NASDAQ$FRPT

Freshpet Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Freshpet reported strong top-line and bottom-line growth, exceeding the pace needed to deliver its 2027 goals.

Freshpet reported a 32.6% increase in net sales to $200.6 million for the third quarter of 2023. The company's net loss decreased to $7.2 million, and Adjusted EBITDA increased significantly to $23.2 million. As a result of the strong third quarter performance, the company is raising its 2023 guidance.

  • Net sales increased by 32.6% to $200.6 million.
  • Net loss decreased from $18.4 million to $7.2 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased to $23.2 million from $3.5 million.
  • Gross profit was $66.3 million, or 33.0% of net sales, compared to $44.5 million, or 29.4% of net sales in the prior year period.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$201M

Previous: $151M+32.6%
EPS (adj)

-$0.15

Previous: -$0.39+61.5%
Gross Margin

33.0%

Previous: 29.4%+12.2%
Adjusted EBITDA

$23.2M

Previous: $3.5M+562.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$59.1M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$7.17M

Previous: -$18.4M+61.2%
Net Income

-$7.17M

Previous: -$18.4M+61.2%
Operating Income

-$7.08M

Previous: -$15.9M+55.5%
Gross Profit

$66.3M

Previous: $44.5M+48.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$338M

Previous: $240M+40.7%
Total Assets

$1.44B

Previous: $1.17B+23.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$8.09M

Previous: $7.82M+3.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Freshpet · Revenue · Quarterly

$201M

Q3 2023+32.6%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For full year 2023, the Company updates its full year Adjusted EBITDA and Net Sales guidance and reiterates its capital expenditure guidance as follows:

Tailwinds

  • Net sales of ~$755 million, an increase of ~27% from 2022, from previous guidance of ~$750 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of ~$62 million, from previous guidance of at least $55 million.
  • Capital expenditures of ~$240 million, unchanged from previous guidance.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.6%

Avg return

30 days after

67%

37 / 55 earnings

Positive

+22.0%

Q2 2016

Best reaction

-28.7%

Q3 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-8.7%-17.6%-17.4%
Q4 2025+5.5%+13.3%-19.3%
Q3 2025+11.3%+12.3%+26.4%
Q1 2025+3.7%+5.4%+7.0%
Q4 2024-18.5%-18.0%-33.6%
Q3 2024+13.4%+17.0%+17.0%
Q2 2024+4.1%+4.9%+13.8%
Q1 2024+10.1%+9.6%+20.0%
Q4 2023+17.7%+20.4%+25.8%
Q3 2023+16.5%+15.1%+24.4%
Q2 2023+8.5%+7.9%+1.3%
Q1 2023-1.5%-0.6%-5.8%
Q4 2022+1.8%+2.7%+6.1%
Q3 2022+7.1%+14.1%+10.2%
Q2 2022-12.2%-12.4%-28.4%
Q1 2022-11.2%-30.7%-27.7%
Q4 2021+17.4%+5.1%+12.2%
Q3 2021-16.8%-17.6%-28.3%
Q2 2021-3.9%-6.8%-11.2%
Q1 2021-5.1%-4.5%-6.1%
Q4 2020-9.8%-3.3%-10.4%
Q3 2020+9.5%+18.1%+17.0%
Q2 2020+9.1%+6.4%+18.8%
Q1 2020+5.8%+1.1%+5.8%
Q4 2019-9.0%-9.8%-13.9%
Q3 2019-0.5%+7.0%+6.0%
Q2 2019-17.8%-11.1%+8.9%
Q1 2019-0.4%+2.5%+2.1%
Q4 2018+4.1%+6.2%+12.1%
Q3 2018-4.7%+0.4%-11.7%
Q2 2018+6.8%+14.5%+28.2%
Q1 2018-3.5%+5.3%+19.4%
Q4 2017-8.6%-10.6%-20.0%
Q3 2017+7.6%+10.5%+20.3%
Q2 2017+1.8%-5.8%-0.9%
Q1 2017+12.2%+19.0%+33.8%
Q4 2016+15.8%+18.4%+16.3%
Q3 2016+2.9%-4.7%+5.3%
Q2 2016+22.0%+26.1%+17.7%
Q1 2016+4.7%
Q4 2015+9.9%
Q3 2015-28.7%
Q2 2015-13.5%
Q1 2014+0.7%
Q4 2012+1.2%
Q4 2014+1.2%
Q3 2012+1.2%
Q2 2014+1.2%
Q2 2013+1.2%
Q2 2012+1.2%
Q1 2013+1.2%
Q1 2012+1.2%
Q3 2013+3.1%
Q3 2014+3.1%
Q4 2013+3.1%

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