NASDAQ$FCFS

FirstCash Holdings Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong first-quarter earnings and cash flows, exceeding internal expectations, highlighting the diversity of FirstCash’s business model and continued profitability despite COVID-19 impacts.

FirstCash reported strong first-quarter earnings results and cash flows, exceeding internal expectations. Diluted earnings per share increased 5% on a GAAP basis. The company opened 24 new stores in Latin America and acquired two U.S. stores. The Board of Directors declared a $0.30 per share quarterly cash dividend, an increase of 11% compared to the previous quarterly dividend.

  • Retail results were stronger than anticipated, driving a 3% increase in merchandise gross profit compared to Q1 2020.
  • Retail sales gross margins of 42% remained at record levels, a significant improvement over the 38% in Q1 2020.
  • Improving pawn loan demand in Latin America was offset by lower demand in the U.S., impacted by stimulus payments.
  • The adjusted EBITDA margin was over 16%, equaling the pre-pandemic margin in Q1 2020.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$408M

Previous: $466M-12.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.85

Previous: $0.96-11.5%
US Pawn Same-Store Retail Sales Growth

-5.0%

Previous: 4.0%-225.0%
LatAm Pawn Same-Store Retail Sales Growth (constant currency)

-21.0%

Previous: -3.0%-600.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$23.9M

Previous: -$20.2M-18.5%
Free Cash Flow

$9.78M

Previous: $12.7M-23.1%
Net Income

$33.7M

Previous: $32.9M+2.4%
Operating Income

$46.3M

Previous: $45.7M+1.2%
Gross Profit

$234M

Previous: $259M-9.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$54.6M

Previous: $75.5M-27.6%
Total Assets

$2.3B

Previous: $2.31B-0.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.63M

Previous: $2.85M+27.1%

Revenue & EPS history

FirstCash · Revenue · Quarterly

$408M

Q1 2021-12.6%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

FirstCash · $408M total across 3 segments · Q1 2021

  • Retail Merchandise Sales
    $272M-8.3%
  • Pawn Loan Fees
    $116M-18.7%
  • Wholesale Scrap Jewelry Sales
    $20.4M-22.7%

Forward guidance

Given the continued uncertainties related to COVID-19, the Company is not currently providing earnings guidance. However, the following factors are expected to impact operating trends in 2021:

Tailwinds

  • The extent to which COVID-19 continues to impact the Company’s operations will depend on future developments, which remain uncertain and cannot be predicted with confidence.
  • The Company has a solid pipeline of additional stores leased, under construction or completed and awaiting permits.
  • The Company expects 50 to 60 new store openings in 2021.
  • The Company continues to believe there are significant opportunities for accretive consolidations, expansions and/or relocations of acquired small format stores in Mexico.
  • Daily new loan origination activity has started to improve since early April, with same-store new loan volumes currently down approximately 25% to 30% compared to 2019, indicating that the impact from the latest round of stimulus payments has peaked and is beginning to recover.

Headwinds

  • U.S. pawn loan demand has dampened slightly this year, which the Company attributes primarily to the two rounds of federal stimulus payments.
  • Resulting same-store pawn balances are currently down 18% compared to the prior year (2020) and 32% compared to more normalized 2019 levels.
  • The recovery of domestic loan demand will still likely be tempered for the next several months.
  • Retail sales could be impacted by lower inventory levels in the near term.
  • Inventories, while expected to recover on a lagging basis to pawn receivables, begin the second quarter 23% below the prior year which will continue to impact retail sales volumes in the near term.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

34 / 65 earnings

Positive

+14.8%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-13.0%

Q4 2014

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.4%+4.1%+10.6%
Q4 2025+3.3%+5.7%+10.7%
Q3 2025+7.2%+8.0%+7.0%
Q1 2025+9.1%+10.6%+5.6%
Q4 2024+0.4%+0.6%+0.3%
Q3 2024-4.2%-3.9%-5.2%
Q2 2024+1.6%+1.7%+7.7%
Q1 2024-12.4%-14.4%-10.1%
Q4 2023+1.2%+0.9%+0.2%
Q3 2023+5.6%+7.4%+10.6%
Q2 2023-2.0%+0.3%-8.2%
Q1 2023+8.1%+6.9%+1.8%
Q4 2022-2.4%-1.8%-1.9%
Q3 2022+9.9%+11.9%+7.8%
Q2 2022+12.2%+9.7%+19.2%
Q1 2022+14.8%+9.1%+6.1%
Q4 2021+7.6%+4.4%-8.5%
Q3 2021+1.4%+4.5%-23.7%
Q2 2021+2.9%+4.1%+12.3%
Q1 2021-0.3%+5.6%+17.6%
Q4 2020+5.7%+3.8%+13.7%
Q3 2020-4.8%-9.7%+8.4%
Q2 2020+2.1%-6.5%-5.2%
Q1 2020-5.9%-0.6%-1.0%
Q4 2019+3.0%+1.9%-9.4%
Q3 2019-10.3%-8.9%-17.1%
Q2 2019-2.9%-1.4%-7.0%
Q1 2019+8.2%+8.3%+4.9%
Q4 2018-4.5%-5.1%+4.8%
Q3 2018+1.8%+5.7%+13.9%
Q2 2018-12.2%-13.4%-12.8%
Q1 2018+4.6%+8.7%+11.6%
Q4 2017+1.2%+0.1%+2.1%
Q3 2017+6.7%+5.7%+10.4%
Q2 2017+0.9%+0.5%+1.6%
Q1 2017+1.0%+3.1%+4.5%
Q4 2016+1.9%+1.8%+3.4%
Q3 2016-0.6%-0.8%+0.8%
Q2 2016+0.1%-1.2%+1.1%
Q1 2016-6.1%
Q4 2015-5.7%
Q3 2015-10.2%
Q2 2015-12.3%
Q1 2015+0.3%
Q4 2014-13.0%
Q3 2014-1.4%
Q2 2014+0.6%
Q1 2014-2.8%
Q4 2013-11.2%
Q3 2013+4.6%
Q2 2013+0.6%
Q1 2013-0.3%
Q4 2012+3.3%
Q3 2012-3.0%
Q2 2012+1.6%
Q1 2011-0.3%
Q1 2012+1.3%
Q4 2009-0.4%
Q4 2011-0.4%
Q3 2010-1.4%
Q3 2011-1.4%
Q4 2010-0.1%
Q2 2011-0.1%
Q2 2010-0.1%
Q1 2010-1.0%

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