NASDAQ$ECPG

Encore Capital Group Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Achieved record global collections and ERC.

Encore Capital Group reported strong Q3 2020 financial results, with record global collections of $540 million and a 41% increase in GAAP net income to $55 million, or $1.72 per share. The company's estimated remaining collections (ERC) also reached a record $8.5 billion, up 15% year-over-year.

  • GAAP net income increased by 41% to $55 million, or $1.72 per share.
  • Non-GAAP adjusted net income grew by 42% to $74 million, or $2.31 per share.
  • Global collections reached a record $540 million, representing an 8% increase.
  • Estimated Remaining Collections (ERC) hit a record $8.5 billion, up 15%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$404M

Previous: $347M+16.2%
EPS (adj)

$2.31

Previous: $1.64+40.9%
Collections

$540M

Previous: $499M+8.2%
ERC

$8.5B

Previous: $7.39B+15.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$22.7M

Previous: -$30.7M+26.2%
Free Cash Flow

$32M

Previous: $8.16M+292.2%
Net Income

$54.7M

Previous: $38.9M+40.6%
Operating Income

$142M

Previous: $108M+31.5%
Gross Profit

$384M

Previous: $344M+11.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$170M

Previous: $187M-8.9%
Total Assets

$4.73B

Previous: $4.71B+0.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.88M

Previous: $4.01M-3.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Encore · Revenue · Quarterly

$404M

Q3 2020+16.2%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Encore · $327M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Debt Purchasing Revenue
    $303M
  • Servicing Revenue
    $19.9M
  • Other Revenues
    $4.11M

Forward guidance

Encore Capital Group anticipates an increase in charged-off receivables in the U.S. and U.K. markets in 2021 and beyond, positioning the company to assist more consumers with their financial recovery.

Tailwinds

  • New global funding structure maximizes financial flexibility.
  • Strong balance sheet and liquidity.
  • Well-positioned for substantial increase in charged-off receivables.
  • Committed to supporting consumers and banks.
  • Aligned with CFPB's goal of fair treatment of consumers.

Headwinds

  • Potential increase in charged-off receivables may indicate economic challenges for consumers.
  • Uncertainties related to the full impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Increased interest expense due to financing transactions.
  • Payment to CFPB impacted GAAP net income.
  • Expenses related to the implementation of the new global funding structure.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.1%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

39 / 65 earnings

Positive

+38.9%

Q3 2016

Best reaction

-21.9%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.2%-2.6%-3.6%
Q4 2025+8.2%+21.4%+16.4%
Q3 2025+10.5%+16.3%+23.7%
Q1 2025+23.9%+22.5%+16.7%
Q4 2024-21.9%-30.8%-31.3%
Q3 2024+4.9%+5.3%+3.6%
Q2 2024+9.1%+3.5%+3.0%
Q1 2024+11.9%+10.1%-0.3%
Q4 2023-9.6%-11.0%-12.6%
Q3 2023+9.7%+16.9%+20.3%
Q2 2023-5.7%-2.6%-10.3%
Q1 2023-4.9%-3.8%-5.6%
Q4 2022-6.5%-6.7%-21.2%
Q3 2022-9.7%-5.6%-1.2%
Q2 2022-18.4%-19.9%-22.5%
Q1 2022+6.4%+6.7%+3.7%
Q4 2021-7.0%-7.3%-10.4%
Q3 2021+10.4%+12.4%+10.1%
Q2 2021-2.0%-0.5%+0.9%
Q1 2021+4.8%+0.4%+15.1%
Q4 2020-0.4%+1.9%+25.1%
Q3 2020-2.0%-1.8%+13.7%
Q2 2020+27.8%+22.1%+29.0%
Q1 2020-1.6%-0.2%+13.2%
Q4 2019+10.8%+23.6%-11.7%
Q3 2019+7.7%+7.5%+10.0%
Q2 2019+7.8%+5.3%-2.1%
Q1 2019+17.3%+27.2%+28.6%
Q4 2018+2.2%-2.4%-18.7%
Q3 2018-10.8%-5.5%-8.1%
Q2 2018+11.7%+9.6%+6.7%
Q1 2018+1.1%+0.6%-14.4%
Q4 2017+7.4%+1.8%+9.6%
Q3 2017+6.9%+4.8%-0.5%
Q2 2017+5.8%+7.2%+2.2%
Q1 2017-6.2%+0.0%+7.4%
Q4 2016+1.9%-3.5%-11.9%
Q3 2016+38.9%+39.5%+59.2%
Q2 2016-16.3%-14.3%-10.2%
Q1 2016+2.8%
Q4 2015+5.4%
Q3 2015+0.9%
Q2 2015-5.7%
Q1 2015-3.4%
Q4 2014-7.9%
Q3 2014+0.6%
Q2 2014+1.5%
Q1 2014+2.8%
Q4 2013+1.6%
Q3 2013+1.0%
Q2 2013+11.2%
Q1 2013+4.0%
Q4 2012+5.7%
Q3 2012-7.0%
Q2 2012+8.0%
Q1 2011+8.3%
Q1 2012+8.3%
Q4 2011-2.3%
Q4 2009-2.3%
Q3 2010+2.5%
Q3 2011+2.5%
Q2 2010-9.5%
Q4 2010-9.5%
Q2 2011-9.5%
Q1 2010-2.2%

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