NASDAQ$FCFS

FirstCash Holdings Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

FirstCash's Q3 2020 results reflected continued profitability and resiliency despite the sharp second quarter decline in pawn receivables.

FirstCash reported a net income of $15.06 million on a GAAP basis ($24.45 million non-GAAP) and revenue of $359.89 million. The company saw steady recovery in pawn lending activity and near-record levels of retail margins. The total store count reached 2,750 locations.

  • Diluted earnings per share decreased 56% on a GAAP basis and 30% on an adjusted non-GAAP basis in the third quarter of 2020 compared to the prior-year quarter.
  • Pawn fee revenues declined $43 million, or 30%, in the third quarter compared to the prior-year quarter due to COVID-19 related impact on lending demand.
  • Gross profit from merchandise sales was down only 2% on a U.S dollar basis due to significantly increased retail and scrap jewelry margins.
  • A total of 13 de novo locations were opened in Latin America during the third quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$360M

Previous: $452M-20.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.59

Previous: $0.84-29.8%
US Pawn Same-Store Retail Sales Growth

-10.0%

No prior period
LatAm Pawn Same-Store Retail Sales Growth (constant currency)

-29.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$48.8M

Previous: -$43M-13.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$33.7M

Previous: -$8.19M-311.8%
Net Income

$15.1M

Previous: $34.8M-56.7%
Operating Income

$17.7M

Previous: $49M-63.9%
Gross Profit

$203M

Previous: $251M-19.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$78.8M

Previous: $61.2M+28.9%
Total Assets

$2.24B

Previous: $2.42B-7.7%

Revenue & EPS history

FirstCash · Revenue · Quarterly

$360M

Q3 2020-20.5%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

FirstCash · $360M total across 3 segments · Q3 2020

  • Retail Merchandise Sales
    $235M-16.5%
  • Pawn Loan Fees
    $99.6M-30.3%
  • Wholesale Scrap Jewelry Sales
    $25.3M-1.5%

Forward guidance

Due to the uncertainty around COVID-19 and foreign currency volatility, the Company withdrew its initial 2020 earnings guidance on April 22, 2020 and has not reinstated earnings guidance for the balance of the year.

Tailwinds

  • Based on the currently improving growth trends for pawn receivables, the Company expects a smaller percentage decline in pawn fees in the fourth quarter as compared to the third quarter.
  • The Company expects the continuation of improved retail margins in the fourth quarter, which will partially offset lower sales volumes.
  • The Company expects to realize total expense savings at a rate similar to third quarter results.
  • Additional store openings are planned in the fourth quarter.
  • The Company is optimistic about potential store acquisition opportunities in both the U.S. and Latin America over the next several quarters.

Headwinds

  • The extent to which COVID-19 continues to impact the Company’s operations will depend on future developments, which are uncertain and cannot be predicted with confidence.
  • The normalization of demand for pawn loans could be delayed in the short-term by reduced personal spending if businesses and schools cannot reopen or remain open and by additional government stimulus payments and benefit programs.
  • While inventory levels have generally stabilized in the third quarter, especially in the U.S., fourth quarter sales will be impacted by lower inventory levels compared to the prior year.
  • Global economic uncertainty due to the COVID-19 pandemic has strengthened the relative value of the U.S. dollar and negatively impacted developing market currencies, including the Mexican peso, which is the primary currency for the Company’s foreign operations.
  • The impacts of COVID-19 will likely limit the number of 2020 openings to a total of 70 to 75 stores.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

34 / 65 earnings

Positive

+14.8%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-13.0%

Q4 2014

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.4%+4.1%+10.6%
Q4 2025+3.3%+5.7%+10.7%
Q3 2025+7.2%+8.0%+7.0%
Q1 2025+9.1%+10.6%+5.6%
Q4 2024+0.4%+0.6%+0.3%
Q3 2024-4.2%-3.9%-5.2%
Q2 2024+1.6%+1.7%+7.7%
Q1 2024-12.4%-14.4%-10.1%
Q4 2023+1.2%+0.9%+0.2%
Q3 2023+5.6%+7.4%+10.6%
Q2 2023-2.0%+0.3%-8.2%
Q1 2023+8.1%+6.9%+1.8%
Q4 2022-2.4%-1.8%-1.9%
Q3 2022+9.9%+11.9%+7.8%
Q2 2022+12.2%+9.7%+19.2%
Q1 2022+14.8%+9.1%+6.1%
Q4 2021+7.6%+4.4%-8.5%
Q3 2021+1.4%+4.5%-23.7%
Q2 2021+2.9%+4.1%+12.3%
Q1 2021-0.3%+5.6%+17.6%
Q4 2020+5.7%+3.8%+13.7%
Q3 2020-4.8%-9.7%+8.4%
Q2 2020+2.1%-6.5%-5.2%
Q1 2020-5.9%-0.6%-1.0%
Q4 2019+3.0%+1.9%-9.4%
Q3 2019-10.3%-8.9%-17.1%
Q2 2019-2.9%-1.4%-7.0%
Q1 2019+8.2%+8.3%+4.9%
Q4 2018-4.5%-5.1%+4.8%
Q3 2018+1.8%+5.7%+13.9%
Q2 2018-12.2%-13.4%-12.8%
Q1 2018+4.6%+8.7%+11.6%
Q4 2017+1.2%+0.1%+2.1%
Q3 2017+6.7%+5.7%+10.4%
Q2 2017+0.9%+0.5%+1.6%
Q1 2017+1.0%+3.1%+4.5%
Q4 2016+1.9%+1.8%+3.4%
Q3 2016-0.6%-0.8%+0.8%
Q2 2016+0.1%-1.2%+1.1%
Q1 2016-6.1%
Q4 2015-5.7%
Q3 2015-10.2%
Q2 2015-12.3%
Q1 2015+0.3%
Q4 2014-13.0%
Q3 2014-1.4%
Q2 2014+0.6%
Q1 2014-2.8%
Q4 2013-11.2%
Q3 2013+4.6%
Q2 2013+0.6%
Q1 2013-0.3%
Q4 2012+3.3%
Q3 2012-3.0%
Q2 2012+1.6%
Q1 2011-0.3%
Q1 2012+1.3%
Q4 2009-0.4%
Q4 2011-0.4%
Q3 2010-1.4%
Q3 2011-1.4%
Q4 2010-0.1%
Q2 2011-0.1%
Q2 2010-0.1%
Q1 2010-1.0%

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