NASDAQ$ECPG

Encore Capital Group Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Q3 performance reflected impacts of an evolving macroeconomic environment and entering growth portion of supply cycle, particularly in the U.S.

Encore Capital Group's Q3 performance was impacted by lower collections due to reduced global portfolio purchasing in 2020 and 2021, normalization of U.S. consumer behavior and currency changes in Europe, but global portfolio purchases were up 38% compared to Q3 2021.

  • Disciplined execution of strategy has led to strong current position.
  • Q3 performance reflected impacts of an evolving macroeconomic environment, including lower collections and currency changes.
  • Entering growth portion of supply cycle, particularly in the U.S.
  • Global portfolio purchases were $233M, up 38% compared to Q3 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$308M

Previous: $413M-25.4%
EPS (adj)

$1.22

Previous: $2.66-54.1%
Portfolio Purchases

$233M

Previous: $168M+38.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$21.1M

Previous: -$24.2M+12.8%
Free Cash Flow

$10.4M

Previous: $59.4M-82.4%
Net Income

$31.5M

Previous: $83.6M-62.3%
Operating Income

$80.5M

Previous: $167M-51.7%
Gross Profit

$308M

Previous: $403M-23.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$147M

Previous: $158M-7.1%
Total Assets

$4.33B

Previous: $4.55B-4.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.19M

Previous: $3.85M-17.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Encore · Revenue · Quarterly

$308M

Q3 2022-25.4%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 5 of 13 quarters(38%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Encore · $327M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Debt Purchasing Revenue
    $303M
  • Servicing Revenue
    $19.9M
  • Other Revenues
    $4.11M

Forward guidance

Encore Capital Group is well-positioned to capitalize on opportunities ahead with U.S. consumer payment behavior normalizing and entering the growth portion of the industry supply cycle.

Tailwinds

  • U.S. consumer payment behavior is normalizing while U.K. consumers remain stable.
  • Entering growth portion of the industry supply cycle.
  • U.S. lending now above pre-pandemic levels while U.K. recovery slower.
  • U.S. charge off rates steadily rising from pandemic lows while U.K. normalizing more slowly.
  • Best-in-class balance sheet with low leverage, global financing and ample liquidity.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.1%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

39 / 65 earnings

Positive

+38.9%

Q3 2016

Best reaction

-21.9%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.2%-2.6%-3.6%
Q4 2025+8.2%+21.4%+16.4%
Q3 2025+10.5%+16.3%+23.7%
Q1 2025+23.9%+22.5%+16.7%
Q4 2024-21.9%-30.8%-31.3%
Q3 2024+4.9%+5.3%+3.6%
Q2 2024+9.1%+3.5%+3.0%
Q1 2024+11.9%+10.1%-0.3%
Q4 2023-9.6%-11.0%-12.6%
Q3 2023+9.7%+16.9%+20.3%
Q2 2023-5.7%-2.6%-10.3%
Q1 2023-4.9%-3.8%-5.6%
Q4 2022-6.5%-6.7%-21.2%
Q3 2022-9.7%-5.6%-1.2%
Q2 2022-18.4%-19.9%-22.5%
Q1 2022+6.4%+6.7%+3.7%
Q4 2021-7.0%-7.3%-10.4%
Q3 2021+10.4%+12.4%+10.1%
Q2 2021-2.0%-0.5%+0.9%
Q1 2021+4.8%+0.4%+15.1%
Q4 2020-0.4%+1.9%+25.1%
Q3 2020-2.0%-1.8%+13.7%
Q2 2020+27.8%+22.1%+29.0%
Q1 2020-1.6%-0.2%+13.2%
Q4 2019+10.8%+23.6%-11.7%
Q3 2019+7.7%+7.5%+10.0%
Q2 2019+7.8%+5.3%-2.1%
Q1 2019+17.3%+27.2%+28.6%
Q4 2018+2.2%-2.4%-18.7%
Q3 2018-10.8%-5.5%-8.1%
Q2 2018+11.7%+9.6%+6.7%
Q1 2018+1.1%+0.6%-14.4%
Q4 2017+7.4%+1.8%+9.6%
Q3 2017+6.9%+4.8%-0.5%
Q2 2017+5.8%+7.2%+2.2%
Q1 2017-6.2%+0.0%+7.4%
Q4 2016+1.9%-3.5%-11.9%
Q3 2016+38.9%+39.5%+59.2%
Q2 2016-16.3%-14.3%-10.2%
Q1 2016+2.8%
Q4 2015+5.4%
Q3 2015+0.9%
Q2 2015-5.7%
Q1 2015-3.4%
Q4 2014-7.9%
Q3 2014+0.6%
Q2 2014+1.5%
Q1 2014+2.8%
Q4 2013+1.6%
Q3 2013+1.0%
Q2 2013+11.2%
Q1 2013+4.0%
Q4 2012+5.7%
Q3 2012-7.0%
Q2 2012+8.0%
Q1 2011+8.3%
Q1 2012+8.3%
Q4 2011-2.3%
Q4 2009-2.3%
Q3 2010+2.5%
Q3 2011+2.5%
Q2 2010-9.5%
Q4 2010-9.5%
Q2 2011-9.5%
Q1 2010-2.2%

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