25.8%

Q2 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.2%+1.2%+0.8%
Q4 2025-8.2%-7.3%-15.6%
Q3 2025-1.6%+0.4%+13.5%
Q1 2025+1.5%+5.1%+11.0%
Q4 2024-7.9%-5.0%-8.6%
Q3 2024+12.5%+15.9%+14.9%
Q2 2024-5.1%-6.0%-3.9%
Q1 2024+0.7%+2.3%+9.0%
Q4 2023+0.1%+0.2%+1.2%
Q3 2023+4.2%+5.2%+4.2%
Q2 2023+3.1%-0.1%+1.3%
Q1 2023-9.7%-11.7%-18.4%
Q4 2022-4.6%-6.0%-13.6%
Q3 2022+3.8%+4.0%+8.5%
Q2 2022-6.3%-6.8%-7.8%
Q1 2022+6.1%-1.1%-1.9%
Q4 2021-6.9%-9.0%+0.2%
Q3 2021-3.7%-2.1%-3.9%
Q2 2021-1.4%-2.8%-1.6%
Q1 2021-5.0%-3.3%-3.1%
Q4 2020-9.0%-9.9%-15.1%
Q3 2020-8.8%-8.9%-8.8%
Q2 2020-4.1%-4.8%-10.0%
Q1 2020-4.9%-5.0%-7.1%
Q4 2019+3.5%+4.6%-2.6%
Q3 2019+4.8%+4.7%+17.9%
Q2 2019+5.8%+4.0%+2.7%
Q1 2019+6.1%+11.7%+5.9%
Q4 2018+3.8%+3.7%+4.6%
Q3 2018+2.4%+6.5%+2.3%
Q2 2018-4.4%-8.1%+7.4%
Q1 2018-1.4%+0.3%+10.2%
Q4 2017-2.4%-3.0%+2.1%
Q3 2017-5.5%-8.0%-13.3%
Q2 2017-5.7%-3.4%+3.1%
Q1 2017-0.6%-2.8%+6.7%
Q4 2016-0.2%-0.5%+22.5%
Q3 2016+0.2%+0.7%+14.9%
Q2 2016-5.2%-7.9%-7.4%
Q1 2016+4.0%
Q4 2015-5.5%
Q3 2015-2.9%
Q2 2015+6.7%
Q1 2015-3.3%
Q4 2014-0.0%
Q3 2014+15.9%
Q2 2014-4.9%
Q1 2014+6.3%
Q4 2013+0.2%
Q3 2013+4.7%
Q2 2013+14.7%
Q1 2013+3.3%
Q4 2012+18.0%
Q3 2012+6.8%
Q2 2012-25.8%
Q1 2012+18.2%
Q4 2011+1.7%
Q3 2010+0.9%
Q3 2011+0.9%
Q2 2010+0.0%
Q2 2011+0.0%
Q4 2010+6.0%
Q1 2010+6.0%
Q1 2011+6.0%

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