NASDAQ$ECPG

Encore Capital Group Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong purchasing for the U.S. business and stable collections performance.

Encore Capital Group reported strong Q3 2023 financial results, with global collections of $465 million and portfolio purchases of $231 million. The company saw growth in U.S. portfolio supply and improved pricing. GAAP EPS was reported at $0.79.

  • Global collections reached $465 million.
  • Portfolio purchases totaled $231 million, including $179 million in the U.S.
  • U.S. market experienced portfolio supply growth and pricing improvement.
  • Company expects 2023 to be a record year for capital deployment in the U.S.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$310M

Previous: $308M+0.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.79

Previous: $1.22-35.2%
Portfolio Purchases

$231M

Previous: $233M-1.0%
ERC

$7.88B

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$16.8M

Previous: -$21.1M+20.4%
Free Cash Flow

$2.57M

Previous: $10.4M-75.3%
Net Income

$19.3M

Previous: $31.5M-38.6%
Operating Income

$75.5M

Previous: $80.5M-6.2%
Gross Profit

$310M

Previous: $308M+0.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$145M

Previous: $147M-1.6%
Total Assets

$4.76B

Previous: $4.33B+10.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.09M

Previous: $3.19M-3.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Encore · Revenue · Quarterly

$310M

Q3 2023+0.6%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 5 of 13 quarters(38%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Encore · $327M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Debt Purchasing Revenue
    $303M
  • Servicing Revenue
    $19.9M
  • Other Revenues
    $4.11M

Forward guidance

Encore Capital Group anticipates a favorable purchasing environment in the U.S. to continue, leading to steady growth in ERC and earnings.

Tailwinds

  • Expects a record year of capital deployment for MCM business.
  • Sees a robust supply pipeline in the U.S. for 2024.
  • Anticipates even better returns in 2024.
  • Added approximately $175 million of liquidity since the end of Q3.
  • Expects steady growth in ERC and earnings.

Headwinds

  • European market pricing does not fully reflect the higher cost of capital.
  • Portfolio purchasing market in Europe remains very competitive.
  • Constraining Cabot portfolio purchases.
  • Reallocating capital to the U.S. market.
  • Higher interest rates.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.1%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

39 / 65 earnings

Positive

+38.9%

Q3 2016

Best reaction

-21.9%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.2%-2.6%-3.6%
Q4 2025+8.2%+21.4%+16.4%
Q3 2025+10.5%+16.3%+23.7%
Q1 2025+23.9%+22.5%+16.7%
Q4 2024-21.9%-30.8%-31.3%
Q3 2024+4.9%+5.3%+3.6%
Q2 2024+9.1%+3.5%+3.0%
Q1 2024+11.9%+10.1%-0.3%
Q4 2023-9.6%-11.0%-12.6%
Q3 2023+9.7%+16.9%+20.3%
Q2 2023-5.7%-2.6%-10.3%
Q1 2023-4.9%-3.8%-5.6%
Q4 2022-6.5%-6.7%-21.2%
Q3 2022-9.7%-5.6%-1.2%
Q2 2022-18.4%-19.9%-22.5%
Q1 2022+6.4%+6.7%+3.7%
Q4 2021-7.0%-7.3%-10.4%
Q3 2021+10.4%+12.4%+10.1%
Q2 2021-2.0%-0.5%+0.9%
Q1 2021+4.8%+0.4%+15.1%
Q4 2020-0.4%+1.9%+25.1%
Q3 2020-2.0%-1.8%+13.7%
Q2 2020+27.8%+22.1%+29.0%
Q1 2020-1.6%-0.2%+13.2%
Q4 2019+10.8%+23.6%-11.7%
Q3 2019+7.7%+7.5%+10.0%
Q2 2019+7.8%+5.3%-2.1%
Q1 2019+17.3%+27.2%+28.6%
Q4 2018+2.2%-2.4%-18.7%
Q3 2018-10.8%-5.5%-8.1%
Q2 2018+11.7%+9.6%+6.7%
Q1 2018+1.1%+0.6%-14.4%
Q4 2017+7.4%+1.8%+9.6%
Q3 2017+6.9%+4.8%-0.5%
Q2 2017+5.8%+7.2%+2.2%
Q1 2017-6.2%+0.0%+7.4%
Q4 2016+1.9%-3.5%-11.9%
Q3 2016+38.9%+39.5%+59.2%
Q2 2016-16.3%-14.3%-10.2%
Q1 2016+2.8%
Q4 2015+5.4%
Q3 2015+0.9%
Q2 2015-5.7%
Q1 2015-3.4%
Q4 2014-7.9%
Q3 2014+0.6%
Q2 2014+1.5%
Q1 2014+2.8%
Q4 2013+1.6%
Q3 2013+1.0%
Q2 2013+11.2%
Q1 2013+4.0%
Q4 2012+5.7%
Q3 2012-7.0%
Q2 2012+8.0%
Q1 2011+8.3%
Q1 2012+8.3%
Q4 2011-2.3%
Q4 2009-2.3%
Q3 2010+2.5%
Q3 2011+2.5%
Q2 2010-9.5%
Q4 2010-9.5%
Q2 2011-9.5%
Q1 2010-2.2%

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