NASDAQ$HSIC

Henry Schein Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported solid financial results for Q4 2023, which was in line with expectations and reflected a solid recovery from last year’s cybersecurity incident.

Henry Schein reported Q4 2023 financial results, with total net sales of $3.0 billion, a decrease of 10.5% compared to Q4 2022. GAAP net income was $18 million, or $0.13 per diluted share, and non-GAAP net income was $86 million, or $0.66 per diluted share. The results were impacted by a cybersecurity incident and acquisition-related expenses.

  • Total net sales for the quarter were $3.0 billion, a decrease of 10.5% compared with the fourth quarter of 2022.
  • GAAP net income for the quarter was $18 million, or $0.13 per diluted share.
  • Non-GAAP net income for the quarter was $86 million, or $0.66 per diluted share.
  • The 2024 guidance reflects continued confidence in the stability of the underlying markets.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.02B

Previous: $3.37B-10.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.66

Previous: $1.21-45.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$79M

No prior period
Net Income

$17M

Previous: $51M-66.7%
Operating Income

$39M

Previous: $72M-45.8%
Gross Profit

$867M

Previous: $999M-13.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$1M

Previous: $10M-90.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Henry Schein · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.02B

Q4 2023-10.5%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Henry Schein · $3B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Global Dental
    $1.9B+5.6%
  • Global Medical
    $1.1B+0.0%

Forward guidance

Henry Schein introduced financial guidance for 2024, expecting non-GAAP diluted EPS of $5.00 to $5.16, sales growth of approximately 8% to 12%, and Adjusted EBITDA to increase by more than 15%.

Tailwinds

  • 2024 non-GAAP diluted EPS attributable to Henry Schein, Inc. is expected to be $5.00 to $5.16, reflecting growth of 11% to 15% compared with 2023 non-GAAP diluted EPS of $4.50.
  • This guidance reflects an estimated residual impact of the cybersecurity incident of approximately $0.15 per diluted share, which will primarily impact the first quarter.
  • 2024 sales growth is expected to be approximately 8% to 12% over 2023, and reflects the expected merchandise sales recovery subsequent to the cybersecurity incident, and sales from the acquisitions completed in 2023.
  • 2024 Adjusted EBITDA is expected to increase by more than 15%.
  • The company expects merchandise sales recovery subsequent to the cybersecurity incident, and sales from the acquisitions completed in 2023.

Headwinds

  • This guidance reflects an estimated increase in the non-GAAP effective tax rate from 23% to 25%, or approximately $0.13 per diluted share.
  • Total net sales reflect an estimated reduction of $350 million to $400 million, or 10% to 12%, due to the cybersecurity incident.
  • The company anticipates some short-term residual impact on merchandise sales from the incident.
  • The company is unable to provide without unreasonable effort an estimate of integration and restructuring costs related to an ongoing initiative to drive operating efficiencies and certain expenses directly associated with the cybersecurity incident.
  • The inability to provide this reconciliation is due to the uncertainty and inherent difficulty of predicting the occurrence, magnitude, financial impact and timing of related costs.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

31 / 69 earnings

Positive

+11.1%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-8.5%

Q3 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.3%-1.6%+4.6%
Q4 2025+5.8%+2.3%-8.5%
Q3 2025+10.9%+11.2%+13.5%
Q1 2025+2.0%+5.1%+7.8%
Q4 2024-2.3%-7.0%-10.6%
Q3 2024-3.2%-6.0%+0.2%
Q2 2024-5.4%-0.9%+0.4%
Q1 2024+6.2%+7.0%+0.1%
Q4 2023-5.1%-4.6%-6.3%
Q3 2023+7.5%+7.3%+15.5%
Q2 2023-2.8%-1.8%-5.1%
Q1 2023-4.5%-4.2%-6.1%
Q4 2022-6.2%-7.5%-12.8%
Q3 2022+1.8%+6.2%+21.2%
Q2 2022-4.9%-3.8%-7.3%
Q1 2022+7.4%+6.6%+5.6%
Q4 2021+11.1%+10.1%+14.5%
Q3 2021+3.0%+4.5%-6.7%
Q2 2021-4.8%-5.2%-2.3%
Q1 2021+6.6%+8.9%+5.3%
Q4 2020-8.5%-6.5%-5.3%
Q3 2020-5.0%-3.0%+4.6%
Q2 2020-5.3%-4.4%-6.9%
Q1 2020+0.4%+2.9%+20.6%
Q4 2019-8.4%-14.4%-38.9%
Q3 2019+4.4%+4.8%+5.2%
Q2 2019-3.2%-2.3%-4.2%
Q1 2019+8.6%+8.9%+8.6%
Q4 2018-5.0%-5.2%-5.2%
Q3 2018+3.1%+0.8%+3.3%
Q2 2018-0.5%-3.6%+0.5%
Q1 2018-6.1%-4.4%-6.7%
Q4 2017-1.2%-2.1%-5.2%
Q3 2017-8.5%-13.6%-13.0%
Q2 2017-7.7%-7.2%-4.9%
Q1 2017+0.6%+0.3%+5.2%
Q4 2016+2.7%+3.2%+2.0%
Q3 2016+4.6%+6.2%+1.7%
Q2 2016-7.1%-8.4%-8.6%
Q1 2016-2.5%
Q4 2015+7.0%
Q3 2015+1.1%
Q2 2015-1.9%
Q1 2015-0.4%
Q4 2014+0.9%
Q3 2014+5.4%
Q2 2014-1.8%
Q1 2014-1.7%
Q4 2013+0.1%
Q3 2013-2.6%
Q2 2013-0.3%
Q1 2013+2.1%
Q4 2012-2.2%
Q3 2012-0.6%
Q2 2012+1.8%
Q1 2012+2.4%
Q4 2011+3.4%
Q3 2011-6.4%
Q2 2011-2.3%
Q1 2010-2.0%
Q1 2011+0.5%
Q4 2010-3.9%
Q1 2009-3.9%
Q4 2008-3.9%
Q3 2009-4.1%
Q3 2010-4.1%
Q2 2010+2.1%
Q4 2009+2.1%
Q2 2009+2.1%

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