NASDAQ$CWST

Casella Waste Systems Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Casella's first quarter financial results reflected strong solid waste performance driven by operating and pricing program execution.

Casella Waste Systems reported a 12.2% increase in revenue for Q1 2023, driven by solid waste operations, particularly pricing and volume growth. Net income decreased by 15.3% compared to the same period last year, while Adjusted EBITDA increased by 11.2%. The company reaffirmed its full-year guidance.

  • Revenues increased by 12.2% to $262.6 million.
  • Overall solid waste pricing increased by 8.8%.
  • Net income decreased by 15.3% to $3.5 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by 11.2% to $50.7 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$263M

Previous: $234M+12.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.10

Previous: $0.11-9.1%
Solid Waste Price Growth

8.8%

Previous: 5.6%+57.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$17.9M

Previous: -$12.9M-38.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$14.3M

Previous: -$8.72M-64.3%
Net Income

$3.55M

Previous: $4.19M-15.3%
Operating Income

$10.3M

Previous: $10.2M+1.0%
Gross Profit

$82.4M

Previous: $71.6M+15.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$60.2M

Previous: $12.6M+378.2%
Total Assets

$1.42B

Previous: $1.31B+8.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.98M

Previous: $2.24M-11.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Casella · Revenue · Quarterly

$263M

Q1 2023+12.2%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Casella · $193M total across 3 segments · Q1 2023

  • Collection
    $140M+17.1%
  • Disposal
    $51.5M+19.3%
  • Solid Waste Processing
    $1.58M-13.4%

Forward guidance

Casella reaffirmed its revenue, net income, Adjusted EBITDA, net cash provided by operating activities, and Adjusted Free Cash Flow guidance ranges for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2023. This guidance does not include contribution from our pending acquisition of select operations from GFL Environmental Inc.

Tailwinds

  • Revenues between $1.150 billion and $1.180 billion
  • Net income between $56 million and $62 million
  • Adjusted EBITDA between $266 million and $272 million
  • Net cash provided by operating activities between $227 million and $233 million
  • Adjusted Free Cash Flow between $119 million and $125 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+1.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.6%

Avg return

30 days after

61%

36 / 59 earnings

Positive

+27.5%

Q1 2010

Best reaction

-7.6%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+9.7%+6.7%+3.7%
Q4 2025-5.8%-12.0%-23.3%
Q3 2025+7.1%+8.6%+16.4%
Q1 2025-0.7%+2.5%-0.1%
Q4 2024+0.1%+7.8%+0.7%
Q3 2024-4.4%-2.9%+10.5%
Q2 2024+1.8%-1.5%+4.2%
Q1 2024-5.2%-4.8%+5.0%
Q4 2023-0.1%-1.4%+4.5%
Q3 2023+4.1%+5.7%+10.8%
Q2 2023-4.7%-2.4%-4.5%
Q1 2023+2.8%+3.4%+6.7%
Q4 2022-4.4%-4.9%-1.9%
Q3 2022+3.9%+6.8%+10.3%
Q2 2022+6.2%+7.0%+7.7%
Q1 2022-5.6%-11.9%-16.4%
Q4 2021+1.0%-4.1%+17.2%
Q3 2021+4.6%+5.1%+3.3%
Q2 2021+6.1%+7.4%+13.1%
Q1 2021+0.7%+0.6%+1.1%
Q4 2020+1.6%+0.3%+7.6%
Q3 2020-3.0%+0.3%+7.2%
Q2 2020+0.3%+2.1%+5.6%
Q1 2020+7.0%+6.4%+13.8%
Q4 2019-2.5%-3.3%-26.0%
Q3 2019-0.9%-1.2%+9.7%
Q2 2019+3.8%+2.9%+4.4%
Q1 2019+0.5%+0.6%+3.1%
Q4 2018+0.4%-0.7%-0.4%
Q3 2018-7.6%-4.8%+0.3%
Q2 2018+1.3%+2.4%+1.4%
Q1 2018+7.7%+0.2%-4.7%
Q4 2017-2.2%-5.4%-8.0%
Q3 2017+12.0%+6.7%+14.2%
Q2 2017-7.2%-5.3%+0.9%
Q1 2017-0.6%-1.1%-1.6%
Q4 2016+10.2%+12.1%+20.8%
Q3 2016+3.1%+6.1%+20.1%
Q2 2016+4.3%+5.5%+2.7%
Q1 2016+0.4%
Q4 2015+2.5%
Q3 2015-0.5%
Q2 2015+3.0%
Q1 2015+0.0%
Q1 2014-1.2%
Q3 2013-2.0%
Q2 2014-1.3%
Q2 2013+6.5%
Q1 2013+5.9%
Q4 2012+8.3%
Q2 2012+8.3%
Q3 2011-1.4%
Q2 2011-2.1%
Q1 2012+4.5%
Q1 2011-0.6%
Q4 2010+0.6%
Q2 2010+1.8%
Q1 2010+27.5%
Q4 2009+2.5%

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