NASDAQ$FRPT

Freshpet Inc · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Freshpet's Q1 2024 results showcased strong volume-based growth and profitability improvements driven by lower costs.

Freshpet reported a strong first quarter with a 33.6% increase in net sales, driven by volume gains. The company's profitability improved significantly, with net income reaching $18.6 million compared to a net loss in the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA also saw substantial growth due to increased gross profit and operational efficiencies.

  • Net sales increased by 33.6% to $223.8 million, driven by a 30.6% volume gain.
  • Net income was $18.6 million, a significant improvement from the prior year's net loss of $24.8 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased to $30.6 million, compared to $3.0 million in the prior year period.
  • Gross profit margin improved due to better leverage on plant expenses, reduced quality costs, and lower input costs.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$224M

Previous: $168M+33.6%
EPS

$0.37

Previous: -$0.52+171.2%
Gross Margin

39.4%

Previous: 30.3%+30.0%
Adjusted Gross Margin

45.3%

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$30.6M

Previous: $3M+919.3%
Adjusted SG&A Margin

31.7%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$46.5M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$18.6M

Previous: -$24.8M+175.1%
Net Income

$18.6M

Previous: -$24.8M+175.1%
Operating Income

$8.46M

Previous: -$21.5M+139.3%
Gross Profit

$88.2M

Previous: $50.8M+73.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$258M

Previous: $337M-23.5%
Total Assets

$1.48B

Previous: $1.4B+5.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.22M

Previous: $8.42M-26.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Freshpet · Revenue · Quarterly

$224M

Q1 2024+33.6%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For the full year 2024, Freshpet expects net sales of at least $950 million and adjusted EBITDA of at least $120 million, with capital expenditures around $210 million.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales of at least $950 million, an increase of at least 24% from 2023.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of at least $120 million, compared to a previous range of $100 to $110 million.
  • Capital expenditures of ~$210 million, unchanged from the previous guidance.
  • Strong first quarter results provide solid evidence that Freshpet can deliver its long-term financial goals.
  • The company's focus is now on delivering consistently strong performance.

Headwinds

  • The company does not provide guidance for net income.
  • Unavailability of reliable estimates for certain components of net income.
  • The timing and amount of costs of goods sold and selling, general and administrative expenses are not within the company's control.
  • These items may vary greatly between periods and could significantly impact future results.
  • Forward-looking statements involve certain risks and uncertainties.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

+1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.6%

Avg return

30 days after

67%

37 / 55 earnings

Positive

+22.0%

Q2 2016

Best reaction

-28.7%

Q3 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-8.7%-17.6%-17.4%
Q4 2025+5.5%+13.3%-19.3%
Q3 2025+11.3%+12.3%+26.4%
Q1 2025+3.7%+5.4%+7.0%
Q4 2024-18.5%-18.0%-33.6%
Q3 2024+13.4%+17.0%+17.0%
Q2 2024+4.1%+4.9%+13.8%
Q1 2024+10.1%+9.6%+20.0%
Q4 2023+17.7%+20.4%+25.8%
Q3 2023+16.5%+15.1%+24.4%
Q2 2023+8.5%+7.9%+1.3%
Q1 2023-1.5%-0.6%-5.8%
Q4 2022+1.8%+2.7%+6.1%
Q3 2022+7.1%+14.1%+10.2%
Q2 2022-12.2%-12.4%-28.4%
Q1 2022-11.2%-30.7%-27.7%
Q4 2021+17.4%+5.1%+12.2%
Q3 2021-16.8%-17.6%-28.3%
Q2 2021-3.9%-6.8%-11.2%
Q1 2021-5.1%-4.5%-6.1%
Q4 2020-9.8%-3.3%-10.4%
Q3 2020+9.5%+18.1%+17.0%
Q2 2020+9.1%+6.4%+18.8%
Q1 2020+5.8%+1.1%+5.8%
Q4 2019-9.0%-9.8%-13.9%
Q3 2019-0.5%+7.0%+6.0%
Q2 2019-17.8%-11.1%+8.9%
Q1 2019-0.4%+2.5%+2.1%
Q4 2018+4.1%+6.2%+12.1%
Q3 2018-4.7%+0.4%-11.7%
Q2 2018+6.8%+14.5%+28.2%
Q1 2018-3.5%+5.3%+19.4%
Q4 2017-8.6%-10.6%-20.0%
Q3 2017+7.6%+10.5%+20.3%
Q2 2017+1.8%-5.8%-0.9%
Q1 2017+12.2%+19.0%+33.8%
Q4 2016+15.8%+18.4%+16.3%
Q3 2016+2.9%-4.7%+5.3%
Q2 2016+22.0%+26.1%+17.7%
Q1 2016+4.7%
Q4 2015+9.9%
Q3 2015-28.7%
Q2 2015-13.5%
Q1 2014+0.7%
Q4 2012+1.2%
Q4 2014+1.2%
Q3 2012+1.2%
Q2 2014+1.2%
Q2 2013+1.2%
Q2 2012+1.2%
Q1 2013+1.2%
Q1 2012+1.2%
Q3 2013+3.1%
Q3 2014+3.1%
Q4 2013+3.1%

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